Same here, just got my VIN for the AWD, called my Farmers' agent, it's quoted at $1743/year, not bad, maybe because I'm a great, aged driver, in CA, bayarea.
Had the similar thought prior to receiving the invite, but went ahead with an order after I got the email. Your only saving might be the 7500 tax credit, but with any packages (FSD, etc.) added, you'd exceed the limit and get disqualified for that.
I was just throwing a wild guess here, based on the RN prefix listed. For RN11275xxxx, there were 186 entries here, so 186/10000 got the invites. If we assume 50% dropped out the waiting list, and 50% people didn't enter their info here, that'd be 186/2500, that's still a low 7.5%. Hope my...
Not quite accurate, if you consider the reported/recorded rate here in this site is 107/875 = 1/8, and if that same rate is applied to the number of ordered, then 1300*8 = 10400, that should be more closer to the reality.
My RN is 11286xxxx, got the invite and ordered. I saw 23 people listed here with the same prefix, 23/10000, considering that not all who ordered are here entering their info, and some might not have got the patience to wait for 4+ years and dropped out, the odds to receive an invite may be...