Best Guess on % Listed on Order / Delivered Lists

[GFleck]

What's everyone's best guess on what % of folks who have ordered and/or taken delivery have posted on the lists here?
I'm guessing 65% of those who have ordered have added it to the list and 60% of those who have taken delivery have. No basis, just a pure gut guess. Curious what others think.

Sponsored

 

[dralkim86]

What's everyone's best guess on what % of folks who have ordered and/or taken delivery have posted on the lists here?
I'm guessing 65% of those who have ordered have added it to the list and 60% of those who have taken delivery have. No basis, just a pure gut guess. Curious what others think.

That's pretty optimistic imo. I'd say <10%.

 

[mark555055c]

Tesla has barely started delivereing early january orders for folks outside of TX, CA, and FL, so i'd say only 20% or so.

 

[Woodrick]

What's everyone's best guess on what % of folks who have ordered and/or taken delivery have posted on the lists here?
I'm guessing 65% of those who have ordered have added it to the list and 60% of those who have taken delivery have. No basis, just a pure gut guess. Curious what others think.

The front page of the forum indicates that there are 23,493 members.

How many reservations are there? How many individuals are there that will actually create an order?
If your guess is an abysmal 250,000 orders, then this forum represents less than 10% of the mass. If you guess 2.5M orders, then it's 1%.

 

[GFleck]

Agree I'm most likley WAY high. I stopped by Indianapolis dealership today and there were 3 for delivery in the parking lot and the guy working said they've delivered about 8 from there so far. There's about a dozen ahead of me on here waiting for a delivery date. I'm anxious but also cool with a few more kinks getting worked out and maybe a software update or two before I take delivery.

 

[Gracilis]

I expect it varies by state/region.

With Tesla positive states like CA, TX, FL it’s probably a lower percentage vs other states.

For some anecdotal evidence, look at Richmond VA. So far 80-100% of the VINs assigned in that SC are to forum members compare with CA where there are way more trucks than forum members.

Overall, I’d guess 5-10% of reservations but 15-20% of early adopters.

Sponsored