Based on previous ramps + improvement in ability to ramp a new vehicle since the model 3. Giga China is a great example of what is possible. Giga Texas was purpose built to produce model y and CT.
To be honest I’m not convinced they’ll have delivered all the FS trucks by the end of 2024. We still don’t know how many actual FS orders they have accepted. There were numbers thrown around but only Tesla knows exactly how many FS units they have to build. As with any ramp they’ll be productive days and down time. I think it’s telling that they haven’t started delivering to regular people when the bulk of their orders are for AWD models with a January to March delivery window. There are too many unknowns for me to even venture a guess.
My guess is 2500ish FS units, and those will be in driveways by March 1. Who knows if they will sell FS units in parallel with regulars ones.
For the sake of everyone waiting for their trucks I hope we’re both wrong and the ramp goes smoothly and they pump them out! 2500 by March would be a nice figure to hit. 2500 in 83 days is only 30 a day so doable. Do we know if they have shifts 7 days a week during the ramp?My guess is 2500ish FS units, and those will be in driveways by March 1. Who knows if they will sell FS units in parallel with regulars ones.
We shall see. I will bookmark this thread and check back to see who owes who virtual coffee.
Unknown, but Id guess now that the holidays are clear, it would be a good time to start 7 day a weeks shifts assuming parts are fully stocked. IMO, the next 2-3 weeks should be very telling.
