Are we thinking there will be a re-shuffle of orders?

Crissa

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Not true. We were well down the list on the Y and were in the first batch (< VIN 3000 and 8th digit F Dual Motor...) last March. It all comes down to what market they want to flood and where they can ship the most cars to. And yes, you have zero control over that...
That's not evidence for a flood, though. It's been pointed out that they try to send full trucks of cars out to be delivered.

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empiredown

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Based on the amount of Ys on the road here, as compared to other models, you’ll just have to take my word on it. If you have trouble believing they want to build more brand gravity and recognition in Austin, TX and its environs given what’s going on, I can’t help you... but I do look forward to you proving the negative.

ß
 
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Blue Steel

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Never heard of Tesla flooding markets. Geography does play in to some degree. For the Model Y they only delivered to a given region once per quarter. So your wait largely depended on your timing. If you placed your order right when Tesla finished delivering to your region then you could expect a 3 month wait for your region to come up again. It usually worked East coast (at the start of the quarter) to West coast at the end, due to the fact that they tried to get as many cars delivered as possible by the end of the quarter. Your delivery was further broken out by color. They would do a run of white, and then red and so on.

Obviously things will be different with the Cybertruck. It's made in Texas instead of California. And paint won't be a factor. I would still expect them to start each quarter with deliveries far away from Texas and work backwards (like they did before) so that the last deliveries each quarter are near Texas. That will optimize how may trucks they can deliver in a given quarter.
 

empiredown

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Says the guy that lives in Portland... Good luck!

As you are no doubt aware, the deliveries in Kalifornia took precedence initially in all previous models. You somehow think that is going to be different now that Models are also being produced in Texas? Nah....

They delivered a lot more than quarterly here and into other markets. We were not "supposed" to have our Y until right about now, a year after launch. So, you guys with your lower numbers on the CT reservations can try and argue it any way you see fit. But only time is going to tell. I go with previous information to guide my predictions failing some other data stream. Not sure what you are using besides hope...

If the city limit sign in our town is to be believed, our pop. is 947 souls. It's bigger than that now... We were the first Y. There are now 5.

If we get another "first batch" vehicle or a year after launch, we'll be psyched. As the man himself has said, the time to get a Tesla is right away or after production has stabilized. Good enough for me. Our Y has been awesome. The CT will take it to 11...

SS
 

Blue Steel

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I'm not sure what you mean by "took precedence." California and Oregon got Model Y deliveries once a quarter just like New York and Texas and Illinois etc. I was only explaining how Tesla distributes by region throughout a quarter. So that (almost) all cars built in a given quarter are delivered in the same quarter. I wouldn't say any region took precedent over another.

If you have some new data that shows Tesla has abandoned that strategy I am all ears.
 

empiredown

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https://www.coursehero.com/file/p33... sales now spreads to Tesla's service centers.

Tesla’s distribution strategy uses its internal marketing and sales teams to deliver its products to target consumers...
Owning and controlling all aspects of distribution gives Tesla complete control over their marketed products. Absolute control over the distribution strategy allows Tesla to expand distribution efforts as they see fit...

Expansion of distribution and sales now spreads to Tesla’s service centers. Adding this effort allows Tesla to include all core business activities to improve sales. Tesla has also “found that opening a service center in a new geographic area can increase demand. As a result, we have complemented our store strategy with the sales facilities personnel in service centers to more rapidly expand our retail footprint” (Tesla, 2016, p. 7)...

Each of these locations supports Tesla’s distribution strategy and is sufficient to meet current marketing, sales, and distribution needs...

And here's another one:

https://www.marketingstrategy.com/m...-a-0-marketing-strategy-to-dominate-a-market/

Not that I think these will do any good, but it's there. Tesla, like any other company that is successful is going to reinforce positive areas of growth. This is all the more important for them given how they operate: word of mouth, referrals, and internet sales. Piling onto a market that shows potential by sending more cars to areas they choose to build demand in is fundamental and logical. Enjoy!

 

carpedatum

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Once Cybertrucks start rolling off the assembly line, and enough driving's been done by the employees who will get them first to suggest that sending them to the world won't be a total debacle, Tesla will have three thoughts about them.

1) Deliver the Cybertrucks
2) Deliver the Cybertrucks
3) Deliver the Cybertrucks

'cause that's where the revenue comes from.

As reservation holders we make great sales leads, as long as Tesla has the trucks we picked headed in our general direction. An early reservation holder near Austin, who wants what is being produced, is going to get that outreach right when they'd expect, if not earlier. Folks in Vermont and Seattle will probably have to wait a little longer, as will folks who want whichever variants are not being produced early on, regardless of their "place in line." If I lived in Hawaii or Alaska I would not be taking my reservation number too literally.

This effect was pretty extreme for the Model 3, in part because Tesla, while focusing on production hell, did not think through logistics hell and had to scramble (to find car carriers, train cars, near-origin and near-destination storage space, chargers, etc). There are other factors early on - a new model has to be ready to take the journey, for instance, so it won't go on a truck before Tesla is sure that it can 'deep sleep' for quite a long while without needing a battery charge.

It wasn't quite as severe with Model Y because a lot of that had been figured out. Still, I bet it'd be easy to find Y reservation holders who didn't get their opportunity as early as they expected, and some that got a car earlier than they'd hoped.

Nope, no "reshuffle" IMO. Just a deliberate intent to not take the reservation numbers as the only input to who gets tapped and when, at least in the early days. It will be fun when the folks here do start to get that outreach from Tesla sales. There will, I imagine, be much comparing of reservation numbers going on here, then.
 

jerhenderson

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Ugly changes to looks, decrease in capacity (mainly battery, but also ground clearance) hold-ups in production, increase costs, limitations as a "stand alone" power source, ridiculous insurance cost... and I am SHUFFLING out of the NONSENSE!
you're complaining about unknowns. The final version isn't known yet, nor batteries, nor cost increases nor are there production hold ups and you can't insure until there is something to insure....it sounds like you believe all the short seller nonsense out there..... so I really have no idea what you're complaining about.
 

jerhenderson

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I am reminded of the story of the person who would cross a very secure border every day pushing a wheelbarrow full of hay. Every day, the guards would search through the hay to make sure she was not smuggling anything. Every day they would find nothing and let her through. Turns out that she was smuggling wheelbarrows.

One could get a friend to purchase your CT in a state with no sales tax (say Oregon). Then the two of you could drive it across the border into Canada. The stated reason for your friend to visit is to drive you home from a visit to Oregon. Once there, your friend could sell the CT to you and fly home.

I believe that all those steps are legal but I'm not a lawyer. Do not take any of my advice ever but especially here as legal advice.
you're assuming the US version will be legal in Canada as is.
 

Sc0rPs

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Nah, pricing and/or down payments may change but doubt they will bump anyone for a newer order.
 

Frankenblob

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you're complaining about unknowns. The final version isn't known yet, nor batteries, nor cost increases nor are there production hold ups and you can't insure until there is something to insure....it sounds like you believe all the short seller nonsense out there..... so I really have no idea what you're complaining about.
No complaints "SIR" - just stating facts of how I will shuffle out of this nonsense, and which will shuffle the numerical standing for others, if things change contrary to what "ME WANTS"!

Last I looked I am NOT in your "Section/Facility" ergo opinions can be stated here and FREELY... "SIR".

SMH 😒😔
 
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jcryer3

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I suspect the deposit will go up to probably a $1000 to secure your order once you configure it.
 
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