I honestly believe the conversion rate will be over 50% and waiting period for AWD and Single motor will remain over 6 months even after 2026-2027Do you believe that conversion rates will be low?
I personally think it might be right in the range of 1 in 5 to 1 in 3 people going thru with the purchase considering the 80k price
I think the Canaccord poll is absolutely meaningless for the pool of reservation holders and clearly makes no prediction at all of their purchase decisions.I honestly believe the conversion rate will be over 50% and waiting period for AWD and Single motor will remain over 6 months even after 2026-2027
I want what you're smoking, . Just look at sales of new vehicles and price points. Conversation rate will be 20%, if they're extremely lucky. People on this forum live in a bubble. Price is all that matters and at $80k for the same range as a model 3 or Y, the truck is going to be hard to move after the first year or two (yes, not the same market). I suppose in terms of production conversion, Tesla will be at 100%, . Plenty of people to fulfill the first 200k vehicles. It's what happens after all the die-hards have bought it that will matter.I honestly believe the conversion rate will be over 50% and waiting period for AWD and Single motor will remain over 6 months even after 2026-2027
I don't have one, because it would just be a guess. In fact, unless Tesla publishes their data - perhaps as part of a report to shareholders? - we may never know how many of the reservation holders convert their reservations to purchases.Wtibbit what's your conversion rate estimate considering entry point is 80k til 2025
For reference, in my office of 12 people 6 has CT reservation and none of them have canceled and majority(4-5 at least) will go through with it. Only two out of 12 are Tesla owners and one more is looking to put down depositWith the large 60% price increse, I believe 20% conversion rate on the reservation holders would be good. Remember that $100. deposit brought people out of the woodworks. Had it been $1000. it would have weeded the field very quick.
Personally, i would do the dual. unfortunaly, the truck is too small for me as a plumbing contractor. But for a weekend Ride, I will still consider it. Therefore, my $100 is still in it for the long ride.
This is what people dont understand. New interest take = 37% will keep the wait time of 6-12 months for the foreseeable future.So, this is saying 1 out of every 3 people who HAVEN"T RESERVED a CyberTruck plan to buy one?! No matter how many reservation holders cancel, that would mean Tesla will NEVER run out of buyers!