Sponsored

Alan

Well-known member
First Name
Alan
Joined
Feb 20, 2020
Threads
15
Messages
492
Reaction score
764
Location
Seattle
Vehicles
2017 S90D ,, Cyberbeast (Silver Dragon) ordered 2/13/24
Occupation
Retired
Country flag
There are links at all the major forums for people to post their data here. If you look at the join date of the people putting their data in it’s the day they entered their data.
Sponsored

 

agordon117

Well-known member
Joined
Jan 11, 2024
Threads
7
Messages
1,196
Reaction score
2,039
Location
Ohio
Vehicles
cybertruck foundation awd
Country flag
None of that really matters honestly. Of the people capable of spending this kind of money on a car, you'd be tough pressed to tell me that only 8% of them don't want any information related to their purchase posted anywhere online. This isn't like tracking a package from ups. Not even anyone here really knows anything. And I don't mean that in a derisive way, there just isn't any correlation between anything that anybody knows and when you will get your order. Not everyone has the same need to come to the group cope session while waiting for their order like those of us who are here, lol.
 

Woodrick

Well-known member
First Name
Ed
Joined
Dec 30, 2023
Threads
6
Messages
4,786
Reaction score
4,762
Location
Gainesville Ga
Vehicles
Model 3, Model Y, Cybertruck AWD
Occupation
Consultant
Country flag
None of that really matters honestly. Of the people capable of spending this kind of money on a car, you'd be tough pressed to tell me that only 8% of them don't want any information related to their purchase posted anywhere online. This isn't like tracking a package from ups. Not even anyone here really knows anything. And I don't mean that in a derisive way, there just isn't any correlation between anything that anybody knows and when you will get your order. Not everyone has the same need to come to the group cope session while waiting for their order like those of us who are here, lol.
And maybe only 10% actually read forums.

And there's only 21,660 members of this site.
 

evnow

Well-known member
Joined
Dec 28, 2023
Threads
0
Messages
216
Reaction score
206
Location
S Florida
Vehicles
Model 3, CT
Country flag
I don't know, do you think that half of the people that have ordered a FS are members of this forum?
That is the big signal to me that there are a lot more than 1,000 that will be sold
The Model 3 tracker on TMC back in 2018 is a good indicator. IIRC a very large % of early orders/deliveries were captured by the tracker. I don't remember the exact number - but possibly more than 50%.

ps :

Wiki - Model 3 Order Tracking Spreadsheet | Tesla Motors Club

pps : When I get some time, I'll try to cross check the sheet with the known deliveries number Tesla had published. We'll get a reliable % ...
 
Last edited:
OP
OP

jookyone

Well-known member
Joined
Jun 20, 2022
Threads
15
Messages
522
Reaction score
1,101
Location
CO
Vehicles
CT AWD
Country flag
Trends remain mostly on track and consistently slowing down (they've likely tapped a large amount of the members of this forum already).
I've reduced time based charts to beginning on 12/8 since that was doomsday and we are getting quite a ways off from that fateful day.

Cheers!
 


Woodrick

Well-known member
First Name
Ed
Joined
Dec 30, 2023
Threads
6
Messages
4,786
Reaction score
4,762
Location
Gainesville Ga
Vehicles
Model 3, Model Y, Cybertruck AWD
Occupation
Consultant
Country flag
The Model 3 tracker on TMC back in 2018 is a good indicator. IIRC a very large % of early orders/deliveries were captured by the tracker. I don't remember the exact number - but possibly more than 50%.

ps :

Wiki - Model 3 Order Tracking Spreadsheet | Tesla Motors Club

pps : When I get some time, I'll try to cross check the sheet with the known deliveries number Tesla had published. We'll get a reliable % ...
No one ever had an idea on how many it captured, it was all conjecture.
 

evnow

Well-known member
Joined
Dec 28, 2023
Threads
0
Messages
216
Reaction score
206
Location
S Florida
Vehicles
Model 3, CT
Country flag
No one ever had an idea on how many it captured, it was all conjecture.
I cross checked the tracker for the first couple of quarters against the delivery data Tesla published. The tracker only captured a small % - so definitely I misremembered.

Compounding the problem is that many of the first deliveries were to employees that were not captured in the tracker ...
 


pricedm

Well-known member
First Name
Adam
Joined
Feb 17, 2022
Threads
2
Messages
927
Reaction score
1,834
Location
Denver, Colorado, USA
Vehicles
2026 Tesla Model Y LR. 2025 Cybertruck AWD. 2023 MY and 2018 M3: retired
Occupation
IT
Country flag
I get to learn Excel at the same time :D

Cheers!
Is the data overlay on the USA map done within Excel?

Thanks for all of the data and presentation.
 

flowerlandfilms

Well-known member
First Name
Eryk
Joined
Dec 6, 2020
Threads
6
Messages
811
Reaction score
1,707
Location
Australia
Vehicles
Yamaha SRV-250, Honda Odyssey RB1
Occupation
Film Maker
Country flag
So if you believe the edition size is 1000, you must also believe that 92% of people who ordered foundation series found their way here to this forum and put their information into the tracker. That seems impossible.
Improbable.
 

4Dolio

Well-known member
First Name
Ryan
Joined
Sep 21, 2020
Threads
1
Messages
75
Reaction score
76
Location
Tacoma
Website
youtu.be
Vehicles
2024 CyberTruck CyberBeast Foundation Edition
Occupation
IT
Country flag
 








Top