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  1. Tinker71

    50 million batteries - range extender update

    5 miles per day is 1800 miles per year. If that was an ICE truck that is the equivalent to 120 gallons per year. Probably a 2 year payback. I could see 1000 + watt arrays that fold out and track a little. I can't wait for people to hack this.
  2. Tinker71

    50 million batteries - range extender update

    You are probably right. I haven't studied the split pack architecture but they will essentially be adding to each parallel string if not mistaken. That is potentially a lot of connections, and given the separation and potential age difference in cells the BMS will need to continually compensate.
  3. Tinker71

    50 million batteries - range extender update

    That is the catch in my mind. Will they match voltage/cell capacity ? ... ie truly integrate into the pack or is it stand alone capacity that recharges the main pack. The later means it is more hackable. If the range extender uses different cells and just charges the main pack through a...
  4. Tinker71

    50 million batteries - range extender update

    What else would delay range extender? @ $16000 it is a high margin adder. I can't recall the exact size but ~45kWhr x $100 cost = $4500. There is the box/BMS/cooling, but I bet they can build it for $8000.
  5. Tinker71

    50 million batteries - range extender update

    Maybe the induction charger connection is the place to hack. I am thinking a 2000 watt fuel cell that allows the waste heat to heat the cabin/battery. Removable off course. That would increase the winter range a bit and prevent getting stranded as long as the fuel cell had fuel.
  6. Tinker71

    50 million batteries - range extender update

    With the recent news that batteries are not the limiting factor on the CT ramp I think we can expect the Range Extender any time. That is assuming it uses 4680 batteries. I really want to see the hackability of that connection. Did anyone recall from the tear downs if this was identified?
  7. Tinker71

    I’m RN# 11323XXX My place in line is 495,744. How is this possible? Is everyone cancelling?

    Wow. I was 650kish. I voted for Elon's pay package and also got an invite. I think you are onto something. Haha. Nope there is only so many people that can drop $100 to $120k for a truck. Tesla will check all 2 million reservation holders.
  8. Tinker71

    I’m RN# 11323XXX My place in line is 495,744. How is this possible? Is everyone cancelling?

    I got an invite today. July 2019 reservations date. The tracker placed me at 650000. Without knowing delivery promises exactly I am guesstimating a <10% take rate overall on the FS. I am not in a position to do this now. If they put me in the back of the line sobeit. $75k and...
  9. Tinker71

    For those who though that Foundation was really limited to 1000's units....here is your proof that its not....

    I kind of guestimated. I like your number better. But the competition gets greater everyday and the desire to be an early owner will fade. I am projecting a decrease in take rate.
  10. Tinker71

    For those who though that Foundation was really limited to 1000's units....here is your proof that its not....

    I wonder if later reservations will have the same conversion rate. I am around 600000 and I am hoping mine doesn't come up until late 2025 when my m3 lease is over. If your 225000 came up this early in the ramp I suspect mine will come up around November. Bottom line is conversion rate...
  11. Tinker71

    For those who though that Foundation was really limited to 1000's units....here is your proof that its not....

    Most truck sidewalls are too tall to access directly. I am 6'-1" and still they are too tall without leaning against them. Fashion over function in most cases if you ask me.
  12. Tinker71

    For those who though that Foundation was really limited to 1000's units....here is your proof that its not....

    I think you are right. Then Tesla will scrap the entire reservation system, return deposits, and take full deposits for orders on a first come first serve based on the advertised price at the time. Then and only then will they start adjusting the price based on demand. We know how Tesla...
  13. Tinker71

    4680 cell improvements by 10-20%

    I didn't want bet in the first place. I simply said "what if xyz" You admitted to be first to the naysayer bandwagon. Congrats on your win. I guess.
  14. Tinker71

    4680 cell improvements by 10-20%

    What if Tesla builds it/licenses/sanctions it for a fee? Does that count? If Tesla could build a home energy storage conversion kit for the used CT pack and put them on their virtual power grid to pair with this new pack sale the economic payback could be much higher than 30%. Volume...
  15. Tinker71

    4680 cell improvements by 10-20%

    Supposedly CATL new Shenxing battery pack has a pack level density of 205 Wh/Kg vs the CT 170. Plus 10 minute 10-80% changing. Using straight ratio maths this would translate to 410 miles of range for the CT dual motor. As I do the math adding 20% (optimistic) to the current CT pack...
  16. Tinker71

    Cybertruck Bed Air Mattress - BestEvMod product

    Internal electric pumps work good. No adapters to lose or hoses to break.
  17. Tinker71

    35 miles until a problem- now resolved

    80% charge would be easy to obtain and reasonable to store at and show they care a little.
  18. Tinker71

    Report: Tesla lays off entire Supercharger team! [Update: Elon Musk says supercharger growth will continue]

    I hate to see layoffs but Elon may be right. With faster charging speed people on trips will use convenience store chargers or converted gas stations. They are coming. And remember at build our EVs will only require 60% of the nozzles.





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