Shipping early 2023? Bring It!

[Jhodgesatmb]

If "early" is Jan-Mar, nope. But if early is May or June? Sure, I think that's actually likely.

Likely? No. Possible. Yes.

I’d be as happy as a clam (never understood that one) for it to be true. We need more than the Giga press. We need the drive unit machines, the exoskeleton machine(s), and then we can start talking about production with some confidence.

Sponsored

 

[CyberGus]

Likely? No. Possible. Yes.

I’d be as happy as a clam (never understood that one) for it to be true. We need more than the Giga press. We need the drive unit machines, the exoskeleton machine(s), and then we can start talking about production with some confidence.

The original expression is “happy as a clam at high tide”. Clams are harvested from the sand at low tide.

 

[greggertruck]

we counting service dollars?

(taken from my Lightning, a few days ago)

I meant vehicle count, like which will make more. Cybertrucks or the whole of Lucid motors?

 

[Jhodgesatmb]

The original expression is “happy as a clam at high tide”. Clams are harvested from the sand at low tide.

Thank you, thank you!

 

[Ogre]

I wonder what’ll make more in 2023,

cybertruck or Lucid, as a whole…

The same people who piled on Tesla for the model 3 production hell are willing to ignore Lucid’s production issues which are much deeper and longer

I’d be shocked if Cybertruck didn’t out produce within 3 months

 

[TAP1A]

a lot can happen between now and january. if all the equipment gets delivered i can def see them start making some batches in january but deliveries prob mid year

 

[Jhodgesatmb]

a lot can happen between now and january. if all the equipment gets delivered i can def see them start making some batches in january but deliveries prob mid year

True. They pretty much have to be making test components and vehicles early in the year to start production mid year. And historically that is how it goes, give or take a month or two.

 

[Ogre]

a lot can happen between now and january. if all the equipment gets delivered i can def see them start making some batches in january but deliveries prob mid year

To be delivering trucks mid year we need to see castings in the dumpster by late January, early production vehicles at Giga Texas by March, and test trucks roving the Texas plains by April. Lots to do…

 

[TheLastStarfighter]

Likely? No. Possible. Yes.

I’d be as happy as a clam (never understood that one) for it to be true. We need more than the Giga press. We need the drive unit machines, the exoskeleton machine(s), and then we can start talking about production with some confidence.

I think it's likely with the info we current have. We know the gigapres is complete, and that the machines to build the drivetrains were also ordered. And the plant, obviously, is built. If the equipment is arriving now-ish, they have until Christmas to get it all installed and working. Jan-April to hire and train staff, make test product, toss out some defects, etc. Real production could be heading to customers in May-June, and there's even a little buffer in there. So I'd say it's likely. For another company I'd say it's a stretch, but with Tesla they have both a) built things crazy fast and b) shipped Model S plaids without truck liners just so customers could get them lol.

 

[Jhodgesatmb]

I think it's likely with the info we current have. We know the gigapres is complete, and that the machines to build the drivetrains were also ordered. And the plant, obviously, is built. If the equipment is arriving now-ish, they have until Christmas to get it all installed and working. Jan-April to hire and train staff, make test product, toss out some defects, etc. Real production could be heading to customers in May-June, and there's even a little buffer in there. So I'd say it's likely. For another company I'd say it's a stretch, but with Tesla they have both a) built things crazy fast and b) shipped Model S plaids without truck liners just so customers could get them lol.

They said in no uncertain terms that the drivetrain unit machine(s) would not arrive until July 2023. How does that fit into your theory? If they could build drivetrain units at, say, Giga Nevada, until the new machines arrive and are tested (could be quite some time) then it might work out. I am not trying to be negative but realistic.

I know that we are all champing at the bit for any good news, but we haven't heard a peep (or seen any evidence) for the exoskeleton folding machine(s) and that is even a bigger deal than the 9K-ton die casting machine. because, as you say (and we all know), we have seen that thing and know that the technology works. We haven't seen squat with the exoskeleton folding machine. We have seen some videos showing how such machines work but nothing specific to Giga Austin and Cybertrucks.

 

[Crissa]

They said in no uncertain terms that the drivetrain unit machine(s) would not arrive until July 2023.

Who said that when?

-Crissa

 

[KHappe]

From what I remember. When Tesla ordered the DriveTrain machinery. They stipulated that the machinery had to be installed and ready by mid-summer. Doesnt mean that they couldnt be installed and ready earlier than that.

 

[Jhodgesatmb]

Who said that when?

-Crissa

Well, it was reported here, but from a source in Canada, that got it from a source in Germany that, when I tried to get more information, wanted to much from me so I baled:

https://driveteslacanada.ca/news/tesla-orders-cybertruck-drive-unit-production-equipment-report/

 

[Cybertruckee]

If Tesla have all the components, they can send my order in parts and I'll assemble it myself in my garage.

 

[Ogre]

They said in no uncertain terms that the drivetrain unit machine(s) would not arrive until July 2023.

We have? I must be missing something here.

I know that we are all champing at the bit for any good news, but we haven't heard a peep (or seen any evidence) for the exoskeleton folding machine(s) and that is even a bigger deal than the 9K-ton die casting machine. because, as you say (and we all know), we have seen that thing and know that the technology works. We haven't seen squat with the exoskeleton folding machine. We have seen some videos showing how such machines work but nothing specific to Giga Austin and Cybertrucks.

We’ve seen a lot of things going into Giga Texas. Some of it is recognizable, some of it not so much. For example battery equipment is largely unknown.

We don’t even really know what they are doing in terms of folding the body. How would we know if it was delivered or not?

Sponsored