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Tesla pushing Model X customers to Cybertruck?

YDR37

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Earlier this week, the lowest-cost 2025 Model X was priced at $79,990, the same as a 2025 Cybertruck. The MX was also eligible for the $7,500 Federal tax credit, and the CT recently became eligible as well. So both were available with the same pricing: $72,490 with tax credit, or $79,990 without.

However, Tesla just increased the price of the MX by $5,000; the base price is now $84,990. And this also puts the MX above the $80,000 threshold for the tax credit, which means the loss of a $7,500 discount for those eligible.

So overnight, the MX has become significantly more expensive than the CT: by $12,500 if you qualify for the tax credit, or by $5,000 if you don’t.

The MX was introduced in 2015, and sales have been gradually declining for years. During 4Q 2024, Tesla sold an estimated 4,340 MX in the US, which was only about one-third of the CT number. The MX doesn’t seem to be selling particularly well right now, because Tesla has been offering the Free Lifetime Supercharging incentive (with no end date for the purchase), plus offering one extra-cost option with the purchase of FSD.

So if Tesla needs incentives to move the MX, why raise the price and kill the tax credit -- which are obviously disincentives? One possible answer, suggested by Sawyer Merritt, is that Tesla wants MX customers to buy the CT instead. Seems like that $12,500 price difference would be hard to overlook. Tesla could be signaling MX customers that it’s time to embrace the future, rather than to stick to the past.
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Guylouis

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New S and X coming soon.

Refreshed interior with New interior ambient lighting, new hairpin motors, more range, refreshed headlights/tail lights, steer by wire (hopefully)
 

SCTesla

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New S and X coming soon.

Refreshed interior with New interior ambient lighting, new hairpin motors, more range, refreshed headlights/tail lights, steer by wire (hopefully)
There's no rumor of this currently.

We knew about the Juniper and Highland 3 years before they launched. If there is a refresh coming, it's a long ways out.

I could see a minor refresh like the ambient lighting, but not SBW (Franz said it wouldn't come to the existing fleet) or anything crazy.
 


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YDR37

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Is this a copy paste from an article?
No, the content above is exclusively available at cybertruckownersclub.com (the preferred source for CT news and discussion).

I was aware of the MX price increase, but I couldn't figure why Tesla would increase the price and lose the tax credit, given that the MX didn't appear to be selling well. Then I saw Sawyer Merritt's post (referenced above), where he speculated that Tesla could be pushing MX customers towards the CT.

That explanation made sense to me, and I thought it might be of interest to CT people, so I wrote up the info above and started a thread here.
 
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shopaholic

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This strategy appears bizarre, if a new or updated edition is coming ?
 

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No, the content above is exclusively available at cybertruckownersclub.com (the preferred source for CT news and discussion).

I was aware of the MX price increase, but I couldn't figure why Tesla would increase the price and lose the tax credit, given that the MX didn't appear to be selling well. Then I saw Sawyer Merritt's post (referenced above), where he speculated that Tesla could be pushing MX customers towards the CT.

That explanation made sense to me, and I thought it might be of interest to CT people, so I wrote up the info above and started a thread here.
I see, it read like a newswire to me.
 

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Cyber Man

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I’m not surprised. CT has the potential to pretty much shadow most vehicles in that price segment, and the reason is not just price but the utility factor packed into the dimensions of a vehicle that can fit in a standard garage. My friend who owns Model X was surprised to see CT just 25” longer than Model X and can fit in standard garage. He didn’t believe the online specs, so we literally got a measuring tape to measure the difference. The tape measured a difference of 18” while online it says 25”, lol. For this specs, you get huge truck bed with 2500 lbs payload, 11000 lbs towing, dent resistant body, and out of the world driving experience. There is a huge overlap between MX and CT customers. I won’t be surprised if Tesla stops MX after a few years. Why do you need MX when CT can do everything 100X better? People just have to grow out of the futuristic looks and the politics, and see CT for what it truly is - a highly utility vehicle, which also turns out to be an engineering marvel!
 
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igs

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People buying the X don't qualify for the credit. If they do their priorities are reversed.
 

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There's no rumor of this currently.

We knew about the Juniper and Highland 3 years before they launched. If there is a refresh coming, it's a long ways out.

I could see a minor refresh like the ambient lighting, but not SBW (Franz said it wouldn't come to the existing fleet) or anything crazy.
I heard ambient lighting was slated for last year but never made it into production. Hopefully we see some upgrades within the next 18 months
 

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This strategy appears bizarre, if a new or updated edition is coming ?
  • Raising the price wouldn't be in the headlines for the new refresh if it had been done months prior. It wouldn't be a new detail.
  • It would reduce the total number of units they needed to produce, which would give them headroom and finer control over the units produced vs ordered.
  • It would also give them headroom in the price for cost increases to be absorbed.
  • Lastly, it would also give them headroom (wow I'm overusing that) to add incentives later when they have excess old stock.
Not that I think they're going to refresh it, which is disappointing as an investor.

-Crissa
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