📊 Cybertruck SUBMITTED ORDERS Tracking List & Stats [Add Yours!]

[Fleetwood75]

Looks like 11280 is the highest number that’s getting a wave of invitations right now

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[CyberTruckeeTheOne]

Looks like 11280 is the highest number that’s getting a wave of invitations right now

We should now watch to see waves of deliveries.

That would call for another thread. lol.

 

[Dmayo305]

Added my info to the google form.

 

[Nabilriaz69]

Looks like 11280 is the highest number that’s getting a wave of invitations right now

yes took a month from 11274 to 1128
2 months from 11280 to 1129
2 month from 1129 to 1130...

 

[Jhodgesatmb]

yes took a month from 11274 to 1128
2 months from 11280 to 1129
2 month from 1129 to 1130...

My logic was similar but half the duration as yours. I was thinking that once they got moving they were covering 10K 'numbers' every time they did a new set of invitations, and that there are 20 invitation 'windows' between 11280 and 11300. Then I guessed that each window is a week, so 20 weeks. That is pretty close to what you are saying. But then I thought that fewer people might order as we get further away from the unveiling event (i.e., 11274-11277) so I halved my estimate down to 10 weeks, or 2 1/2 months to get to 11300. At 11280 we are already to reservations made the day after the unveiling event. Its all a total guess to make myself feel a little better. How did you reason it?

 

[Fleetwood75]

If either of you are right I’m happy. As a reference point, my 11288 was 24 hours after the event so 11288 is still in the initial order frenzy

 

[Nabilriaz69]

My logic was similar but half the duration as yours. I was thinking that once they got moving they were covering 10K 'numbers' every time they did a new set of invitations, and that there are 20 invitation 'windows' between 11280 and 11300. Then I guessed that each window is a week, so 20 weeks. That is pretty close to what you are saying. But then I thought that fewer people might order as we get further away from the unveiling event (i.e., 11274-11277) so I halved my estimate down to 10 weeks, or 2 1/2 months to get to 11300. At 11280 we are already to reservations made the day after the unveiling event. Its all a total guess to make myself feel a little better. How did you reason it?

I did similar to you , but like quick way , but I didn’t factor less people accepting , I thought that already a case in present invites , yes I agree it will increase as time passes
All guesses and fun at this time , my reserve is 113 but in Canada

 

[Jhodgesatmb]

I did similar to you , but like quick way , but I didn’t factor less people accepting , I thought that already a case in present invites , yes I agree it will increase as time passes
All guesses and fun at this time , my reserve is 113 but in Canada

Good luck! If I could order by March I would be happy. Of course, I have no idea what the lead time would be but at least I'd be on the books.

 

[Lopez]

Info added to the form

 

[PAPAB]

If either of you are right I’m happy. As a reference point, my 11288 was 24 hours after the event so 11288 is still in the initial order frenzy

I'm at 11283XXXX about 12 hours after the reveal (next day 9AM)...

 

[Fleetwood75]

So about 90,000 in the first 12 hours and about 50,000 in the next 12 hours. Makes sense to me

 

[cvalue13]

Cool. I thought I saw a video and the guy showed a CT and the VIN ended in 000550 or close to that. Would that mean they are at least up to number 550?

There is a vin thread on this forum that does a WAY better job explaining VINs that I can, but basically a VIN does not mean a vehicle has been delivered because the VIN gets assigned early in the process. So 500 VIN does NOT mean 500 delivered but is a decent indication of 500 that are intended to be made in the not to distant future. (bad explanation but thread linked below should help)

https://www.cybertruckownersclub.co...ck-vin-tracking-thread-updated-12-23-23.8989/

More exactly, Tesla skipped a huge chunk of possible VINs, restarting at 421

guess who they’d save VIN 420 for? ?

they’ve registered 350 VIN to date, with~20-25 delivered at the delivery event (on screen, off screen, + delivered elsewhere)

I’d guess they’ve delivered 50-70 trucks so far, including the delivery event units

not that many transports being spotted loaded in outbound lot, for it to be much more than that (they could always instead load inside, but why start now)

 

[Jhodgesatmb]

More exactly, Tesla skipped a huge chunk of possible VINs, restarting at 421

guess who they’d save VIN 420 for? ?

they’ve registered 350 VIN to date, with~20-25 delivered at the delivery event (on screen, off screen, + delivered elsewhere)

I’d guess they’ve delivered 50-70 trucks so far, including the delivery event units

not that many transports being spotted loaded in outbound lot, for it to be much more than that (they could always instead load inside, but why start now)

My guess is that willingness to convert an FS invitation drops very rapidly as we move further away from the unveiling event in reservation numbers. I would also guess that the willingness to convert any reservation will drop rapidly at the current pricing (50% hifgher than expected). I do not know what the conversion percentages will be, just that they will be much lower than they would have been. Does anyone know what the FS invitation conversion rate has been?

 

[Ward L]

630 FS orders out of 45,000? I’m reservation number 43k and got an invitation to order a FS CT. Another point, it has been 23 days since 12/8 and 630 orders (plus orders not recorded on our tally). 630/23 = 27/day or 10k/year. I would say the FS offer has been somewhat underwhelming. Seems like if this is accurate, I shouldn’t have ordered my FS CT. I should have just waited for my turn in the long Que.

 

[CyberJerry]

630 FS orders out of 45,000? I’m reservation number 43k and got an invitation to order a FS CT. Another point, it has been 23 days since 12/8 and 630 orders (plus orders not recorded on our tally). 630/23 = 27/day or 10k/year. I would say the FS offer has been somewhat underwhelming. Seems like if this is accurate, I shouldn’t have ordered my FS CT. I should have just waited for my turn in the long Que.

The FS orders listed here might only be 20% of the total orders to date

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