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GN1

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Based on 2025 sales, Tesla averages 30k units per week. I’d imagine unit volume of non Cybertruck units would be lower than typical during the 10 days Cybertruck sale. I’d estimate those SAWD sales are closer to 70-80k units.
Um,
Based on 2025 sales, Tesla averages 30k units per week. I’d imagine unit volume of non Cybertruck units would be lower than typical during the 10 days Cybertruck sale. I’d estimate those SAWD sales are closer to 70-80k units.
🤦‍♂️
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comet2

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This gives me hope! I’ve checked chat it every day. It’s been consistently saying July 21 to Sept 15. Today it updated to 2027! I was bummed until I saw your post. 🤞
You have no idea how bummed I was when I saw 2027. 9:00-10:00am showed 2027. 2:00 pm VIN assigned. 🤯

I hope and pray everyone in this group gets the CT soon.
 

comet2

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Well just checked with Tesla AI bot. Mine changed from Aug4th-Sept29th to "2027".
Whatever...guess I get it when I get it
When the Tesla bot and the Tesla sales rep said Jun 30-Aug11 for me, I was sure “maybe” the AI got it right. So I never checked with the BOT for a while. Curiosity got the best of me and I checked and then BOT said 2027. Ugh!! I even deleted the chat, turned phone off and back on. Still said 2027. Then at 2:00 pm I got my VIN assigned with pickup the next day available.
 
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comet2

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Still early.

But from what I've gathered:
NC: 2 days
GA: 4 days
TX: 4 to 8 days
OH: 11 days
WA: 12 days
Socal: 14 days
VA: 19 days
PA: 21 days

(Not average, just individual cases I've seen)
Oklahoma but pickup in MO - VIN to pickup was 1 day.
 

comet2

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The Cybertruck remains a low volume vehicle for Tesla. I read they manufacture roughly 100 Cybertruck’s per day.

In comparison Ford’s Kansas City plant manufactures roughly 900-1,000 F-150 pickup trucks per day.
When I was picking up yesterday, they had 3 M3 and 6 Y’s staged for pickup. In comparison, only 1 CT was staged for pickup. This was 1:00 pm. The Detailer said he had been busy since 9:00 am.
 


comet2

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same thing happened to me, I tried later, and it worked, it wants to take a picture of your license so maybe wait for the camera to pop up before trying to enter any information
I had the same issue. Call the SC, they are able to change the expiry date. It defaults to the current date and won’t let you proceed. Once the SC fixing that, make sure to go back and take the selfie, else it will say step incomplete.
 

comet2

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I have mixed feelings about the CT looks but I agree 100% that the "normal" pickups are downright ugly. Minor variations on the theme "my truck can eat your car."
Same here. Both my wife and I work for an Oil and Gas company but drive electric cars, the President jokes about it but knows IDC. Lol.
 

antiman

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Same here. Both my wife and I work for an Oil and Gas company but drive electric cars, the President jokes about it but knows IDC. Lol.
im also in the oilfield, I get crap about my Y but took it to work one day and let a couple of coworkers feel the performance and one said he wants one now, im sure I will get crap about the cybertruck cause I will be using it at work.
 

Trbizwiz

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I guess I’m unclear what you’re saying?
Maybe you’re disagreeing with my hypothesis. So heees the math.
Tesla sold 1,636,129 total units (all models) in 2025. That’s an average of 31,464/ week. IMO, total non Cybertruck sales may be lower than average during a time that Tesla has an unusual sale on a popular, but previously out of reach vehicle. Maybe 30% fewer non Cybertruck sales during that week to 10 days. So if there were 100,000 sales based on Reservation numbers. Attribute 20k sales to non Cybertruck, and you have 80k Cybertruck sales. That’s the bull case for CT sales, base case is, Tesla still sold its average roughly 30k (all models) per week, leaving roughly 70k Cybertruck sales, most of which would likely be the SAWD.
 


comet2

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I think I finally got caught up on all the posts on here. @AWDMK4 don’t post a quiz please. 😃😃

Few additional details and pics.
Build Date: 06/2026
Tesla Cybertruck $59k Base Dual-Motor AWD Cybertruck Begin Delivery! 949F2655-6F67-42F8-B24B-944E71508E2A

Mileage at pickup: 5
Tesla Cybertruck $59k Base Dual-Motor AWD Cybertruck Begin Delivery! 27BD3D98-4DBF-49DF-9A05-46CD72A35A1C

Driving efficiency:
Tesla Cybertruck $59k Base Dual-Motor AWD Cybertruck Begin Delivery! 6B134223-812D-4184-9ABE-047034E3194D


Total vs FSD miles:408/ 386.
I had to correct it twice and both times, I was wrong. The FSD knew exactly where it was going

Tesla Cybertruck $59k Base Dual-Motor AWD Cybertruck Begin Delivery! IMG_5229
 

drexzy121

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Glad to see all of these deliveries across the nation!! I’ve just been doing some light shopping, got an L-track and this SpaceX license plate frame.

Will put the frame on the truck when it gets here (God knows when, still stuck with August-October ETA)

#wenmerger
Tesla Cybertruck $59k Base Dual-Motor AWD Cybertruck Begin Delivery! IMG_1833
 

mrcyber

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AI bot is saying my delivery date is now September- November (from July-August). I am a 2/20 order date. What’s happening!?!
Same here. Both my wife and I work for an Oil and Gas company but drive electric cars, the President jokes about it but knows IDC. Lol.
Remind them of the methods used to generate electricity.
 

GN1

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I guess I’m unclear what you’re saying?
Maybe you’re disagreeing with my hypothesis. So heees the math.
Tesla sold 1,636,129 total units (all models) in 2025. That’s an average of 31,464/ week. IMO, total non Cybertruck sales may be lower than average during a time that Tesla has an unusual sale on a popular, but previously out of reach vehicle. Maybe 30% fewer non Cybertruck sales during that week to 10 days. So if there were 100,000 sales based on Reservation numbers. Attribute 20k sales to non Cybertruck, and you have 80k Cybertruck sales. That’s the bull case for CT sales, base case is, Tesla still sold its average roughly 30k (all models) per week, leaving roughly 70k Cybertruck sales, most of which would likely be the SAWD.
Sorry I just felt like there were so many holes in the logic, wasn't quite sure what to say.

1. First, let's have all the numbers as a 10-day period. So 31,464/week is about 45K. To have 80K in Cybertruck sales, within 100K reservations during the 10-day period, Tesla would have had to convert 25K of other vehicle sales (3 and Y) to Cybertruck sales. The way I see it, there could be 2 main possibilities for this (and I guess any mix between the 2). Scenario A is that around half of all 3 and Y buyers in this 10-day period thought that a $59k Cybertruck was such a good deal, that they decided to spend an additional $15K on a vehicle. (I'm leaving out S and X because those make up like 5% sales, almost negligible). Scenario B is that 25K 3 and Y buyers just for some reason decided not to order a Tesla in this 10-day period and was replaced with 25K Cybertruck buyers that weren't interested in buying a non-Cybertruck Tesla before. I don't consider either scenario to be likely. I don't see how Tesla could have significantly lower (50%) than average non-Cybertruck sales, coincidentally and arbitrarily, in this 10-day period.

2. I'd just mentioned in an earlier post today that 40K, and others, were too high of an estimate. Due to 80K to 110K RN's basically being the baseline for a 10-day period. And after that, you just doubled the 40K.

3. Plenty of reservation holders have already considered cancelling, potentially due to: financial reasons, long wait time, FSD cannot transfer, etc. But I guess this point is somewhat of a different discussion.

Hope this makes sense!
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