Southbound GigaPress Spotted

firsttruck

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If a machine can make x parts per year, having four machines tells us they can male 4*x parts. If they need n parts per car, that means the total cars is (4*x)/n.

You can say the Austin Ys will be better - but when they start showing up at Tesla service centers to be picked up, they're not going to say anything on them that'll tell you the difference.

-Crissa
It should be fairly easy to tell if Model Y has front casting.
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Crissa

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It should be fairly easy to tell if Model Y has front casting.
Not really? It's underneath everything. Also, both factories will make Model Ys like that. They've already worked through their pile of castings around the Fremont plant.

-Crissa
 

happy intruder

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Or… upgrade Fremont to be the same as Austin.
I dont think Elon wants to upgrade anything in California if he can get away from it....thats one reason he went to Texas....taxes, people, cost of manufacturing and tax breaks....if anything he would shift Ys to Texas and keep 3s in Fremont...he needs to get the lines in Texas up and going...hopefully that includes CT this year....but if the 8-ton press doesn't make its way here soon, there will be no time to install and certify/calibrate...install will take 3-4 months and then testing 2-3 months....that takes us to September.....but that means the 8 ton is here now.....then maybe Q4 would be possible...hope so.
 

Ehninger1212

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All the stats on production outputs coming up.. is why I still think TSLA is undervalued. They are dominating the EV market now with two factories, and Fremont isnt even an ideal set up. Imaghine when Germany and Texas are operating at full capacity. Time to buy.
 

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There's no way for you to know if a Model Y comes from Fremont of Austin when it shows up at your pickup point.

My theory is that they're going to expand Model 3 production as Model Y production is displaced in Austin.

They have alot of room to drop the price to generate demand, too. Back down to that $35K.

-Crissa
99.8% of people will not know where their Model Y is coming from but for Tesla nerds like us we can find out quickly as soon as a VIN is issued.
1641995736002.png
 

egandalf

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There's no way for you to know if a Model Y comes from Fremont of Austin when it shows up at your pickup point.

My theory is that they're going to expand Model 3 production as Model Y production is displaced in Austin.

They have alot of room to drop the price to generate demand, too. Back down to that $35K.

-Crissa
I heard somewhere (Twitter, so apply salt if you like) that the VIN numbers will be slightly different. If that's the case, it'll be entirely possible to know before you pick up the car if it's Austin vs. Fremont.

Can't find the tweet, so, again, it could be hearsay.

Edit - AND @CyberT got there *just* before me with better info. :)
 

jerhenderson

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If a machine can make x parts per year, having four machines tells us they can male 4*x parts. If they need n parts per car, that means the total cars is (4*x)/n.

You can say the Austin Ys will be better - but when they start showing up at Tesla service centers to be picked up, they're not going to say anything on them that'll tell you the difference.

-Crissa
and the specs will be what were ordered so I don't understand the complaining about where it comes from. I'll take my CT from China if they build it there....I don't care!
 
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Where did you hear they they work in pairs, because that doesn't make sense. Yes, it is more efficient to keep making a single type of part. Maybe they need three machines in case one has a problem. The simple fact that they have 4 doesn't tell us anything.
The number of machines absolutely tells us what the maximum capacity is. If there are only 3 machines, the absolute maximum speed they could go at is 75% of what 4 machines could go at minus switching times.

Switching is likely non-trivial and would involve building up a bunch of inventory between swaps.

You are technically right. They don’t *have* to work in pairs. But they absolutely will because it is the only way they are going to be able to product cars at the throughput they are planning on.
 
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Ogre

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I dont think Elon wants to upgrade anything in California if he can get away from it....thats one reason he went to Texas....taxes, people, cost of manufacturing and tax breaks....if anything he would shift Ys to Texas and keep 3s in Fremont...he needs to get the lines in Texas up and going...hopefully that includes CT this year....but if the 8-ton press doesn't make its way here soon, there will be no time to install and certify/calibrate...install will take 3-4 months and then testing 2-3 months....that takes us to September.....but that means the 8 ton is here now.....then maybe Q4 would be possible...hope so.
Musk is frustrated with California, but he’s not going to self sabotage to spite the state.

Fremont is going to be a significant facility for Tesla for at least 5-10 years. Tesla will absolutely be focused on making it as efficient as possible during that time.

Musk doesn’t confuse his politics, personal preferences, and business needs. Tesla can’t give up Fremont. All of Tesla‘s facilities will be laser focused on efficiency. Therefore Tesla will continue to invest in Fremont‘s efficiency.
 

CyberGus

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IDRA announced the 8kT gigpress order in March 2021.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Giga_Press

It takes 2 weeks to disassemble and crate a completed gigapress, 4 weeks to transport, and a month to assemble.



Therefore, Austin should have a working gigapress for the CT about 3 months after it has been manufactured. The question is: how long does that take? It's been 10 months since the order was placed.
 

firsttruck

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Not really? It's underneath everything. Also, both factories will make Model Ys like that. They've already worked through their pile of castings around the Fremont plant.

-Crissa

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VIN Lookup: How to Decode Your VIN What 17 Numbers & Letters Can Tell You About Your Car
A vehicle identification number (VIN) is the 17-digit "name," made up of numbers and characters, that an automobile manufacturer assigns to an individual vehicle. Vehicle identification numbers can reveal many things about automobiles, including their airbag type, country of origin, engine size, model year, vehicle type, trim level, and plant name. The VIN (sometimes known, redundantly, as the "VIN number") is the key to safety. Just enter a VIN in the free search tool from the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration to see whether a vehicle is subject to a recall.
By Ronald Montoya
Edmunds
July 19th, 2019
https://www.edmunds.com/how-to/how-to-quickly-decode-your-vin.html

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The letter or number in position 11 indicates the manufacturing plant where the vehicle was assembled. Each automaker has its own set of plant codes.

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Do You Know Where Your Car Was Built?
by Joe Santos on September 18, 2020
https://www.motorbiscuit.com/do-you-know-where-your-car-was-built/

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Your car’s VIN says a lot If you want to know where your car was built, all you have to do is check out the car’s vehicle identification number (VIN). You can find it on the multiple spots on the car, including the door jambs, underneath the hood, or even on the bottom part of the trunk lid or cargo door. However, the easiest place to spot it is on the bottom of the windshield, on the driver’s side. That 17-character alphanumeric string tells you a lot about your car, believe it not, so let’s decipher it.

Look at the first digit of the VIN, if it’s a 1,4, or 5, then it indicates that the car was built in the U.S., a 2 means it was built in Canada, 3, Mexico, J means Japan, K means South Korea, S means England, W means Germany, and Z mean Italy.

The tenth digit in the VIN is the model year, the 11th is the assembly plant, and the last six digits indicate the vehicle’s production number.


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Crissa

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