📊 Cybertruck SUBMITTED ORDERS Tracking List & Stats [Add Yours!]

[kingq]

did you get your VIN today ? or you dont know what day

Don't know exactly when it's assigned, just found it today in the app, after I clicked "Vehicle Details".

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[@cad]

I used the change form but it says only to fill in that which needs changed which I did but guessing it won't fix it by doing the same thing over.

It has been updated. Thanks!

 

[Jhodgesatmb]

My RN is 11286xxxx, got the invite and ordered. I saw 23 people listed here with the same prefix, 23/10000, considering that not all who ordered are here entering their info, and some might not have got the patience to wait for 4+ years and dropped out, the odds to receive an invite may be around 100/10000 = 1%, I guess, or even 500/10000 that's still a low 5% chance.

And the biggest prefix I saw was 11275, with 186 entries.

I m confused by your comment. It sounds like you are saying that you are saying that 100 in 10,000 or 500 in 10,000 were receiving invitations to order. Did you really mean to say that 100 in 10,000 or 500 in 10,000 were accepting the invitation offer, because I still believe that they are sending out [at least] 10,000 invitations per week and some small percentage of those are accepting the invitation.

 

[Jhodgesatmb]

It's not the IRS I'm worried about, it's The People's Republic of Kalifornia, home of the tax refund IOU

https://www.cnbc.com/id/31547817

That is funny but I have lived here in California my entire tax life and I do not recall ever getting a tax refund IOU from the state.

 

[kingq]

I m confused by your comment. It sounds like you are saying that you are saying that 100 in 10,000 or 500 in 10,000 were receiving invitations to order. Did you really mean to say that 100 in 10,000 or 500 in 10,000 were accepting the invitation offer, because I still believe that they are sending out [at least] 10,000 invitations per week and some small percentage of those are accepting the invitation.

I was just throwing a wild guess here, based on the RN prefix listed. For RN11275xxxx, there were 186 entries here, so 186/10000 got the invites. If we assume 50% dropped out the waiting list, and 50% people didn't enter their info here, that'd be 186/2500, that's still a low 7.5%. Hope my math makes sense . Didn't consider the declined rate, though. Then, the rate people receiving invites could be much higher, but saw many people with smaller RNs were complaining about not getting the invite.

 

[Jhodgesatmb]

I was just throwing a wild guess here, based on the RN prefix listed. For RN11275xxxx, there were 186 entries here, so 186/10000 got the invites. If we assume 50% dropped out the waiting list, and 50% people didn't enter their info here, that'd be 186/2500, that's still a low 7.5%. Hope my math makes sense . Didn't consider the declined rate, though. Then, the rate people receiving invites could be much higher, but saw many people with smaller RNs were complaining about not getting the invite.

What you see on this list are people that received invitations and accepted them, so your 186 number represents orders. We can see that Tesla went through 10,000 reservation numbers, but we do not know how many invitations were sent or how many orders were placed that aren’t on this forum. Your percentages may well be correct; I just thought maybe you were mixing up invitations with orders.

 

[Spacenoddle]

I just got my invite today too, RN 11290xxx....but I can only order the Foundation series? when am i able to order the regular AWD

Yes
Don't know, for your RN, probably in the middle of 2025.

 

[Eyesore]

I don’t understand what is going on with Washington State.

the upper chart shows that regular deliveries have started here (orange dot).

The lower chart for VIN to delivery shows no deliveries have happened here (no green bar).

The Cybertruck owners chart shows none in Washington.

Please suggest what I’m misunderstanding about the information in the charts.

 

[cgladue]

I don’t understand what is going on with Washington State.

the upper chart shows that regular deliveries have started here (orange dot).

The lower chart for VIN to delivery shows no deliveries have happened here (no green bar).

The Cybertruck owners chart shows none in Washington.

Please suggest what I’m misunderstanding about the information in the charts.

you can click on a state to see the orders and their status's .. there are 4 deliveries pending for WA. the upper chart shows orders that have gotten at least a vin assignment (delivery is imminant) the green stacked bar happens when the delivery actually happens, and we can then calculate the days from VIN to delivery.

 

[cgladue]

I don’t understand what is going on with Washington State.

the upper chart shows that regular deliveries have started here (orange dot).

The lower chart for VIN to delivery shows no deliveries have happened here (no green bar).

The Cybertruck owners chart shows none in Washington.

Please suggest what I’m misunderstanding about the information in the charts.

 

[Eyesore]

Thank you, did not know you could click on the state.
did not know that waiting for delivery is the same as initial deliveries.

 

[cgladue]

Thank you, did not know you could click on the state.
did not know that waiting for delivery is the same as initial deliveries.

i consider being assigned a VIN part of the delivery process, and that delivery is in process. "Regular" also means several VINs have been assigned for this state, initial deliveries means that there has been 1 or 2

 

[BUlldogtrix]

Just ordered my AWD. First day res, but didn’t get invite until last week (actually no email, just checked my page), and pulled the trigger today. Seemed like it was saying March-April, but now I can’t find that. Anyone recently order an AWD that can shed light on delivery date?

I received mine over weekend and it says end of March to may

 

[Ozzyhhh]

I just got my invite! 11292xxxx Los Angeles CA

 

[Toylover]

I received mine over weekend and it says end of March to may

Is the estimated range for delivery still March to May? I thought starting yesterday it had started to say April to June.

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