Crissa

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I guess that gives another reason for a Terafactory Australia, then. India uses backwards cars, too, tho they don't like the wide ones so much, if I recall.

Can Perth take big cargo ships?

-Crissa
 

Bigvbear

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Reversing the driver's seat and controls isn't so difficult for a drive-by-wire system. It is true that I can't think of any other place that uses big trucks and your backwards wheel configuration, which means your market is very small.
is the CT drive by wire? That's the first I have heard of that. No current production Tesla's are fully DBW (at least not for the steering those are still mechanically linked)
 

Idaho_7

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If the CT incorporates everything said on "Battery Day" given the 18 months to 3 years to arrive at fruition: I still have one simple question ..... What's the new "Range" estimate?
 

mggoulet

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Here is Autonews' article:

Tesla to make 250,000-300,000 Cybertrucks per year, Musk says

Tesla Inc. CEO Elon Musk said Tuesday the automaker will likely build between 250,000 to 300,000 Cybertruck pickups per year once the electric vehicle goes into production next year.

Musk, speaking on the sidelines of its Battery Day presentation, offered a volume projection for the first time. The pickup will be built out of a new factory Tesla's is building outside Austin, Texas.

"I think there's probably room for at least unit volume of 250,000 to 300,000 a year, maybe more," Musk said.

He noted Tesla has booked "well over half a million" orders in the form of $100 refundable deposits. That's a much higher number than the "couple hundred thousand" orders he told Automotive News last month.

"It's a lot, basically," he said Tuesday. "We stopped counting."

If Tesla sells all the Cybertrucks Musk says it will build, it would rank well below the competition. Ford Motor Co. sold more than 896,000 F-Series pickups in 2019. Fiat Chrysler was second, selling more than 633,000 Ram pickups.

Tesla has said the Cybertruck is "very likely" to be classified as a medium-duty pickup, on par with vehicles like Ford's F-250 Super Duty.

Musk said Tuesday Tesla will likely build a smaller variant to sell overseas.

"We'll probably make an international version that's smaller," he said. "It will still be cooler, it will just be smaller, because you can't just make a giant truck like that for international markets."
What will be the range of trimotor... 500 or 750 miles???
 

mggoulet

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What will be the range of think for 500bor 750 miles ?
 

mlhartley

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These are correct, but I think our biggest problem may be that a right-hand drive version will be required for us and that will take some engineering which Tesla may choose to utilize on other work for larger markets. Ram trucks are now available in Australia and proving fairly popular but that only works because there is a Ram approved conversion company here doing the left to right conversion. There is no question CT would be popular here. The Toyota Hilux dual (twin) cab ute (pick-up) is the most popular vehicle followed by the Ford Ranger dual cab ute. It is only a question if Tesla sees a benefit in engineering and shipping the CT for Oz.
Elon did say Tesla needs a gigafactory on each continent. Perhaps you will have to wait for the factory.
 

Cyberman

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Here is Autonews' article:

Tesla to make 250,000-300,000 Cybertrucks per year, Musk says

Tesla Inc. CEO Elon Musk said Tuesday the automaker will likely build between 250,000 to 300,000 Cybertruck pickups per year once the electric vehicle goes into production next year.

Musk, speaking on the sidelines of its Battery Day presentation, offered a volume projection for the first time. The pickup will be built out of a new factory Tesla's is building outside Austin, Texas.

"I think there's probably room for at least unit volume of 250,000 to 300,000 a year, maybe more," Musk said.

He noted Tesla has booked "well over half a million" orders in the form of $100 refundable deposits. That's a much higher number than the "couple hundred thousand" orders he told Automotive News last month.

"It's a lot, basically," he said Tuesday. "We stopped counting."

If Tesla sells all the Cybertrucks Musk says it will build, it would rank well below the competition. Ford Motor Co. sold more than 896,000 F-Series pickups in 2019. Fiat Chrysler was second, selling more than 633,000 Ram pickups.

Tesla has said the Cybertruck is "very likely" to be classified as a medium-duty pickup, on par with vehicles like Ford's F-250 Super Duty.

Musk said Tuesday Tesla will likely build a smaller variant to sell overseas.

"We'll probably make an international version that's smaller," he said. "It will still be cooler, it will just be smaller, because you can't just make a giant truck like that for international markets."
That...is a serious amount of Cybertrucks. That means they're going to crank out over 800 a day, seven days a week. Damn.
 

Luke42

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What will be the range of trimotor... 500 or 750 miles???
In engineering usually 500+ means "our design goal was 500 miles, and the prototype does that, but we still haven't finished optimizing the design -- so we might get another 5-10% out of it."

Remember that Tesla is a real manufacturer now, so miracle-numbers are different then they are in the Consumer Internet world.

I predict 500+ miles means 550 miles.
 
Last edited:

Mini2nut

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I predict that the first 12-months of production will be under Elon‘s optimistic 200k - 250k per year estimate. I hope I am wrong but here are some of the obstacles that they will face;

-A new exoskeleton truck assembly technique
-Tesla has never worked with SS except for building CT prototypes
-New factory workers
-Production and quality of 3mm stainless steel sheets from supplier
-4680 battery cell supply
 

Eye of Elon

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I predict that the first 12-months of production will be under Elon‘s optimistic 200k - 250k per year estimate. I hope I am wrong but here are some of the obstacles that they will face;

-A new exoskeleton truck assembly technique
-Tesla has never worked with SS except for building CT prototypes
-New factory workers
-Production and quality of 3mm stainless steel sheets from supplier
-4680 battery cell supply
Space X is going to share everything they know about the steel, suppliers, welding and other stuff. Everything except how to press it into a truck shape and they probably have ideas about that, as well.
 

TyPope

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They won't really be pressing the steel into shape... Basically just folding it.

Range prediction: 620 miles /1,000 km.
 

Old Pro

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It really sounded like Elon doesn't want to hurt sales of powerwalls and was double speaking his way around using a CT battery for your home. Crissa mentioned it before, you can always use the outlets in the bed of the truck to plug things in.
I would certainly like to add a Powerball to my 5 year old Solar City now Tesla solar panels. I keep hoping the prices will come down.
 

Hoppi

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I would certainly like to add a Powerball to my 5 year old Solar City now Tesla solar panels. I keep hoping the prices will come down.
Personally I'd like to win a Powerball to help me pay for my CT and also a Powerwall installation. Have to play to win though. LOL.
 

Old Pro

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Here is Autonews' article:

Tesla to make 250,000-300,000 Cybertrucks per year, Musk says

Tesla Inc. CEO Elon Musk said Tuesday the automaker will likely build between 250,000 to 300,000 Cybertruck pickups per year once the electric vehicle goes into production next year.

Musk, speaking on the sidelines of its Battery Day presentation, offered a volume projection for the first time. The pickup will be built out of a new factory Tesla's is building outside Austin, Texas.

"I think there's probably room for at least unit volume of 250,000 to 300,000 a year, maybe more," Musk said.

He noted Tesla has booked "well over half a million" orders in the form of $100 refundable deposits. That's a much higher number than the "couple hundred thousand" orders he told Automotive News last month.

"It's a lot, basically," he said Tuesday. "We stopped counting."

If Tesla sells all the Cybertrucks Musk says it will build, it would rank well below the competition. Ford Motor Co. sold more than 896,000 F-Series pickups in 2019. Fiat Chrysler was second, selling more than 633,000 Ram pickups.

Tesla has said the Cybertruck is "very likely" to be classified as a medium-duty pickup, on par with vehicles like Ford's F-250 Super Duty.

Musk said Tuesday Tesla will likely build a smaller variant to sell overseas.

"We'll probably make an international version that's smaller," he said. "It will still be cooler, it will just be smaller, because you can't just make a giant truck like that for international markets."
I believe it was recently reported that Elon Musk commented that any battery mileage below the 300 mile range was insufficient. I placed my deposit on the 240 mile range CT.
I am hoping battery production and technology will advance far enough over the next year or two when I expect my CT to be build and ready for purchase that the 240 mile battery
will be "stepped up". Maybe there will be an option offered at that time to upgrade for a reasonable additional cost.
 

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