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Coolbreeze704

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Fleetwood75

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My interpretation of this, from a macro level, is that earlier reservation numbers are being prioritized for invites. Now I'm not sure why a single 11276 invite would go out before all of the 11275's had been invited, go figure, but at least we know that they're generally following the list even if they're not literally following the list.

My other interpretation is that as a 11288, I'm skeptical that I'll be getting and invitation to configure, Foundation series or not, anytime soon. For the first time I'm starting to doubt that I'll take delivery in 2024
 

Sjohnson20

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They got me and I ordered the AWD and added to the tracker. Couldn’t resist the temptation with no info on how long it will be before the regular editions are released.
 

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I just did some quick analysis of these first ~500 entries, see below:

1703709978538.png
I'm curious what you all think is the total orders placed so far? In other words, what percentage of total CT submitted orders have inputted their data into this thread? We have about 500 entries, does that reflect 5%, 10%, 25%, 50% of all the real world orders? I get its just a guess but what's your best guess?
 


realtorjim

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Both my fiancé and I got invites last night, 12/26, both in Connecticut, ordered one Cyberbeast and one AWD, my number was R11277 and his was 11278, both initially reserved duals, it’s my first Tesla and his 3rd, two 3’s and one S.
It looks like you and me may be in competition for first Cybertruck delivery in CT. My order was placed on 12/21.
 

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I'm curious what you all think is the total orders placed so far? In other words, what percentage of total CT submitted orders have inputted their data into this thread? We have about 500 entries, does that reflect 5%, 10%, 25%, 50% of all the real world orders? I get its just a guess but what's your best guess?
25%. I have nothing to back that up, just a gut feeling
 

Outdoors

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I'm curious what you all think is the total orders placed so far? In other words, what percentage of total CT submitted orders have inputted their data into this thread? We have about 500 entries, does that reflect 5%, 10%, 25%, 50% of all the real world orders? I get its just a guess but what's your best guess?
I asked the same question on another forum. I would guess on past data there 15% of owners are members on that site. When it comes to the truck its is anyone's guess, as the content on that site for the truck is stale.

I would say 30-50% could be members here. Remember some don't want to participate for privacy. Just a guess.
 

Eddyrelik

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Is there any way to see this table in Spreadsheet form? (Google Sheet, etc). I'd like to be able to sort it by actual ORDER date and AWD vs CB. Because I would assume the actual date your ordered and put the additional $250 deposit is what the ACTUAL order is?
 

Jhodgesatmb

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I just did some quick analysis of these first ~500 entries, see below:

1703709978538.webp
Each least-significant digit here accounting for 10,000 reservation numbers, right? From RN112 to RN113 would be 1,000,000 reservations.
 


Fleetwood75

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Each least-significant digit here accounting for 10,000 reservation numbers, right? From RN112 to RN113 would be 1,000,000 reservations.
Correct. So with roughly 100 documented orders each for 11274 and 11275 that means we're seeing 100 / 10,000 = 1% of reservations being converted to documented Foundation Series pre-orders for those earliest tranches. So one out of every hundred people who ordered in the 11274-11275 timeframe, which I would assume was during the actual unveiling event, have ordered a Foundation Series and entered it on this tracker.

If we similarly assumed, wild guess here, that 25% of people who order the Foundation Series are entering into the tracker on this website, then maybe 4% of all super-early-reservations have been converted into Foundation Series orders already.
 

Fleetwood75

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Is there any way to see this table in Spreadsheet form? (Google Sheet, etc). I'd like to be able to sort it by actual ORDER date and AWD vs CB. Because I would assume the actual date your ordered and put the additional $250 deposit is what the ACTUAL order is?
I just clicked on a cell and then did a CTRL+A in Google Chrome, which copied everything to the clipboard, and then pasted into Excel and it worked perfectly. That's how I compiled the bar graph above
 

Eddyrelik

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I just clicked on a cell and then did a CTRL+A in Google Chrome, which copied everything to the clipboard, and then pasted into Excel and it worked perfectly. That's how I compiled the bar graph above
Worked thanks! I tried highlighting everything and copy paste and that didnt work. Your method worked though.
 

REM

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Hi - invited on Dec 8, ordered on Dec 9 - I have never owned a Tesla before. Nothing in my app, but the Cyberbeast I ordered.
is there any other significant connection you can think of that may have given you a leg-up on the invite? Close friends with Teslas? Family members?
 

Fairlanefan

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is there any other significant connection you can think of that may have given you a leg-up on the invite? Close friends with Teslas? Family members?
No. Nothing. I did place my reservation within the first minute. I got the day wrong in the spreadsheet, but my reservation was as soon as it opened.
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