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  1. Future battery swaps

    The $50 was for the opportunity cost for extra stops/time on a road trip. Saying a fueling stop takes a net 30 minutes over a typical ICE fueling. Sometimes you will be alone or have up to 5 others delayed. That number will vary by user. I consider the electricity cost a wash.
  2. Future battery swaps

    I think Crissa and others are right, while structural, the battery pack will still be very removeable. Glued in, what was I thinking? I think the challenge is there will likely be an equal number of fasteners under the floorboards requiring most of the interior to be removed. If it is self...
  3. Jim Glickenhaus challenges Elon Musk to a Cybertruck showdown in the Baja 1000

    A fast discharge next to a fast recharge in the desert would probably overtax the battery cooling. I don't think it is sized for that. It could probably be upgraded. That is a 2 door buggy not a 4 door luxury pick up. That is an apple next to an orange. Glickenhouse has very little to...
  4. Future battery swaps

    Like many I am very interested in the cavity that the battery is placed in. I think we know the batteries will act like a web on a beam using the SS shells and glue and tie into the floorboards and bottom of the battery pack which becomes the flanges. Perhaps with enough attachments points...
  5. Future battery swaps

    Ideally one would repurpose the battery pack if it could be removed without damage. So I am a little more clear. Save $20,000 at first purchase by sticking with the dual motor and smaller battery tech, this makes it a little easier to pay for the upgrade. I am also assuming a leap in tech...
  6. Future battery swaps

    You may be right, however I am banking that by shear volume of bodies produced plus the longevity of the body and drivetrain that a huge 3rd party will develop. I am surprised by the resiliency of the 3rd party guys like the Jeep/Mustang modifiers etc. and they are only offered for vehicles...
  7. Future battery swaps

    I think the consensus is you will not be able to easily change out the battery pack because it will be structural maybe even glued in. What would be really cool if tesla could make a very special solvent that could break down the glue around the cells so they could be removed if a single cell...
  8. Future battery swaps

    Volume is everything. If there were 200,000 of your motorcycles around that needed new batteries or an upgrade I bet you could get the replacement pack for half or less. You paid over $400 per kWh in a motorcycle form. I think Tesla is already down to $110 or so at the pack level. Because...
  9. Future parking lot dilemma. Which Cybertruck is mine?

    Same thing. I have a slate Toyota Sienna in Utah. I actually tried to put the key in the ignition.
  10. Future battery swaps

    Say there is a massive improvement in battery tech in the next 6 years and some 3rd party could make a battery with 2x the density of current Tesla tech at sat $50 per kWh at the cell level Can anybody else envision grinding out /removing their existing Lion batteries and swapping in new...
  11. This is Copcon. My Cybertruck revervation..... Help....help

    A car carrier truck will hold 5-6 CTs. I would imagine that as soon as any delivery center has accumulated a full truck by fulfilled reservation numbers the truck will be sent. So if you are from a well populated area with lots of reservations you might be delayed a week from your "perfect...
  12. Value of long range variants.

    After looking at some of the other commenters I think if Tesla makes a 500 mile rwd variant it would cost $57,808 and the 500 mile dual motor would cost $64,308 I attributed $6500 to the front motor/drive/inverter and $4500 to the second rear motor/ inverter. I assumed 113/135 and 225...
  13. Long Range 2-motor?

    Where did you see the option of larger packs for the dual motor?
  14. Value of long range variants.

    What would you pay for a rwd or dual motor with a trimotor battery pack?
  15. 'Experts' Still Predicting Cybertruck Will be a Cyber-Flop (Video)

    As a owner of a fair amount of TSLA stock I hope you are right. Market's tend to correct themselves. A Ford ice for example has a fairly large profit margin. The price of a fancy Ford might drop to $40k just to maintain market share. TSLA should stay on their toes and continue to innovate...
  16. Cybertruck reservation order number -- how to tell your place in line

    I actually came across most of this data in another thread/post. Some person did a really good job, but it is only it through April. It showed a spike in the first month and then a very steady gain. I am trying to remember if I commented to that person or not.
  17. 'Experts' Still Predicting Cybertruck Will be a Cyber-Flop (Video)

    I think we are down to less than 15% of CT ordered as single motor with more leaning towards the tri motor now than the dual motor. Add FSD, taxes, delivery fees and other option prices we have not even seen yet and the average CT will be closer to $70k. I sold my last truck in 2009. I...
  18. 'Experts' Still Predicting Cybertruck Will be a Cyber-Flop (Video)

    Thanks CTG for your breakdown of the interview. I don't think the CT will flop at all, but the Detroit guys do make some valid points about the total market even if they underestimate the market by half or more due to the factors you mentioned. That being said I do think 70% of...
  19. What percentage of pre-orders will actually buy?

    After watching the Detroit analyst bashing the CT sales projection I am going to double down on my prediction here. I thought the 65000 total market units per year for light duty trucks over $60,000 was a telling although slightly flawed statistic. Granted people may consolidate their vehicles...
  20. Cybertruck reservation order number -- how to tell your place in line

    Is there any super smart spreadsheet savvy person that wants to graph this? I would be super interested in seeing reservations over time and spikes in reservations over time. How many reservations per month are still coming in? What did battery day do to the reservation counts etc.


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