My point is that Tesla won't be making 600 a week anytime soon, so they have cells to spare and 4680 production will ramp faster than what Cybertruck production will require
In fact, again from the OP video, they will have trouble finding where to stuff the amount of 4680s they will be making...
Hope this will stop the :
"They can't ship the 500 mile version because they don't have enough 4680 cell supply"
They are way ahead of what Cybertruck will consume today, at a 5 GWh/year run rate, they could build 600 units per week of the 500 mile version TODAY, and the 4680s with more lines...
I'm betting way lower than that for 500 miles
Rivian recently released their Max Pack and in house dual motor drivetrain, in which they switched cells and have a total of 149 kWh and 410 miles of range.
363 Wh/mi or 2.75 mi/kWh
My previous estimation for Cybertruck based of upscaling a Model...
Here, the three highlighted ones means directly energy density improvement at a cell level, so 40% energy density improvement on the 6 years after battery day, but we all know how Tesla works, turns the impossible into late, so they will get there, likely taking more than 6 years
This means...
You guys discussing that it costs too much are forgetting IRA manufacturing credits
There is plenty of space for a double stacked nearly 200 kWh pack, even more now that the 4680s V2 are 95 Wh per cell, but let's go with 180 kWh for 500 miles since that my prediction and compare to other Tesla...
If you consider the 285/65/R20 tire, and that the bottom is more or less aligned with the center of the wheel, this comes around at 17" ground clearance
Thanks man
Yeah, because it's more effective, the second paper goes into detail on the why, and also recommend this video that is a summary of the paper
But the TLDR is, while cooling the bottom seems more effective because the thermal path is shorter, the performance is worse due to the...
I'm the author of some of the graphs John used in his video
I recommend reading these two papers, the amount of ohmic losses heat generated inside the cells due to the tabless electrode is greatly reduced to almost nothing
Also as shown there, the most likely explanation with all the data we...
Again, Troy confusing things
One is usable energy, another is gross capacity, there is a bottom buffer
When we talk about pack size it should be the gross capacity
As always, Troy with wrong info
Current 4680s are 86.5 Wh, making the 10% increase be 95 Wh
I'm on the team double stack of 4680s for sure, copying my latest speculation from somewhere else, and this is was before the earnings call, so numbers are better than this
Not a silly question, but a single layer pack would need a 4680 to store around 200 Wh, or more than double than now
Specific energy for that is around 560 Wh/kg, so no, 500 miles won't happen in a single layer anytime soon, maybe when the refresh of the refresh of the refresh Cybertruck...
I went down that rabbit hole a few days ago
The TLDR is that 500 miles Cybertruck is definitely doable with current 4680s, the pack will have to be double stacked
But the important point is, the pack would always have been double stacks of cells for it to happen, 4680s would need to have...