Awesome! Glad to hear they are delivering in VA. I'm down in Roanoke and guessing I will get assigned to Richmond when the time comes...waiting for the invite emails to start again.
11307 would be the highest number we have seen for "normal people". Current highest in the tracker is 11302. If you are indeed a normal and non long term stock holder that means we have gone through 11302-11307 in 5 days. Getting so close for my 11311.
I’m down in Roanoke. 11311 so still waiting on my invite but it should be soon. We already have 2 CTs roaming the streets down here. I keep getting pictures sent to me from people who think it must be me. Unfortunately no…
I was getting concerned too as to the pause in new orders but it looks like there was another update to the invite list this morning showing inviations are still going out and now a 11302 is listed from 4/2. You should be getting close.
Here are updated charts through today. We continue to see the downward trend in count of each RN as we go up in the numbers. I included both linear and polynomial curves as the polynomial curves now have a better fit than a linear estimate. Revising my estimate of 11311 to sometime this month...
I'll update my charts later tonight and post in the thread https://www.cybertruckownersclub.com/forum/threads/hope-for-the-rest-of-us.12313/
We are going through numbers much faster (my thoughts on the reasons for this in the above thread). I'm 11311 and hoping for the invite email by the end...
Based on the most recent chart it would put you in late April. I am hopeful (maybe wishful thinking) that you will see it sooner if we continue to see the curve bend upwards due to (my hypothesis) decreased CT percentage represented in RNs as we move up in the numbers.
Impossible to predict. Given that this data represents invitations to configure and not delivery I don't expect it to flatten out. The current reservations getting invites will not likely receive their truck before the end of the quarter. Most are showing April-June expected delivery.
See posts #26 and 28 for the updated charts.
Another interesting find I saw in the data is that most invitations are going out on Tuesdays (465) Thursdays (363) and Fridays (330). Mon (26), Wed (92), Sat (71), Sun (13)
We have our first 11295s showing up today in the tracker. As previously predicted we should start ticking up in numbers quicker now and this seems to be holding true. The below chart shows orders from 3/1/24 through current. The slope has increased a good bit. The R^2 value does drop, but...
Here are updated charts. The info entered in the tracker continues to follow close to my original predictions. If you include all orders (except the first few days) the curve has flattened a bit but R^2=0.67. Based on this chart I should get my email sometime in early July (RN11311XXXX)...
11311 here in VA. Hoping for a mid summer invite. Here is a chart I posted in another thread that shows where reservation number vs invite date plot out. Lots of variables could alter the trajectory but recent invites have been tracking close to this line.
R^2=0.58
If I included orders from 12/8 and 12/9 R^2=0.06 and the line was much less steep. Thus my justification for eliminating that portion of the data.
I‘ll be sure to include axis labels when I update the chart. ?
First time posting but long time watching this forum. Thank you to everyone who has provided such great insight and making this wait more tolerable.
I used the data from the Submitted Orders page and plotted RN vs invite date. Several assumptions made but here is the chart as it stands now...