HaulingAss
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Based on my experience with four other Tesla, and fleet averages in general, those numbers are very pessimistic. Sure, anything is possible on an individual pack, that's why we have warranties, but the average degradation would never look like that.4680 NCM, my understanding:
after 12 months, -4%
each next 12 months, 1.8%
expect it tapers to 1.5% annually
after 10 years -20%, reason the warranty is in alignment with that
if more then -20, you get a new batt, at -20 nada
seems fair
While it's true there is limited public data for the first generations of 4680 cells, Tesla is very conservative about releasing vehicles with new batteries until they have a very good idea of how the real-world degradation curves look.
And they would never release a battery that averaged the numbers you posted, it could bankrupt the company.
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