I'm beyond confused

[cobrax65]

I keep seeing these posts on twitter "70+ cyber trucks produced per day" "100+ trucks sitting in the lot" where are all of these going? I see on average 5-10 vins assigned per day recently on the tracker and not many delivered daily. It's not adding up.
I understand that there's likely a very large amount of people that aren't using the tracker but I'm having a hard time believing that the numbers add up. Any one care to share their thoughts or why I'm wrong about this?

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[agordon117]

Assume 1/10th of people report here. 70 go out, 7 report vins here.

 

[cobrax65]

I didn't consider only 1/10th of people reported but if so that would make sense.

 

[Stuck4ger]

Assume 1/10th of people report here. 70 go out, 7 report vins here.

Not all CT owners are on this forum? So the mysterious @greggertruck isn’t really @LadyGaGa?

 

[WormtownKris]

Also, at the moment they are in the middle of a batch of "cut the line" VIPs and influencers (30,000 referral points) who disproportionally don't bother to post on forums. So, at this moment in time, the self-report rate among trucks/VINs being assigned is likely much lower than the normal "general public" ratio. I would expect that we will suddenly see a doubling or tripling of the VIN assigned rate when they revert back to assigning trucks to the commoners.

 

[agordon117]

Also, at the moment they are in the middle of a batch of "cut the line" VIPs and influencers (30,000 referral points) who disproportionally don't bother to post on forums. So, at this moment in time, the self-report rate among trucks/VINs being assigned is likely much lower than the normal "general public" ratio. I would expect that we will suddenly see a doubling or tripling of the VIN assigned rate when they revert back to assigning trucks to the commoners.

My numbers suggest we already saw the doubling of reported vins

 

[Jhodgesatmb]

I didn't consider only 1/10th of people reported but if so that would make sense.

What did you assume, and based on what? I for one am ignoring all that brouhaha because I haven’t even received an invitation to order. Someday I may get an invite. Sometime later I will get a VIN. Sometime even later I will get a delivery. Predictions are not to be paid close attention to as they only breed expectations that can only breed stress. Plenty of that already.

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