Late reservation holders

[CyberGus]

Hmmm. @CyberGus, as you know, I directly mentioned the owners of the spreadsheet. That said, if I am provided the data (I guess, the spreadsheet itself), then I will put some cycles into migrating it to a MySQL database and building a webservice endpoint to submit reservation numbers and retrieving the reservation number status. Ultimately I do not want to pay to host someone else's project so someone would need to pony up a server for me to install this on, and of course I would either need the original google script (which I assume is in python or javascript) so that I can point it to the new endpoint. I do not have unlimited cycles but I am willing to give it a try.

We'll all have our trucks by then

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[Crissa]

You can load it manually, and add your reservation number yourself.

The widget and on mobile it chokes on just how large the spreadsheet of submitted reservation numbers is.

There is no way it's accurate this far out from the reveal night, though. It might get you your total place in line. Ignore the number of specific configurations in front of you, since we'll be allowed to switch when the configurator comes online.

-Crissa

 

[charliemagpie]

I find it amazing you can now order the CT in US.

They expect heaps of cancellations, or they plan to hit 500,000 production volume faster than we think.

If they already have 2 9000T, I think the answer is clear.

Wait times for early orders will shrink.

 

[HaulingAss]

Curious how many visit this site, your res #'s and when u think we get ours.
My res # is 115146200
Overall tracker position ~ 2.4 million
I live <200 miles from factory And
reserved june '21. Willing to buy whatever but reserved CT3

Early reservations will have a low drop-out rate. Reservations after the first day will have a higher drop-out rate, I expect around 50%. This will of course allow earlier deliveries than the reservation tracker is forecasting. Perhaps much earlier.

However, as the Cybertruck starts delivering, when the truck is real and has been tested and reviewed, I expect a huge new wave of reservations that will take years to fulfill.

 

[Space monkey]

https://magic-8ball.com/

 

[Buccaneer2598]

Is anyone able to use the Google docs? Every time I try to use it I get a prompt,

Sorry, unable to open the file at this time.

Please check the address and try again.

Get stuff done with Google Drive

I have tried using Google and and Microsoft to load

I needed to download the file.

 

[CyberTW]

Early reservations will have a low drop-out rate. Reservations after the first day will have a higher drop-out rate, I expect around 50%. This will of course allow earlier deliveries than the reservation tracker is forecasting. Perhaps much earlier.

However, as the Cybertruck starts delivering, when the truck is real and has been tested and reviewed, I expect a huge new wave of reservations that will take years to fulfill.

Do you think Tesla will allow people who placed 5, 10, 20, 50 deposits down to order their vehicles? Or will they do more a 1 per customer type thing? Some of the social influencers made that play… I am not a fan… I get it, and it could be lucrative, I don’t fault them for playing the game…but I don’t know. Seems like they could get through the list better abut now allowing people to buy a gosh of them for themselves (unless they are like a true big business going for fleet)

 

[Stinkd]

Tesla is currently targeting a run rate of 250,000 per year, divided into 2.4M = long time lol. If there really are that many reserved, then Tesla will keep pushing the run rate up, and of course some people will drop out.

I'm counting on my Austin residency helping me out, or else I'm waiting until after the eclipse.

There's some interesting stats on the "Members" page, but basically there's 18k registered users and 50-100 regulars. Unregistered lurkers outnumber members about 10 to 1.

I put in the down payment/registration on December 15 2019, and it seems that Tesla registrations began in November 2019, so I was kinda lucky I jumped on it. My Bday is December 14.

I certainly haven't been a regular 'member' on this site, but it has been a wealth of knowledge reading the discussions here about the bits of new info as it arises. I wonder what my supposed schedule for being able to get close to buy a Cybertruck, but I'm in no rush to spend $60,000 (or more, if I convince myself to ge for a version 3 and not the version 2 I originally requested).

 

[Stinkd]

I'm in there now, I finally figured out how to post my RN on the reservation spreadsheet. I'm supposed to get mine in March of 2026. That's great, I can adjust my finances to fit. And that is right before World Cup matches in USA and CN and MEX so maybe I can road trip my truck to some stadiums!

12/15/2019 10:53:00 AM MDT
RN Location: California RN Count: 1
RN Trim: Dual Motor Full Self Driving

Est Position: 387,321
Est Position for Trim: 52,289
Est Delivery Date: 3/27/2026

 

[Crissa]

Do you think Tesla will allow people who placed 5, 10, 20, 50 deposits down to order their vehicles? Or will they do more a 1 per customer type thing? Some of the social influencers made that play… I am not a fan… I get it, and it could be lucrative, I don’t fault them for playing the game…but I don’t know. Seems like they could get through the list better abut now allowing people to buy a gosh of them for themselves (unless they are like a true big business going for fleet)

Tesla limited bulk orders of their prior vehicles until they'd had supply that wasn't accounted for by demand.

-Crissa

 

[HaulingAss]

Do you think Tesla will allow people who placed 5, 10, 20, 50 deposits down to order their vehicles? Or will they do more a 1 per customer type thing? Some of the social influencers made that play… I am not a fan… I get it, and it could be lucrative, I don’t fault them for playing the game…but I don’t know. Seems like they could get through the list better abut now allowing people to buy a gosh of them for themselves (unless they are like a true big business going for fleet)

I have no idea whether Tesla will allow early reservationists with multiple orders to place sequential orders but I suppose they might, if there were no red flags. I think the number of people with 10-50 orders or more is relatively small, relative to the couple of million orders likely placed in total.

I'm not too concerned either way as I'm already resigned to being number 42K or whatever it is. One thing is for sure, there will be a certain percentage of cancellations, so I'll be taking delivery before Tesla has made 42K of them.

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