Based on Y and 3 ramp up When do we expect…

[Nolacyber]

If you looked at Texas and Germany ramp up for Y and 3, how long to achieve the 4000th unit?

I ask this completely selfishly being a low 4000 reservation holder….

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[greggertruck]

I’d not be suspended if you have your truck by next Christmas.

But I also think there will be 10’s of thousands of truck by next Christmas.

We don’t have any info on both ends of the equation to figure out.

Personally, you should have your ducks in a row by Valentine’s Day. Probably sooner. This assumes you aren’t international.

 

[Gurule92]

I’d not be suspended if you have your truck by next Christmas.

But I also think there will be 10’s of thousands of truck by next Christmas.

We don’t have any info on both ends of the equation to figure out.

Personally, you should have your ducks in a row by Valentine’s Day. Probably sooner. This assumes you aren’t international.

Yo, if low 4k doesn't have it by next Christmas I'm screwed at 40k

 

[ZombiePhysicist]

I expect a token trickle released at the end of 2023. First 500 likely will be really high quality checked over by hand a lot.

I suspect 2024 could put out up to 100,000 units, but the first 50,000 will have somewhat jank quality control. My hope is that by 150,000 they will get quality control in hand, and 2025 should be a good bit more solid and far better output.

 

[Nolacyber]

I think Tesla quality control has always been pretty high. My 2013 model s (delivered dec 2012) was around unit 28000 and has been an amazing trouble free ownership experience.

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