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  1. The Limiting Factor - 2023-Q3 Batteries: State of Play

    My point is that Tesla won't be making 600 a week anytime soon, so they have cells to spare and 4680 production will ramp faster than what Cybertruck production will require In fact, again from the OP video, they will have trouble finding where to stuff the amount of 4680s they will be making...
  2. The Limiting Factor - 2023-Q3 Batteries: State of Play

    Hope this will stop the : "They can't ship the 500 mile version because they don't have enough 4680 cell supply" They are way ahead of what Cybertruck will consume today, at a 5 GWh/year run rate, they could build 600 units per week of the 500 mile version TODAY, and the 4680s with more lines...
  3. Musk talks Cybertruck specs (0-60, vehicle weight) & production volume on Joe Rogan podcast interview (10/31/23)

    I'm betting way lower than that for 500 miles Rivian recently released their Max Pack and in house dual motor drivetrain, in which they switched cells and have a total of 149 kWh and 410 miles of range. 363 Wh/mi or 2.75 mi/kWh My previous estimation for Cybertruck based of upscaling a Model...
  4. Actual Off-Road Testing: climbing & descending (@ Hollister Hill RSVA - 10/23/23)

    Biggest noteworthy thing for me that is somewhat young is inverter whine, on Rivian I can hear it on most if not all videos, dead silent here
  5. More 500-mile range rumors!

    Yes it is, it's gravimetric energy density, there is also Wh/l, volumetric energy density Both terms are used in the battery industry for a long time
  6. More 500-mile range rumors!

    Here, the three highlighted ones means directly energy density improvement at a cell level, so 40% energy density improvement on the 6 years after battery day, but we all know how Tesla works, turns the impossible into late, so they will get there, likely taking more than 6 years This means...
  7. More 500-mile range rumors!

    You guys discussing that it costs too much are forgetting IRA manufacturing credits There is plenty of space for a double stacked nearly 200 kWh pack, even more now that the 4680s V2 are 95 Wh per cell, but let's go with 180 kWh for 500 miles since that my prediction and compare to other Tesla...
  8. [Video + Pics] Cybertruck suspension at high setting height (loading onto trailer and public streets)

    If you consider the 285/65/R20 tire, and that the bottom is more or less aligned with the center of the wheel, this comes around at 17" ground clearance
  9. 4680 charging issues???

    Thanks man Yeah, because it's more effective, the second paper goes into detail on the why, and also recommend this video that is a summary of the paper But the TLDR is, while cooling the bottom seems more effective because the thermal path is shorter, the performance is worse due to the...
  10. 4680 charging issues???

    I'm the author of some of the graphs John used in his video I recommend reading these two papers, the amount of ohmic losses heat generated inside the cells due to the tabless electrode is greatly reduced to almost nothing Also as shown there, the most likely explanation with all the data we...
  11. Cybertruck Range Prediction + Cell Calculation + More [Sources]

    Yes, but you can't say a cell has less energy because you only want to talk about nominal energy Current 4680s have 86.5 Wh of capacity, period
  12. Cybertruck Range Prediction + Cell Calculation + More [Sources]

    Again, Troy confusing things One is usable energy, another is gross capacity, there is a bottom buffer When we talk about pack size it should be the gross capacity
  13. Cybertruck Range Prediction + Cell Calculation + More [Sources]

    As always, Troy with wrong info Current 4680s are 86.5 Wh, making the 10% increase be 95 Wh I'm on the team double stack of 4680s for sure, copying my latest speculation from somewhere else, and this is was before the earnings call, so numbers are better than this
  14. Cybertruck Predictions - Battery Size & Range!

    Seeing all the wrong units here makes my head hurt kWh - Energy, pack size kW - Power
  15. More Cybertruck Castings Pile Up at GFTX!? (06.02.23)

    That isn't reinforcement, it's the sprue and runner channels from the casting process, it will be all trimmed off
  16. Great view this morning into Cybertruck general assembly line

    Wish they built an off road test track nearby so we could see how it goes
  17. Double stacked 4680 cells for the Cybertruck long range version?

    Not a silly question, but a single layer pack would need a 4680 to store around 200 Wh, or more than double than now Specific energy for that is around 560 Wh/kg, so no, 500 miles won't happen in a single layer anytime soon, maybe when the refresh of the refresh of the refresh Cybertruck...
  18. Double stacked 4680 cells for the Cybertruck long range version?

    Yes, impossible to have 500 miles of range on a Single layer with current battery tech And there is space for it
  19. Jordan Giesige (The Limiting Factor) : "We may not see the Long Range Version of the CyberTruck for a couple of years"

    I went down that rabbit hole a few days ago The TLDR is that 500 miles Cybertruck is definitely doable with current 4680s, the pack will have to be double stacked But the important point is, the pack would always have been double stacks of cells for it to happen, 4680s would need to have...





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