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SteveMc

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Since I'm not going to be in front of the con (PC) tomorrow morning, here are some stats since the last update 2 weeks ago:

27 deliveries (incl. 5 scheduled through end of July)
118 users pending delivery
7 confirmed declined deliveries
12 pending deliveries with previous RN#s (<127xxxxxx)
19 pending deliveries missing tracker info (state and/or RN#)



1784495782848-fh.webp



Total Reservations By State:

1784495478437-nv.webp



Number of Deliveries by State:
1784495562789-la.webp
I’ve been pondering this data set. Time for some guesswork!
There are 144 reservations in the tracker. Half of these reservations were on the 22nd or before, the other half are on the 23rd or later. So, one half of the reservations were made in the first 4 days and the second half were made in the last 6 days. If (it's a big if) our sample is representative of all the reservations placed, and (wild guess) 40,000 trucks were ordered, then they need to build and deliver 20,000 trucks just to get to the halfway point, which is the end of the 3/22 reservations.
Thoughts?
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SteveMc

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It would be fun to hear other people’s guesses!
 

dswan3199

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So from my RN (2/20) I’m seventh in the tracker data. To my friend who ordered his 2/28 75,873 vehicles were ordered between those dates. I’d assume maybe 10 to 15% were the 59k. So high side 11k are the SAWD.
But that’s just my estimate
 
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Sjohnson20

Sjohnson20

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5k-10k seems to be a good range of how many ordered. Hard to know since they are being delivered in separate quarters. We also don't know how much the 59k truck cannibalized the higher priced models.
 


comet2

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Hello, please add me to the list of 59k buyers.

In Oklahoma
slated for delivery in OKC
order date 2/24
RN127169xxx
ETA 10/9-12/4 (though this range has fluctuated a lot)
Welcome to the 59K family. We finally have 2 from Oklahoma. 👍👍
 

Lyonessjo

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Today's flyover. Im starting to hate Cybercabs 🤪

Screenshot_20260720_182708_YouTube.webp


Screenshot_20260720_182756_YouTube.webp
All I could say as I watched Joe's fly over today -- Where are our Cybertrucks! You all realize that we could buy two of those cute gold things and within a year they will pay for themselves and then buy us CyberBeast!
 


-CYBRG-

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Just to be clear, you are saying you got your Truck, correct?
Yes. Picked up this evening in CO.
Order date 2/23
After many date changes, including 2027, morning of July 15 date pushed back to Sept-Jan 27. Same day afternoon, vin assigned, delivery changed to July 25-28. A day later it let me schedule pickup on July 20, today.
 

-CYBRG-

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Hey man, what's up with cutting the line? 🤠

Seriously though, congrats. Your situation gives me hope I too can get a surprise Vin assignment
Thanks!!
My 3rd Tesla and if there's one thing that I learned it's the delivery date can change drastically anytime.

I think morning of July 15, bunch of people got their dates pushed back. Mine too. But then somehow few hours later "Your advisor has a new message for you" popped up from the Tesla app, and it said VIN assigned.

I hope you get yours soon.
 

Benzo

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You can add me to the list of 59k orders (what page is that on by the way?)

State: AZ
Date ordered: 2/22/26
RN: RN127156XXX
ETA: some day this year or next

Any other information you need?
 

comet2

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You can add me to the list of 59k orders (what page is that on by the way?)

State: AZ
Date ordered: 2/22/26
RN: RN127156XXX
ETA: some day this year or next

Any other information you need?
It’s a google sheet maintained by @AWDMK4
The link is posted as a signature in all his posts.
Be sure to check out all the tabs in that sheet. Lots of useful info.
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