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Mattkalin

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From what Im seeing on the forums it appears its 60 days currently from Order to VIN.. Then maybe another 2 weeks for VIN to Delivery. So for me as an Example Order 1/10 VIN 3/10 Delivery 3/24 but that’s best case. Wouldn’t surprise me if it doesn’t slip to April but I am totally fine with that!
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Noblelr3

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There is a data thread on this. Actually from order to delivery the average time frame is increasing to 55 days. Still below your numbers. I’m hoping to get my VIN at 45 days out, which is next Monday 2/26 so anytime between now and next Friday to get a VIN would be awesome.
 
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There is a data thread on this. Actually from order to delivery the average time frame is increasing to 55 days. Still below your numbers. I’m hoping to get my VIN at 45 days out, which is next Monday 2/26 so anytime between now and next Friday to get a VIN would be awesome.
I’d love for you to be right!!
 

JesseDGreat

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Invite 01/30 ordered same day. In socal

RN11275. Waiting on VIN
 

cgladue

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agordon117

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Spacenoddle

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cgladue

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The data in your post only represents the trend of orders in CA/TX. Even for FL, the sample data is still too small. In term of other states… because of literally no data and more heavily on location logistic, it is no way to get a even meanful guesstimate.
correct, but its all we got this forum in general is a tiny sample size and not meaningful compared to the overall, but the numbers are similar so its good enough
 

cgladue

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If we look at 60 orders that were actually delivered in the last 2 weeks (since 2/7/24) (this includes mostly CA, TX and FL but a couple AZ and 1 NV and 1 NC) then
  • Order to VIN is: 50 days
  • VIn to Delivery is: 15 days
  • Order to delivery is: 64 days
 

Jabman

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correct, but its all we got this forum in general is a tiny sample size and not meaningful compared to the overall, but the numbers are similar so its good enough
Agreed. This forum has been a blessing for knowledge and insight. Talking to anyone at Tesla SC or by phone is like communicating with someone who just found out that iPhones exist, but knows nothing about them or even if they are “real.” I would say estimates from people here are tremendously more accurate than ones from anyone at Tesla (sans top brass and people on the production line).
 


Spacenoddle

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correct, but its all we got this forum in general is a tiny sample size and not meaningful compared to the overall, but the numbers are similar so its good enough
Nevertheless, i do think you did a good job and the estimate trend is very useful for the people in CA/TX. Like the Tesla itself, your chart will be getting better over time. Till then, let's just chill ?

As matter of fact, I really am enjoying this Tesla-keeps-us-in-dark-we-guess game more and more ?
 

CyberJay

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same, i want to start seeing some orders int he northeast :( maybe we are being punished because of cold weather and snow
New Jersey here --- ordered 1/11, Delivery planned in Princeton, No VIN yet
 

Noblelr3

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Thanks for the chart cgladue! I actually think we are going to see a trend ramp up. I’ve been looking at GFT and they were on the weaker side plus I’m certain glitches (wipers) came up that needed a fix which I think they resolved hence the 75-100 CT outside GFT today. Next few days will show if there rally is a ramp. The Irvine shop had 10 trucks in the back and regular deliveries almost daily then nothing one or two CT’s. I’ll be dropping off my X for service tomorrow so I’m looking forward to see if they received a few more.
 

CyberTruckeeTheOne

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More realistic is about first week of March.

Tesla is slipping in manufacturing (VIN assignment) and deiveries to customer.
 

Noblelr3

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New Tesla orders are being given a delivery range from March to May. That’s a good sign I’m thinking. Tesla doesn’t want to keep up a pattern of not being able to deliver on time.
i mean let’s forget about the four year thing. Just going forward I’m saying.
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