Where are you on the reservation list?

[RandyS]

#8155 with estimated delivery in August 2024. That's a slow ramp up.

Remember Elon's quote to Munro recently. Something like...In 2024, Tesla will not benefit financially from the Cybertruck; that will happen starting in 2025...

Personally, I think the website guesses are a bit too optimistic. It took 6 months to get to VIN 2000 with the Model 3...

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[FarAway]

I see this as more for entertainment than a useful planning tool.

Too many unknowns,
-what is TESLA's ramp up rate?
-what will be the conversion rate from reservations to orders?
-what are the unknown unknowns

 

[intimidator]

January 2027 sounds about right.

Which is the biggest issue with the CyberTruck, and the hype Tesla encouraged about it.
It is not available.

If you want to pull your 28 ft boat in and out of the water, and over to the marine mechanic, you need a truck NOW, not in 4 years. You are not going to wait.

You will but a Ford Lightning, or, maybe an ICE truck, and drive that for a couple of years.

 

[dcrdanielr]

Mine says -539 lol

 

[intimidator]

I can tell the real Kool-Aid drinking Fan Boys.

They will say this ESTIMATOR is wrong and the Cybertruck will be available sooner! Ha.

Same people that told me I was wrong when I said the Cybertruck would cost between $79,000 and $99,000. Said I was totally wrong and it would never cost that much.

Ha.

 

[lowtek]

#17,490 for a tri-motor

 

[lowtek]

I can tell the real Kool-Aid drinking Fan Boys.

I identify with this statement, although never thought the prices would hold or that all the concept truck features would make it into production ...

 

[Regenshire]

#8155 with estimated delivery in August 2024. That's a slow ramp up.

The estimator is prioritizing the Beastmode trim. You notice anyone with a Beastmode selected has a date within a year even if they are # 500k?

One of the reasons the dates on these are not worth much, they make a lot of very simplistic assumption that may or may not be true.

 

[Jclark87]

 

[Mrp911]

I am about 196,000 in line, Dual estimated Dec 2024. Tri-Motor Sept 2024. We need more people to drop out.

 

[Sousray]

Mine is 1127451xx so in the 900 in line range. Maybe better for US and for TX. Site says 184 in line.
Originally dual Motor, but all that is removed as of a year ago.
Still waiting for email to do configuration

 

[davelloydbrown]

I’m allegedly 700-800k pre reveal, now I’m worried I’m within 200k due to cancels ?

that will still be 1.5 to 2 years out so you have lots of time to save.

 

[davelloydbrown]

The spreadsheet is a little better than the base number calculation, as they use the same reservation numbers for all items not given a production date.

-Crissa

yes I agree, all we have is your number in line based on subtracting the base number and we have no idea about how they treat the foundation reservations and new reservations in general.

IMO, although this is hotly contested, as the battery is the most expensive single item and the beast and AWD have the same battery, then there is much, much more mark-up in the beast. As such, if production is constrained, it would make sense for them to fill all the beast orders first, no matter where they fall in the queue. Mind you, everyone is the queue, whether they ordered single, duel or tri should be given the opportunity to buy the beast.

 

[CyberSleuth]

I couldn't help myself. Sure it's a bit of a wait, but the good news is it will almost certainly include the Mars edition package:

 

[Celiboy]

The estimator is prioritizing the Beastmode trim. You notice anyone with a Beastmode selected has a date within a year even if they are # 500k?

One of the reasons the dates on these are not worth much, they make a lot of very simplistic assumption that may or may not be true.

I noticed that also. I also noticed someone post their delivery date that was ~20K behind me for the same trim and we had the same estimated delivery month. How many units per month are they basing their calculations on? ??

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