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Here are some historical ramp up numbers for Tesla. Tesla delivered ~ 20k of S and X in the first 4 quarters. But 3 & Y ramped up fast - 150k for 3 and 85k for Y. We should expect CT to be closer to S/X than 3/Y. They had big problems with X if you recall - with seats, as well as the doors...

Right - but the guess is they will allow people to configure non-FS Beasts first and then non-FS AWD. But it all depends on their production rate and ramp up.

The reason I have not placed a deposit on R2 is the AP/FSD thing. Not sure Rivian has the resources to catch up with Tesla on that front this decade. I don’t care much about summon, though - I don’t use it on my 3 with radar. Ofcourse I do think deletion of radar was mostly because of parts...

Source ? I’m sure a LOT of analysts will pay a good amount of money for that kind of info ;)

I think this is the consensus estimate now - Troy included. If we assume 15k FS, that’s about 7 months of production- so I expect all AWD FS to be delivered this year. Then may be they will switch to Beasts and start general Beast deliveries before starting general AWD deliveries.

Not a useful comparison. Rivian has money till end of next year ... and is bleeding a lot. Rivian started production in Oct-21. So, they are in their 28th month of ramping / production of R1 vehicles. Tesla is in the 3rd month of production. If in Mar-2026 Tesla is producing only 5k CTs a...

Wow - definitely looks like they are either going to make a lot of FS or they have low conversion rates.

Hmmm .... have you actually not heard about V2H that CT has ?

The base R2 is 270 miles from what RJ told MKBHD.

You are taking it too literally. BTW, watched some videos. R2 looks normal - R3 looks like an old budget wagon. I like the design otherwise. Hope they can survive and prosper.

That’s been mentioned as an inspiration - and Not in a bad way.

which one ?

That R3 is starting to look rather dated - like an old 80s wagon.

How did you do that - assuming you did it with Tesla, not just holding back from configuring? Because of a planned move - I want to take delivery of CT only after the move in July. If I order now - AWD CT may come in 3 months (so, May/June). How do I put the order on hold for a couple of...

Care to write here how you got it "expedited" ? Afterall this forum is not just for advertising ....

Oh - you are taking VIN assignment as proof of "regular" deliveries. I also misunderstood what you meant by regular - you are using it as non-special, not frequent.

How about WA. I don't see anyone with deliveries ... let alone regular deliveries.

No, you read it wrong. You will need a universal wall charger is you don't have powerwall. And the gateway. Both these are included in FS.

No. Its a software development delay ... not HW.

Nobody is stopping you from creating your own EV startup and "taking advantage" by pricing your products high initially. BTW, there are a lot of opportunities to make a quick profit if you have 100k. Some of them could even net you 2x - ofcourse, with some risk in the options market that...