Is 4th Quarter 2021 a realistic delivery date for the Cybertruck?

[Crissa]

All cars have tape in them somewhere.

-Crissa

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[BillyGee]

I like to think that my proximity to Tesla in the bay area and my use as a business vehicle will give me some level of priority on getting warranty issues covered.

 

[CyberMoose]

I like to think that my proximity to Tesla in the bay area and my use as a business vehicle will give me some level of priority on getting warranty issues covered.

How so? I don't think i've seen priority at dealerships when it comes to repairing a work vehicle. I know people that pay extra for a rush job at some shops in the Toronto area, or some businesses have their own maintenance departments to repair their work vehicles. If you are a handyman, it's likely you'll be treated just like any other Tesla owner, your loaner vehicle also might be a M3 and i'm sure they wouldn't want a loaner used for working, other than commuting. Also if business vehicles got priority, I would just buy an Uber sticker and tell them I need it back Asap.

 

[Cyber]

I like everyone's logic here. It is solid. But, we're talking about Elon Musk. Homeboy said he would fly a car in space and everyone did the "yeah, okay. Cool story, bro". Next thing you know, we have a Tesla in earth's orbit.

 

[Crissa]

Next thing you know, we have a Tesla in earth's orbit.

To be perfectly clear, it never established Earth orbit... They pushed it straight into Solar orbit. Which is a massive amount of thrust. The number of craft which have done that is still less than 100 or so ever.

-Crissa

 

[Cyber]

I stand corrected.

 

[Alan]

I stand corrected.

Actually I think starman orbited earth for about 6hrs.

 

[Alan]

Actually I think starman orbited earth for about 6hrs.

The upper stage supporting the car was initially placed in an Earth parking orbit.[5] It spent six hours coasting through the Van Allen radiation belts, thereby demonstrating a new capability requested by the U.S. Air Force for direct insertion of heavy intelligence satellites into geostationary orbit. Then, the upper stage performed a second boost to reach the desired escape trajectory.[

 

[Alan]

Actually I think starman orbited earth for about 6hrs.

I’m wrong It would have taken 24hrs to make an orbit.

 

[Jhodgesatmb]

No one really knows. It is an informed guess as far as we know. Elon Musk says that there are nowhere near that many CT orders. He says 'several' hundred thousand. But if it were really over a million I think he would own up to it. So he thinks it is less than half a million I suspect. Then there are the inevitable people whose circumstances have or will change, or will have a change of heart, or will buy a Rivian, or an eF-150, or whatever. And of course they deliver by region, so if you live in a region where there are just a few reservations then it could be a good thing. And on it goes. So it is a guess.

 

[Crissa]

Then there are the inevitable people whose circumstances have or will change, or will have a change of heart, or will buy a Rivian, or an eF-150, or whatever. And of course they deliver by region, so if you live in a region where there are just a few reservations then it could be a good thing. And on it goes. So it is a guess.

...Which is probably why he's not claiming a number. There's an entire thread with different posters citing different definitions of the word 'several'.

-Crissa

 

[VolklKatana]

I put in my reservation, and in my excited state clicked the button 6 times....I only have 1 order left though...

 

[Bigsur345]

You forget that Mr. Musk has publicly stated that the Cybertruck will be far cheaper and easier to build than a conventional car. It won't require the vast floor space, numerous robotic machines, and gigantic presses needed to mass produce conventional cars. Sheets of stainless steel will be quickly folded like origami to form the exoskeleton. No painting will be needed. I expect that the batteries will be incorporated into the exoskeleton so as to balance weight distribution, optimize frame strength, and maximize safety. Wiring will be largely eliminated by the use of digital signaling among the various lights and components. I expect that the experience gained from building the Cybertruck will lead directly to the introduction of a Model 2 "people's car" vehicle that will orders of magnitude cheaper and will annihilate the last bastion of gas buggies.

 

[Bigsur345]

Hmmm, well I doubt that getting laser windshield wipers perfected and approved by the DOT; a milestone break thorough approval of camera mirrors in the US; obtaining a safety crash rating; nearly revolutionizing the independent rear suspension system to be able to tow over 5,000 lbs; redesigning the tailgate and tail light configurations; road and circuit track testing final approvals; stop changing and finalize the alloy content for the body panels -or- revising the armor glass will be all that swift and easy, especially with the iterative nature of the process and approvals necessary to finalize these things.

I realize taht the laser wipers and camera mirrors might not make it on the first production trucks. Undoubtedly, many of these things can be done in parallel, but one would hypothesize that testing and approving trucks from the initial manufacturing run at the proving grounds has to wait until the factory can produce cars.

I doubt I am even coming close to all the things they really have in front of them for the truck -- not to mention finishing this construction (if they can build it in a year - and that is a big if). Placing the equipment, completing, stocking and running the line, then start producing a car available for public purchase 6 months after the completion of the facility?

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