Confirmed: Original US Reservation List Exhausted

[YDR37]

I think the price is out of the range for all the "Normal Tesla Fans' "90% of us... You know us working people. Elon will have to drop the price down another 20K to reach the working class guys like us.

The frustrating thing is that Elon got this, but was apparently unable to follow through. He had the following thoughts on Tesla truck pricing back in June 2019:

“We don’t want it to be really expensive. I think it’s got to start at less than $50,000, it’s got to be like $49,000 starting price, maximum, ideally less. … It’s got to be something that’s affordable. There will be versions of the truck that are more expensive, but you’ve got to be able to get a really great truck for $49,000, or less.”

Has not aged well.

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[Jack27]

It’s really all relative bro. The market and demand drives the price and when the market and demand dip so will the price you will then think it’s a geat deal and you got them but in reality your truck is really just worth less anyway. Now if you say you got your ct off an old dude who didn’t care and you got it for cheap now I would say yeah good job ! But as far as buying new you will pay market price and demand and it will still be worth less on resale value as well. .

 

[MiddKid]

The order list is far from exhausted, the 2024 Cybertruck production is going to be about 120,000 units. (5000+ delivered in August)
2025 production is expected to be doubled to 250,000.
Tesla stated goal is annual production of 350,000.
I'm #600k, so I'll expect delivery near the end of 2025 or early 2026.
With an order backlog of nearly 2 million you don't have to be a Fooking genius to figure out that the order list is a long way from being exhausted.
The OP might need some remedial mathematics therapy!

I’m in the same boat as the OP. Very “late” order placed July 17, 2023 (RN1195*****). I thought I would be years down the list. Got the invite on 10/11 to configure a non-foundation and take delivery “Oct-Nov 2024.” Assuming date of pre-order is the invite order then I would full agree with the OP…the multi-year wait is non-existent. The only thing that could be different would be if they were prioritizing certain customers. Only thing that makes me stand out is I bought my first Model S in 2014 and my current Model X in 2017 so I’m a long time customer (still holding onto my free lifetime supercharging, free premium connectivity, and my $2K FSD in my MX).

 

[Jack27]

The frustrating thing is that Elon got this, but was apparently unable to follow through. He had the following thoughts on Tesla truck pricing back in June 2019:

Has not aged well.

In 2019 I also paid $5 for a subway sandwich that’s $16 today. Inflation happens you can’t blame him. I’m sure he wishes he could sale it for his projected price at the time

 

[Roy2001]

In 2019 I also paid $5 for a subway sandwich that’s $16 today. Inflation happens you can’t blame him. I’m sure he wishes he could sale it for his projected price at the time

But you should compare with prices of other brand vehicles, not poor sandwiches! Who taught you logic?

 

[Crissa]

In 2019 I also paid $5 for a subway sandwich that’s $16 today. Inflation happens you can’t blame him. I’m sure he wishes he could sale it for his projected price at the time

Why lie?

What's the point of lying like that?

-Crissa

 

[NotMyTruck]

Does this math?

If we stick with promises, then technically truck should cost around $65k (before bed liner and electric bed cover or $74.5k depending on your income) after delivery fees. That is assuming the initial $50k stated in 2019.

source: https://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/cpicalc.pl?cost1=50000&year1=201901&year2=202409

Let’s try to further close this gap. Ford F150 Lightning is likely the truck’s closest competitor. (Why: in my opinion, rivian is more Tacoma than Lightning and Silverado WT doesn’t offer the same features.)

Spray in bed liner: $599 (before tax)
Electric tanneu cover: $2,799 (before tax)
https://realtruck.com/p/retrax-powe...Y8hn6mY_V9aqph3bDSDqdP32auyrGuCQaApmqEALw_wcB
Plus Tax and install on the said options: $1,500*
*I think it’s worth including the overhead cost on this because the Cybertruck does come with a liner and an electric cover.
Total: $69,800


However, ford is about $80k (for a comparably equipped Lariat with 131kwh battery pack, but blue cruise is no longer included in sale. I may or may not have almost bought one ?) minus a lot of incentives and credits pits some buyers at $62k plus $5k in the above options; so now we are at like $67k (or 74.5k if you don’t qualify for current EV tax credit). Ford is cheaper in this scenario, was first to market and has more vehicles on the road at the moment. If my math maths, then we’re only about $5.5k apart. It may feasible that cybertruck cost less after 2-3 years on the market.

 

[CyberTK1]

Sounds like you’re in the used truck market, which is not a bad thing. I’ve owned over 2pm cars in my life, and only bought 2 new ones. I regret the first one, 2004 F-150, for about $18,000, because it was just too expensive. The second one in my CyberBeast(Still too expensive) and I can afford it now and love it. But my next one will probably be used again.

This! I don't know why so many complain today they can't afford a new car and never talk about buying used. The used market is a gold mine for frugal people.

 

[Coagulation]

Sounds like you’re in the used truck market, which is not a bad thing. I’ve owned over 2pm cars in my life, and only bought 2 new ones. I regret the first one, 2004 F-150, for about $18,000, because it was just too expensive. The second one in my CyberBeast(Still too expensive) and I can afford it now and love it. But my next one will probably be used again.

Same here. CT is the only new car I’ve owned. If I was patient, I’d have waited 5-10 years and picked up a used one.

My next vehicle will almost definitely be used after this, whenever that may be. Nothing to do with affordability. It just makes sense to wait 3-5 years, let someone else eat the worst of the depreciation, and then buy a car that’s basically new.

 

[BayouCityBob]

I’m in the same boat as the OP. Very “late” order placed July 17, 2023 (RN1195*****). I thought I would be years down the list. Got the invite on 10/11 to configure a non-foundation and take delivery “Oct-Nov 2024.” Assuming date of pre-order is the invite order then I would full agree with the OP…the multi-year wait is non-existent. The only thing that could be different would be if they were prioritizing certain customers. Only thing that makes me stand out is I bought my first Model S in 2014 and my current Model X in 2017 so I’m a long time customer (still holding onto my free lifetime supercharging, free premium connectivity, and my $2K FSD in my MX).

It is possible, of course, but on this thread and on the other, we have only seen one single, solitary person calming that they are still waiting for an invite. If there were still a significant waiting list, I would expect that at least a few more than one would be on the owners forum...

 

[carsly]

You seem to have forgotten about people like me, that ordered a truck, but are waiting for the cheaper version. Almost 6 years.

You can wait for 2019 prices on milk, clothing, healthcare, housing or anything else. Good luck with that.

 

[Jon Snow]

I grew up detailing cars and working at a detail shop. When you wax cars you find allot of things wrong . I’m of the belief that if you combed over many cars you would find the same build quality issues and “panel alignment “ issues. I look at mine and yeah I see like a little non alignment but hey it’s a big ass truck and it just doesn’t bother me . I’m sure some of those issues are legit but that also comes with being one of the first owners!

Agree .. my Dodge truck is far, far, from perfect. I sold a BMW and the buyer pointed out panel gaps wondering if it in a collision (no) .. all makes are like this. I think Tesla had worse issues in the past though .. seems good now.

 

[BayouCityBob]

You can wait for 2019 prices on milk, clothing, healthcare, housing or anything else. Good luck with that.

Battery pack prices are 20% lower today than they were in 2019.
Hot-rolled Coiled Steel was $703 / ton on April 1, 2019 and was $696 / ton on Friday.
I think this is less about inflation than about someone's cost model being a bit too optimistic...

¯\_(ツ)_/¯

 

[Coaly]

					I’m in the same boat as the OP. Very “late” order placed July 17, 2023 (RN1195*****). I thought I would be years down the list. Got the invite on 10/11 to configure a non-foundation and take delivery “Oct-Nov 2024.” Assuming date of pre-order is the invite order then I would full agree with the OP…the multi-year wait is non-existent. The only thing that could be different would be if they were prioritizing certain customers. Only thing that makes me stand out is I bought my first Model S in 2014 and my current Model X in 2017 so I’m a long time customer (still holding onto my free lifetime supercharging, free premium connectivity, and my $2K FSD in my MX). My reservation date was August 2023. RN 1196xxxxx. North East PA. This would be my first EV. Never test drove a Tesla, never been to a showroom or service center. Never even sat or rode in one. I got the estimated Oct-Nov date if order was confirmed as well. The only reason I waited was because I’m so far from any service center for a first year vehicle, (2 hours +) hoping one would materialize within an hour of me.

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