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  1. Ogre

    What Wall Charger to Buy???

    I have a lot of friends who are engineers. And a few acquaintances who are blowhards. Conversation with the engineers is never a problem.
  2. Ogre

    With Overseas reservations being refunded, how will that affect your place in line?

    As far as I can tell there is exactly one Reddit post about someone getting their order cancelled and that’s it. Maybe someone trying to trick people to cancel their orders. I’m pretty sure we’d have heard more if it was widespread.
  3. Ogre

    With Overseas reservations being refunded, how will that affect your place in line?

    Did a little maths. After eliminating all overseas reservations plus Canada and Mexico (sorry @firstruck but exports will probably happen later), then adding in a factor for cancellations, deaths, and financial hardship, I’m pretty sure I now have a 4 digit number. @Crissa is now a negative...
  4. Ogre

    Where will $TSLA be at Cybertruck Release

    Next earnings call will be more about Q3, Q4 estimates than about the current quarter. Everyone knows this quarter is a mess people want to know whether the next 2 quarters are going to make up for it. Seems like if Tesla can hit or better their 50% projection the spring will start to uncoil...
  5. Ogre

    Is it a mistake to change car now while waiting for the CT?

    You are comparing a leased car to a purchased one. (Assuming you are purchasing the Kona?) With a lease you have no flexibility on timing and no value when it ends. With a purchase, you keep it until you get the truck and its worth whatever you can sell it for less the payoff. Mostly I hate...
  6. Ogre

    Is it a mistake to change car now while waiting for the CT?

    The only big question mark for you is whether you can tolerate not having a 4WD until you get the CT. I forget, where is your RN? Are you under 100k?
  7. Ogre

    Tesla removed from the S&P 500 ESG index

    Marxism is turning into one of those words that gets tossed around as a general insult at this point with no reference to the actual meaning. Right there with Nazi and apparently bigot. Folks have lost perspective. When in doubt people should just stick to words with well established...
  8. Ogre

    Is it a mistake to change car now while waiting for the CT?

    If you are leasing, there is no depreciation. You don’t own the car when it’s done so that’s meaningless. The big difference I see is you aren’t accounting for the fact that when this is over, you would still own the Kona and can sell/ trade it in. The Outlander would be gone/ worth nothing to...
  9. Ogre

    Ford Lightning Giving Out Production Dates

    A little digging and it’s not really clear. Seems like some people are expecting theirs soon? I’m not sure what this August date is. Maybe earlier orders will be shipped but these dates are for people who are placing orders today?
  10. Ogre

    Is it a mistake to change car now while waiting for the CT?

    Whenever people talk about EVs they want a battery that lasts a million miles and 20+ years. Meanwhile over here in reality ICE cars which we’ve owned for decades actually start to fall apart after 100k - 150k miles.
  11. Ogre

    Ford Lightning Giving Out Production Dates

    They opened pre-orders in 2021. In February, they opened up their configuration tool for the first customers. Deliveries apparently start in August (according to this).
  12. Ogre

    Is it a mistake to change car now while waiting for the CT?

    Really hard to say. Maybe? (Also, Holy crap you pay a lot for insurance!) When you say “Lease Takeover” does that mean you don’t own the car at the end of the 2 years? Wouldn’t you have some residual value on the Kona at that point? With as much uncertainty over delivery timing, I’d be...
  13. Ogre

    Is it a mistake to change car now while waiting for the CT?

    I think this is a pretty personal decision. I’m frugal. If it’s paid for and doesn’t cost too much to run, I’ll hang onto a car until it becomes unreliable. Owning a car for 12-24 months seems like a money losing proposition to me.
  14. Ogre

    4680 Progress

    The fact that they are now selling Model Ys with 4680s to the public on a limited basis suggests volume is starting to come online.
  15. Ogre

    Where will $TSLA be at Cybertruck Release

    You realize split counts are multiplied. That would be 25:1 from where we are now right? Roughly $10,000/ share seems unlikely in the next 18 months. I could buy $69.420 after 2 5:1 splits.
  16. Ogre

    4680 Progress

    They have the capacity to produce cars with 2170 cells. Doesn’t mean they are. I wouldn’t be surprised if they did. They also mentioned they have a bit of a surplus of 2170 cells. Gotta put them into something.
  17. Ogre

    Tesla removed from the S&P 500 ESG index

    Tesla is not being removed from the S&P 500 ESG, it is being removed from the “ESG” fund which is a separate index which is supposed to be limited to environmentally conscious companies (such as Exxon :ROFLMAO: ). The number of funds which are based on the S&P 500 ESG is much much smaller than...
  18. Ogre

    Ford Lightning Giving Out Production Dates

    Umm. The first customer deliveries in August? (EDIT: nm original launch said mid 2022) So after all the brew-ha over Tesla being so late, it’s entirely possible Ford is only delivering 4-6 months ahead of them?
  19. Ogre

    Where will $TSLA be at Cybertruck Release

    Keep in mind there is a very strong chance the stock will split over the summer. It’ll be $420.69 after a 5:1 split.
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