2000prerunner
Well-known member
- First Name
- Steve
- Joined
- May 11, 2021
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- Location
- San Diego, CA
- Vehicles
- 2018 Toyota Tacoma
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- BSer

ExactlyUnlike most people weighing in here, I don't doubt there is a market for the Slate with specs and prices as listed.
My concern is that a small startup like this has almost zero chance of bringing a truck with the listed price and specs to market in a manner that is sustainable. I give it an 85% chance of it never hitting mass production. Even if they do bring it to market, I only give them a 2% chance of being able to do so in a sustainable manner (meaning profitably).
Like all of Tesla's models through their short history, new models need to be able to hit gross profitability, something Rivian has never achieved on any of their models (last quarter doesn't count due to the way they saved up sales of regulatory credits and stacked them all in Q4).
If a model cannot hit gross profitability, it shouldn't even be put into production. It makes no sense to make a car or truck that can never be sold for the amount it costs to produce. In a rational world, it makes no sense to produce goods that are worth less than the cost of producing them.
I don't know if the executives at Slate think they can sell this profitably or they just want to give it a go because they know they will personally be paid (by investors) to give it a go. And I cannot understand the thinking of anyone who thinks this stands a good chance of ever being profitable, even on a gross basis. If it can't do that, it can't be made in large numbers.
Also, not sure how crash safety standards will fit in here. I don’t know if anyone has mentioned it or not but a huge reason pick up trucks have gotten bigger over the years is because you don’t need to die or get hurt as badly in them anymore when you roll over or crash . Stronger a/b/c pillars so the roof does not crush in on you . Multiple airbags, preserving the femur bones , skull and other body parts = good. Also active safety features like lane avoidance , automatic braking or even full self driving play a role. It seems like people are romanticizing 80s pick up trucks not realizing that there’s a thing called rules, progress and standards in first world countries that have made trucks infinitely safer. Like sure you could drive this type of truck and people still do in Third World countries. But they’re just trying to haul a bunch of bananas to the local market and could give two shits about their own life when they crash it .
if this pipe dream ever actually makes it, it will for sure balloon in size and price due to safety.
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