tmeyer3
Well-known member
- First Name
- Trevor
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- Jun 27, 2021
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- CA
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- #1
I know there has been talk about the 8000 ton high pressure die casting machine (giga press) required for CT production and whether or not it has been delivered. Based purely on the footage from the dedicated drone pilots watching giga Texas construction, there's really no conclusive way to tell if the press has or hasn't been installed. This post is simply my logic, sources, and general reasoning that suggests that this massive press has already been installed at giga Texas right under everyone's nose. No, there is no direct proof that I can find, but I think following the trail of the worlds biggest HPDC machine tells a different story.
First of all, I'm making the assumption that drone pilots will have seen the press, even if they didn't know if it was the 6k ton or the 8k ton, as it does require a crane to assemble and a lot of effort.
Facts:
1. Tesla officially ordered the giga press sometime in March of 2021.
2. The 8k press is completed and is fully functional prior to tesla's purchase. This is an important point I didn't realize until tonight!
3. The press shipping requires 24 days to get to Houston Texas and at least 2 weeks to disassemble and package.
Based on the information, technical requirements, and cost of shipping something so large and specialized, the shipping timelines are generally going to be very tight and monitored.
These facts give us a ballpark of 38-45 days for shipment after purchase, unless Tesla requested it not be shipped. But, I mean, I can't see Elon being ok with going slower, lol.
Since we don't know the exact order date, except for "March 2021," we'll just assume a range. That puts delivery between mid April to mid June.
Now there isn't any drone footage of extra large deliveries in that timeline, or until today for that matter! However, a very large giga press delivery can be seen in early April:
in the same video (same day), you can see an existing and already installed giga press (likely a 6k ton).
I think it is more likely that the CT press was shipped early and the purchase went through in March than not seeing delivery over a month past the latest prediction.
The final nail in the coffin for me is the most recent footage of the press wing at night:
The night shot provides a very clear view of a press that it clearly not the same press we're all used to seeing pumping out the model Y casting. If you look closely, these are different machines. Of course they could be just 2 different looking 6k ton presses, but I find it unlikely that IDRA would build the same machine twice with that many changes to it.
I think this happened under everyone's nose and that Jeff Roberts was right all along, the 8k ton press was installed back in the beginning of April.
Cheers!
First of all, I'm making the assumption that drone pilots will have seen the press, even if they didn't know if it was the 6k ton or the 8k ton, as it does require a crane to assemble and a lot of effort.
Facts:
1. Tesla officially ordered the giga press sometime in March of 2021.
2. The 8k press is completed and is fully functional prior to tesla's purchase. This is an important point I didn't realize until tonight!
3. The press shipping requires 24 days to get to Houston Texas and at least 2 weeks to disassemble and package.
Based on the information, technical requirements, and cost of shipping something so large and specialized, the shipping timelines are generally going to be very tight and monitored.
These facts give us a ballpark of 38-45 days for shipment after purchase, unless Tesla requested it not be shipped. But, I mean, I can't see Elon being ok with going slower, lol.
Since we don't know the exact order date, except for "March 2021," we'll just assume a range. That puts delivery between mid April to mid June.
Now there isn't any drone footage of extra large deliveries in that timeline, or until today for that matter! However, a very large giga press delivery can be seen in early April:
in the same video (same day), you can see an existing and already installed giga press (likely a 6k ton).
I think it is more likely that the CT press was shipped early and the purchase went through in March than not seeing delivery over a month past the latest prediction.
The final nail in the coffin for me is the most recent footage of the press wing at night:
The night shot provides a very clear view of a press that it clearly not the same press we're all used to seeing pumping out the model Y casting. If you look closely, these are different machines. Of course they could be just 2 different looking 6k ton presses, but I find it unlikely that IDRA would build the same machine twice with that many changes to it.
I think this happened under everyone's nose and that Jeff Roberts was right all along, the 8k ton press was installed back in the beginning of April.
Cheers!
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