Crissa
Well-known member
- First Name
- Crissa
- Joined
- Jul 8, 2020
- Threads
- 126
- Messages
- 16,211
- Reaction score
- 27,072
- Location
- Santa Cruz
- Vehicles
- 2014 Zero S, 2013 Mazda 3
Exactly. Ford pre-orders were capped at 200k, they might deliver 15k this year. Rivian still had 71k after delivering 2k this spring. There were 65k Hummer pre-orders (tho that went down to 59k after delivering a few hundred) and reported 110k Silverado pre-orders.Even with a 50% drop in pre orders the CT will have more order requests than the F150L, Rivian and GM combined.
Tesla stopped counting after 400k reservations, the good money is they have near a million. Even if everyone who has another EV truck on reservation has a Cybertruck reservation too... that's still more than 50% of pre-orders remaining.
Let alone the other manufacturers ability to actually deliver their trucks. Which, as Elon said, is hard.
Even Tesla's slowest/worst roll out - the Model 3 - had only 25% loss and Tesla did eventually sell the car for two years at the price announced four years earlier.Tesla is probably assuming that a certain percentage of reservations will cancel no matter what, and they have the numbers from the Model S, Model X, Model 3, and Model Y to back them up. Yes, with the CT the reservation fee was less than for the other models and that will play into it. It would not surprise me if 30+% of the reservations are dropped (for whatever reason). Probably more as you move down the reservation position line.
https://electrek.co/2018/06/04/tesla-model-3-reservations-refunded-report/
https://www.cnet.com/roadshow/news/tesla-model-3-price-range-msrp-increase/
-Crissa
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