Cybertruck launch delayed again - Per AutoForecast Solutions - until Oct 2023

[Crissa]

Crazy stamped metal nuts!

-Crissa

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[Ogre]

My main concern is folding and fabricating the SS body. We haven't seen any capability for that yet, let alone mass production or fit and finish. Even the prototypes haven't got the rippling straightened out yet. I think that will be what limits numbers. I'm also wondering if some of that production will be offsite to keep up with line assembly speeds.

I’ve seen some conjecture that Tesla is designing equipment to roll and shape the steel continuously. Instead of straightening, rolling, scoring, then folding the truck on a brake, it would go through a series of rollers, each altering the finished shape a bit until it was the desired form. So it would be a continuous process similar to how they automated the battery production only on a much grander scale.

I have no idea how practical this is, but I do know transforming a step based process into a continuous flow one would be a huge productivity gain. The fewer stops you have, the better.

 

[firsttruck]

Here's an interesting article about the year 1965 in cars.
https://www.macsmotorcitygarage.com/the-year-in-cars-1965/
In the article, they say there were 1 million Mustang produced in the first 18 months.

I’ve seen some conjecture that Tesla is designing equipment to roll and shape the steel continuously. Instead of straightening, rolling, scoring, then folding the truck on a brake, it would go through a series of rollers, each altering the finished shape a bit until it was the desired form. So it would be a continuous process similar to how they automated the battery production only on a much grander scale.

I have no idea how practical this is, but I do know transforming a step based process into a continuous flow one would be a huge productivity gain. The fewer stops you have, the better.

Wow, cool idea.

That would be a great question to ask Sandy Munro.

 

[intimidator]

You are disagreeing.. while actually agreeing. I think everyone you just quoted was in agreement that CT will not reach high output production until fall/winter of 2023. They will be starting sometime early 2023 similarly to how Model Y has started earlier this year. I could be wrong, but at least I was not implying full CT production prior to June 2023. This is also in line with Musk's statements lately, specifically the earnings call. So.. not sure what you are disagreeing about?

We can agree it has been a long wait...and now we have to be more patient and wait until we see those first few Customer Cybertruck roll out the door. That will be a day!

How long after that will any of us take delivery of our own CyberTruck is still a guess of course. Maybe expectations should be 2024 for anyone in the #100,000-300,000 per order queue.

 

[cybguy]

I take hopefully 2023 as meaning maybe by the end of 2023. I think October 2023 is the absolute earliest chance for Cybertruck #1 being sold. You'd have to give my 5:1 odds before I'd put any money on sales in October 2023.

 

[cybguy]

I take hopefully 2023 as meaning maybe by the end of 2023. I think October 2023 is the absolute earliest chance for Cybertruck #1 being sold. You'd have to give my 5:1 odds before I'd put any money on sales in October 2023. But as I've posted on this site over the years I thought late 2022 was possible so I've always been too optimistic about the Cybertruck timeline.

 

[Cyberman]

Poor Elon
So many enemies. Legacy Auto, Fossil fuel, Unions, Socialists

I couldn't even guess how much they have spent on the narrative. Imagine how many others they destroyed in the past. But not Elon.

And we wonder why he wants to buy Twitter, He won't stop there.

Yeah, next he's gonna buy the ATF, and turn it into a convenience store. Who's bringin' the chips?

 

[Ogre]

I take hopefully 2023 as meaning maybe by the end of 2023. I think October 2023 is the absolute earliest chance for Cybertruck #1 being sold. You'd have to give my 5:1 odds before I'd put any money on sales in October 2023.

More recently he said Volume production in 2023 which means beginning/ middle of the year plus a 6-12 months to ramp up.

 

[happy intruder]

Yeah, next he's gonna buy the ATF, and turn it into a convenience store. Who's bringin' the chips?

just wait til he puts a 50cal on the top roof and sells them to the Army......

 

[Crissa]

just wait til he puts a 50cal on the top roof and sells them to the Army......

I am fairly certainly he would say no to that.

-Crissa

 

[Ogre]

I am fairly certainly he would say no to that.

-Crissa

Maybe a flame thrower… definitely not a 50 cal.

 

[Crissa]

Some things are cool to see, but not good business.

-Crissa

 

[JBee]

Lol guys come on.

What can you do with a 200kWh 1000kW peak battery pack? Energy weapons. Laser, rail gun, EM forcefield, FSD mine avoidance (coupled with persistent real time satellite imaging with Starlink), sacrificial FSD "kamikaze" CTs, electric shock armour, IR 360 surround vision, plus all the other goodies.

 

[rr6013]

SteveJobs famously said that “if a company isn’t obsoleting their own products the competition will”

ElonMusk astutely gave the world the apocalypse vehicle the world didn’t know it needed either

 

[Bill906]

Maybe a flame thrower… definitely not a 50 cal.

Not a flame thrower

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