Cybertruck reservation order number -- how to tell your place in line

[AlabamaMike]

I just made my reservation 30 min ago, 113755644
I am not sure why such a difference in these numbers

1,011,520

694,610

Counting raw reservation offset does not work because Tesla is interleaving other products in the same reservation space. Best to start here: https://sites.google.com/view/tesla-reservation-tracker/home?authuser=0 to understand the method used to estimate relative reservation number. The first number is RAW and the second is estimated relative Cybertruck reservation.

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[AlabamaMike]

How many of the reservations are made outside North America?
If Tesla now plan to not make the Cybertruck compliant with European regulations and perhaps instead just make it for the North American market....
I guess this will make the waiting list significantly shorter for most North American reservation holders.

Can always find estimates to those questions here: https://sites.google.com/view/tesla-reservation-tracker/geographical-distribution?authuser=0

 

[CamrCybT]

Just made a second reservation, it is at 1,088,000.

 

[Rory_RedDog]

Likewise, 1,095,609

 

[Bond007]

Did you guys get the real number in the line (Purely for Cybertruck) from the link?

 

[showmemo]

Looks like I could order a Y, drive it for 3 years and trade on my CT in 12/23 ?‍

 

[MUSK007]

As I have said many times... I expect the Ct’s to start rolling out in 2023. Not before.

 

[browbeater24]

Hello all, noob here but I tried to enter my reservation number but looks like the file is locked? How do I know how many people are in front of me? Also are they still going to build the tri motor models first?

 

[Crissa]

Hello all, noob here but I tried to enter my reservation number but looks like the file is locked? How do I know how many people are in front of me? Also are they still going to build the tri motor models first?

Go here and 'find reservation': https://sites.google.com/view/tesla-reservation-tracker

It will help you enter it in.

-Crissa

 

[browbeater24]

Go here and 'find reservation': https://sites.google.com/view/tesla-reservation-tracker

It will help you enter it in.

-Crissa

Cool thanks for that info! So I'm 11,440 in line for the tri-motor. Estimated delivery is 03/22

 

[Bond007]

As I have said many times... I expect the Ct’s to start rolling out in 2023. Not before.

What so much delay...? What makes you doubt the Cybertruck production, since it's relatively easy to manufacture? You think the factory build will be slow for some reason...???

 

[VolklKatana]

What so much delay...? What makes you doubt the Cybertruck production, since it's relatively easy to manufacture? You think the factory build will be slow for some reason...???

Agreed...I think they will start end of 2021, customer deliveries by end of Q1 2022

 

[Akgolf]

I don’t see a reason for the delay either. Early on when Tesla was starting, they(Elon) were overly optimistic and missed the mark. I think they have a pretty good grasp on timelines now given their recent predictions.

 

[showmemo]

Does anyone know if the spreadsheet discounts orders placed outside the US when trying to determine delivery date? I know this spreadsheet is a WAG based on several well thought out 'assumptions', but looking thru the explanations, I can't tell if the orders from other countries besides the US are being counted and taking slots for delivery... if so, that will make a big difference since more than 20% of orders are from outside the US where CT's won't be delivered initially.

 

[VolklKatana]

i

Does anyone know if the spreadsheet discounts orders placed outside the US when trying to determine delivery date? I know this spreadsheet is a WAG based on several well thought out 'assumptions', but looking thru the explanations, I can't tell if the orders from other countries besides the US are being counted and taking slots for delivery... if so, that will make a big difference since more than 20% of orders are from outside the US where CT's won't be delivered initially.

i dont think so, the number tracked on the spreadsheet is minuscule compared to the actual ordered volume. it wouldnt make a noticeable difference. Additionally, it doesnt take into account removed orders, which would be a much larger proportion. For example, on launch night, the website was overwhelmed, and to my surprise the next morning, i had ordered 6 trucks. I only kept one order, and have seen plenty of comments from others experiencing the same thing.

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