- Aug 31, 2021
- Reaction score
- North Dakota
- Model Y
Nobody can predict the unknown problems that production will have. I think it will be a very low probability that there is any meaningful volume this year. You can have 99% of the equipment, materials, and training and still not make a single unit. Volume production is about the least lucky process or part and with that many new parts at once it means there is very likely a slow ramp.Uhhh quite possible you have your before EOY 23’. This year. I’m serious.
I’m seeing more and more tooling show up. Conveyors, more molds, etc. stuff I haven’t posted up yet. Couple dozen more assembly bots.
This also aligns with what Elon said. I would take a wild guess at mid 2024 for volume production ramping towards the end of 2024. A few token deliveries in 2023 that will take some major workaround to get produced.