Build Speed

[Aztlancito]

Once the Texas giga plant is up and running, I wonder how long it will take to build one Cybertruck, and how many will roll off production lines in one day?

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[CyberMoose]

The time to build a Cybertruck shouldn't be long, that's just how assembly lines are designed. All of the parts will be made individual of one another and put together on the line. So really we would be looking more at how fast can one be assembled, which should be faster than traditional vehicles since Tesla is going with a structural battery pack as the base and an exoskeleton instead of panels on a frame. So many of the parts that are just cosmetic on vehicles are gone.

The best I could guess for Cybertrucks per day would be around 800 Cybertrucks per day. This is just based off of what Elon said previously about 250,000-300,000 produced per year as an estimate.

We also need to understand that the Cybertruck will probably begin production before they are completely done building the factory. As soon as construction has finished will everything completely necessary for both production and safety, production can begin while construction finishes more of the less important features of the factory. So production might be reduced at first until everything is complete.

 

[BillyGee]

Once the Texas giga plant is up and running, I wonder how long it will take to build one Cybertruck, and how many will roll off production lines in one day?

At first when everything is in place they will probably make 5 a day at most. However, if the ramp schedule of the 3 and Y is comparable they'll probably be able to produce 150+ a day fairly quickly, probably about 6 months after the pilot line is complete.

We also don't know how fast the stainless origami machines will operate and of there's any kind of supply side slowdowns.

 

[DMC-81]

Well, I subscribe to the old Midas Muffler commercial statement: " First you get good. Then you get fast. "

So, I'm in favor of a thoughtful /careful ramp up speed.

 

[Diehard]

there's any kind of supply side slowdowns.

4680 can potentially be the largest source of delay. Panasonic guy made it sound like the biggest challenge they have faced and it does not look like they will make CT without it at large scale. Smi, Y and S may share the supply so if the battery production have serious hiccups or can not satisfy the demand that could extend the wait time. Some say 4680 was supposed to go into S plaid battery pack but didn’t. I am not sure if it is true or should be of source of concern. If anyone knows about what is new about the pack please do share.

With Tesla, it is when rather than if so the patient will have their CT.

 

[BillyGee]

4680 can potentially be the largest source of delay.

Battery day last year made it sound like the 4680 was supposed to be a lot easier to make and out of less difficult materiels, but that very well could have just been the spin of the presentation. Hopefully it goes smoothly.

 

[Crissa]

The 4680 is potentially a source of speed for them. One of the problems they're encountering with the 18650s and 2170s is that the machines wrapping battery cells max out on the number of cells per minute - literally, they can only make conveyors go so fast. Physically bigger cells means more wattage per cell which means more production per conveyor belt.

But they have to make these cells without error. The problems the Bolts and Kias had were due to having tiny errors... One microscopic flaw in one layer in one of the three hundred cells in just one in a hundred thousand cars and they have to recall them all!

So of course the ramp-up is as careful as can be.

I don't think the new Model S was yet meant to have the 4680s. It's not constrained by battery pack size, as I pointed out.

-Crissa

 

[Diehard]

Battery day last year made it sound like the 4680 was supposed to be a lot easier to make and out of less difficult materiels, but that very well could have just been the spin of the presentation. Hopefully it goes smoothly.

They did not try to mislead. They clearly stated it is not done and there are challenges ahead. Listen to 3 minutes of this past time stamp:

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