.

[ninja6r]

I honestly believe the conversion rate will be over 50% and waiting period for AWD and Single motor will remain over 6 months even after 2026-2027

I want what you're smoking, ?. Just look at sales of new vehicles and price points. Conversation rate will be 20%, if they're extremely lucky. People on this forum live in a bubble. Price is all that matters and at $80k for the same range as a model 3 or Y, the truck is going to be hard to move after the first year or two (yes, not the same market). I suppose in terms of production conversion, Tesla will be at 100%, ?. Plenty of people to fulfill the first 200k vehicles. It's what happens after all the die-hards have bought it that will matter.

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[C T Rick]

With the large 60% price increse, I believe 20% conversion rate on the reservation holders would be good. Remember that $100. deposit brought people out of the woodworks. Had it been $1000. it would have weeded the field very quick.

Personally, i would do the dual. unfortunaly, the truck is too small for me as a plumbing contractor. But for a weekend Ride, I will still consider it. Therefore, my $100 is still in it for the long ride.

Rick

 

[wtibbit]

Wtibbit what's your conversion rate estimate considering entry point is 80k til 2025

I don't have one, because it would just be a guess. In fact, unless Tesla publishes their data - perhaps as part of a report to shareholders? - we may never know how many of the reservation holders convert their reservations to purchases.

I do think it won't matter too much to Tesla in the first few years of production. The reservation holder pool is so large relative to any reasonable ramp-up and full production rate that they'll be able to sell every truck they build to a reservation holder during that time.

It could matter in the future If Tesla's finance folk waste spend their time and energy generating a Five Year Plan or the equivalent. In that unfortunate case they'll have to account for their experienced conversion rate and extrapolate it into the out-years to generated those fluffy out-year sales forecasts and then, years later, explain why the actuals were different. This is one of the reasons CFOs often only spend a few years (the average is less than 4 years!) in that slot in a company...

 

[awhehackeur]

Yahoo News are the fake news trash to begin with... why bother?

 

[Cybrtrk420]

With the large 60% price increse, I believe 20% conversion rate on the reservation holders would be good. Remember that $100. deposit brought people out of the woodworks. Had it been $1000. it would have weeded the field very quick.

Personally, i would do the dual. unfortunaly, the truck is too small for me as a plumbing contractor. But for a weekend Ride, I will still consider it. Therefore, my $100 is still in it for the long ride.

Rick

For reference, in my office of 12 people 6 has CT reservation and none of them have canceled and majority(4-5 at least) will go through with it. Only two out of 12 are Tesla owners and one more is looking to put down deposit

 

[fhteagle]

67% pass rate = 33% of people are some flavor of interested .

Would love to see the same survey for a Mini, or a convertible, or other slightly unusual form factor vehicle. I bet those would all come in at 50+% not interested rate too.

In other words, this isn't really news, but what did you really expect from an ad-run source?

 

[CybertruckCovers]

The Beast.

 

[WormtownKris]

So, this is saying 1 out of every 3 people who HAVEN"T RESERVED a CyberTruck plan to buy one?! No matter how many reservation holders cancel, that would mean Tesla will NEVER run out of buyers!

 

[Cybrtrk420]

So, this is saying 1 out of every 3 people who HAVEN"T RESERVED a CyberTruck plan to buy one?! No matter how many reservation holders cancel, that would mean Tesla will NEVER run out of buyers!

This is what people dont understand. New interest take = 37% will keep the wait time of 6-12 months for the foreseeable future.

 

[CyberGus]

The title of the thread should be changed to read,

67% of a surveyed group who are not reservation holders say no to CT

Hopefully, admin will make a fix.

Title should be changed to “33% of people who didn’t give a shit about the Cybertruck now want one”

 

[tmeyer3]

that's good for me hopefully they cancel soon so I can move up the list

I'm with you there. My body is so ready

 

[RayzorBEV]

That would probably make a good poll here.

Reservation holders, if you had the opportunity on 1/1/24 to buy one of the two Cybertruck models that are to be offered in 2024, which would you buy?

*The Beast
*The AWD
*Neither

CyberBeast

 

[pricedm]

yeah...so most people haven't see a Cybertruck IN PERSON and so it's easy to say: pass.

But--once these are on the road, in numbers like Rivians, I think a lot of people who had no intention of buying will be attracted to the look, the tech, the performance, and above all, the utility. Heck Franz called it a car more than he called it a truck.

After seeing one in person, I felt like I was at an art museusm, looking at a materpiece.

CAN'T WAIT!!!

 

[charliemagpie]

In the meantime, since Nov 30th, with over 25 million YouTube views, 100,000 new CT orders have been placed.

 

[Cybrtrk420]

In the meantime, since Nov 30th, with over 25 million YouTube views, 100,000 new CT orders have been placed.

Exactly, the new pre-orders will be more than or equal to the so called “cancellations” eventually.
This vehicle is a once in a generation vehicle and most people get that. Some wont and never will which is fine

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