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Sjohnson20

Sjohnson20

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I really want to swap the wheels and tires to the Cyber Wheels. Trying to resist.
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Trbizwiz

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Sorry I just felt like there were so many holes in the logic, wasn't quite sure what to say.

1. First, let's have all the numbers as a 10-day period. So 31,464/week is about 45K. To have 80K in Cybertruck sales, within 100K reservations during the 10-day period, Tesla would have had to convert 25K of other vehicle sales (3 and Y) to Cybertruck sales. The way I see it, there could be 2 main possibilities for this (and I guess any mix between the 2). Scenario A is that around half of all 3 and Y buyers in this 10-day period thought that a $59k Cybertruck was such a good deal, that they decided to spend an additional $15K on a vehicle. (I'm leaving out S and X because those make up like 5% sales, almost negligible). Scenario B is that 25K 3 and Y buyers just for some reason decided not to order a Tesla in this 10-day period and was replaced with 25K Cybertruck buyers that weren't interested in buying a non-Cybertruck Tesla before. I don't consider either scenario to be likely. I don't see how Tesla could have significantly lower (50%) than average non-Cybertruck sales, coincidentally and arbitrarily, in this 10-day period.

2. I'd just mentioned in an earlier post today that 40K, and others, were too high of an estimate. Due to 80K to 110K RN's basically being the baseline for a 10-day period. And after that, you just doubled the 40K.

3. Plenty of reservation holders have already considered cancelling, potentially due to: financial reasons, long wait time, FSD cannot transfer, etc. But I guess this point is somewhat of a different discussion.

Hope this makes sense!
Well it’s a fun mental exercise. I guess we’ll know the numbers at the Q2 report, assuming Tesla discloses preorders. If not we can take the 10 day average for Q2, and extrapolate from there (though some 3 and y orders in Feb, may have delivered in March)
. In my experience. Typically when something goes on sale, that is the primary seller, while other full price items see a temporary slump. Perhaps I overestimated this factor?
 

Alpine

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The best wheel Tesla offers imo.
I think they look even better with the center caps off also.
I like the way they look and that they are 18 inch. I don't like how much they weigh 45.5 pounds.
The 20 inch core wheels are 32 pounds for comparison. A proper 18 inch aluminum wheel should be 29 pounds. I will run with stock wheels for a while but will be looking for a stock size and offset aluminum wheel. Right now, aside from very expensive custom wheels, no one makes stock offset 18s

Edit: I actually went to John Purners website who i had make me a few sets of racing wheels back in the day but I see he has removed the monoblock series from his line up. The 2 and 3 piece would not be a good choice for ct
 
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