Cold.Truth
Well-known member
- First Name
- Big A
- Joined
- Feb 19, 2020
- Threads
- 6
- Messages
- 170
- Reaction score
- 287
- Location
- Albuquerque, NM
- Vehicles
- 2024 CT AWD, 1987 Carerra, 2016 Triumph Thruxton R
- Occupation
- I.T. Project Management
- Thread starter
- #1
Hi,
I’ve been casually placing the number of documented deliveries over the number of documented orders here on the forum over the last few weeks and have noticed that deliveries for the last few weeks were pretty much at 2% of orders up to a few days ago. Today, it was 3% despite there being more and more orders (ie. deliveries are not only keeping pace, but they’re also beginning to outpace orders). This is not terribly scientific (but it is simple to check the mathematics yourself), so I make no claims. It is simply an observation. This change from 2% to 3% deliveries might be a simple variation due to many inputs. OTOH, the increase in [N% = Deliveries / Orders] will happen at some point, I reckon, until a higher but more static ratio occurs (eventually, over time, the number of deliveries in the numerator should dwarf the number of orders but that’s probably years away). I don’t know what that will be. I guess nobody does. And yes, I’m fully cognizant that this forum does not represent 100% of reservation holders, orders, or deliveries. It might be reasonable to simply normalize that out of the equation and consider this forum a representative sampling of a larger set (which it is). Again, this is not scientific but it is possible we might be seeing the beginning of the ramp _if_ this N% continues to grow beyond 3%. YMMV etc etc. Sort of just posting this for fun so don’t get your blood pressure to a boiling point. Here’s hoping you all get your Cybertrucks soon! Cheers.
I’ve been casually placing the number of documented deliveries over the number of documented orders here on the forum over the last few weeks and have noticed that deliveries for the last few weeks were pretty much at 2% of orders up to a few days ago. Today, it was 3% despite there being more and more orders (ie. deliveries are not only keeping pace, but they’re also beginning to outpace orders). This is not terribly scientific (but it is simple to check the mathematics yourself), so I make no claims. It is simply an observation. This change from 2% to 3% deliveries might be a simple variation due to many inputs. OTOH, the increase in [N% = Deliveries / Orders] will happen at some point, I reckon, until a higher but more static ratio occurs (eventually, over time, the number of deliveries in the numerator should dwarf the number of orders but that’s probably years away). I don’t know what that will be. I guess nobody does. And yes, I’m fully cognizant that this forum does not represent 100% of reservation holders, orders, or deliveries. It might be reasonable to simply normalize that out of the equation and consider this forum a representative sampling of a larger set (which it is). Again, this is not scientific but it is possible we might be seeing the beginning of the ramp _if_ this N% continues to grow beyond 3%. YMMV etc etc. Sort of just posting this for fun so don’t get your blood pressure to a boiling point. Here’s hoping you all get your Cybertrucks soon! Cheers.
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