HaulingAss
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I like the general way you think but I have a little different take:I'll make my price predictions for our future selves to judge.
The single motor will become the software throttled dual motor for 40k
The dual motor will be 50k
The tri motor will go extinct because 90% of the tri motor buyers won't be happy driving the second best.
The 4 motor will be 80k
I'm guessing there will be two Quad motor models, the top of the line 2.9 second 0-60 mph capable of towing 14K lbs., 500+ miles of range that will replace the Tri-motor, at the same price point ($69K). It will come with all the bells and whistles announced at the reveal but some of the features announced after the reveal like crab mode, tank mode and other extras not listed during the reveal, some of them will be add-on options, probably all in one upgrade package.
The other version with Quad motors will replace the dual motor with 4.5 second 0-60 capable of towing at least 10K lbs., 300+ mile range and all the bells and whistles announced at the reveal for the same price as the Dual motor ($49K). It will also have an options upgrade package, maybe two, with the recently announced features. It will also be upgradable to the maximum range of the highest spec Quad motor.
The Single Motor has always (in my opinion) been years out, not until after they fulfill the order backlog for higher spec models. This might take as long as 2-4 years as new orders for higher spec models will take precedence over reservations for the entry level model. That will still be true, but eventually the single motor will be released as a dual motor with two rear motors and will meet or beat the range and performance announced for the entry-level model at the reveal. It will still be $39K, even though initial production/deliveries will not start for at least a couple of years.
Basically, Tesla will meet or beat all announced specs and price points for all models and offer some of the latest features recently leaked by Elon in optional upgrade packages. And the dual and Tri motors will both be upgraded to quad motor and the single motor to dual motor all at no extra charge.
Of course this is just one way of many that Tesla could do it but, knowing how Tesla operates, it's my best guess as to how it might unfold. Optional upgrade packages might be as much as $10K-$20K but the bellyaching can stop because they won't include any of the originally announced features when we made our reservations.
And if it unfolds like this, all versions will be screaming good deals because of the generous list of extras included in the base price (Supercharger Network, motorized rolling tonneau cover, rust proof body capable of stopping 9mm rounds, 'metal glass' windshield, impact resistant side windows, on-board air compressor hose, on-board 120V and 240V power, tailgate ramp, fully adjustable ride height with 'kneeling' mode for ease of loading/unloading heavy items, huge ground clearance and approach/departure angles, sport car-like handling (at least when compared to the Rivian, Hummer and Lightning), best in class range, etc, etc, etc,
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