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Invitations are "still going out" but only a trickle, approaching zero sometime in next few weeks. Production is not "maxing out" nor is "this rate" a constant. FS fulfillment will reach 100% of allotment by late summer or early fall.

I don't see any evidence FS invites will match production. I see no data to suggest a reversal of the current trend (i.e. "a huge wave coming"). production rate is increasing invitation rate has been decreasing

I'm not sure what you're suggesting I was suggesting (they stopped producing FS?) But I'll recap what I was suggesting: FS invitations were never linear, are actually dropping off exponentially, and there is no evidence to show the target number of FS has increased since the original offering...

count the invites per month, don't just spot a new one at the bottom of the list and think it's still full speed ahead. new invites are only accounting for attrition from previous.

I didn't say orders were closed, I said invitations were dying off at a rate commensurate with attrition. FS production is capped.

rate will double 2 times over the next year. hopefully it already has doubled! All FS orders will be filled by Summer if the double rate is constant, which it probably isn't, so probably Fall.

na, we can assume the level of interest in finding this forum and submitting the form to that thread is constant. There's nothing that would cause that rate to decrease with each new FS order. Therefore the data in that thread is fine for estimation.

Does anyone have any evidence FS invitations were ever being sent out in a linear fashion? Because this is what I see (from Invites tracker thread): Seems like one wave, 12/8-9, with each subsequent mini-wave (or promotion) merely filling out nonstarters from the previous. Multiply by 13...

Roughly 13x

This promotion is mystifying. FS is already supposed to be an accelerated delivery. So this is for those who missed out on FS? update, nvm, it's a compensator for attrition

Is there a way to change our pickup location? I'll bookit to Mesa instead of Raintree if it buys me even one day! —1/12, no vin

I don't understand why Tesla hasn't updated their estimated delivery window for the dual motor. 65 day lead time means April at earliest. So April to ...?

The tonneau is amusing but whatever the door issue is didn't really come through in your photo.

The glass makes sense but replacing the rocker panel is petty.