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  1. johnbeans

    Shipping early 2023? Bring It!

    Part of the reason I suggested vendors might send pre-formed parts was to remind everyone that first principles are the way to go, not “here’s how it’s been done to date.” Vendors won’t always have their heads up their asses when it comes to Tesla. Elon bought milling machines and 3D metal...
  2. johnbeans

    Shipping early 2023? Bring It!

    Or they arrive neatly stacked from vendor(s). Likely? Not based on simple past analogy to stamped parts. But I would gently suggest that it's worth thinking about how different a non-painted laser-cut bent component is from a stamped fender. If I was a stainless vendor, along with Tesla's...
  3. johnbeans

    Cybertruck timeline schedule prediction -- Agree or Disagree?

    I think that at some point Elon will just tweet out what the first launch config will be in terms of motors and battery, probably in response to someone's question. I think that will happen prior to any launch event. I do think there will be one initial config, not a choice at launch. Going out...
  4. johnbeans

    Musk: "Cybertruck pricing and specs will be different, but it will be a damn fine product."

    We have very early Model 3 and Model Y VINS, and I was an early member of Tesla Owners Online. Perhaps late to this site, but very experienced in “waiting for the new model to finally arrive” and all of the speculation and rumors and worries that go along with that. Lessons we learned with...
  5. johnbeans

    Musk: "Cybertruck pricing and specs will be different, but it will be a damn fine product."

    I think almost the whole first 18 months of production (Troy Teslike estimates 164,500 units) will go to current RN holders who will pay whatever Tesla charges for whatever config(s) they choose to offer, not new people jumping the line. No one that doesn’t already have a RN is going to get...
  6. johnbeans

    Musk: "Cybertruck pricing and specs will be different, but it will be a damn fine product."

    Pretty much the only “voice” that Tesla listens to is purchases. Not forum posts of any kind. Sometimes prominent Tweets, but even those get mostly ignored. I would gently suggest that whatever price you are hoping for, it will be above that. Tesla is confident that they can ramp the factory on...
  7. johnbeans

    Cybertruck Affordability and Volume

    I think enough signs are there to indicate that prices will be higher than originally quoted. And if we've learned anything from past Tesla launches, it would be that you don't have to compete against legacy manufacturers using price. A Tesla truck will have a premium over existing trucks. It...
  8. johnbeans

    What's my $100 worth now?

    I'm assuming your reservation holds your place in line for whatever build you specify. So the initial priority will be those who chose the quad motor and have the earliest reservation numbers. Then the priority (if it follows past releases) might be geographic during the quarter. For Model 3...


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