Price for CyberTruck ESTIMATE released by Farzad Mesbahi July 3rd, 2023

[Easyejl]

There are 1-1.5 million people that have said they want a Cybertruck. I bet 300,000 of them will gladly pay $80,000 plus FSD for the Mars Edition. Which will consume production well into 2025.

I see 2 major problems with the above. The tri-motor was at 80k before and with the other options both out already and not yet out in BEV pickups, I really doubt they could sell 300k of them at that price. Ford has already reached offering lease and loan rate incentives on the Mach-e and F150 lightning. I'm sure someone has the math done from the reservation sheet, but the overwhelming majority were for 60k and under models. For some people that difference isn't too big, but a fair number were looking at it as "Cheaper than a gas 4 door pickup" as a major reason for reserving one. With the way cost of living has gone for many people since the pre-order, I'm pretty certain a lot of the preorders will drop or possibly wait for cheaper versions of the CT. I'd take it at the 80k though as I can afford to. My reservation was for a dual with FSD, but I don't care about the price difference. I bought an audi e-tron to drive until the CT does make it out.

The other problem is that if it does work that way, they have a 300k production and burn through the preorder list for 2024, how many will actually sell in 2025? Ford sells about 750,000 F150s a year across trims. Chevy about 500,000. I very deeply doubt that even if they can pull that off for 2024, that they'd be able to sell another 300k cybertrucks in 2025. So they'd have the big ramp up and then they'd be closing down lines the following year.

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[Cyberhugo1]

He walks thru his "estimate" for the Cybertruck pricing. He is using his best guess-o-meter.

Cybertruck price for a 354 mile range model = $79,990

He makes other estimates on price if Tesla were to sell it at no profit. (Which I can't see Tesla doing. They don't need to do that).

I liked it, it's going to be very close. Farzad was good on that guesstimate.

 

[rudedawg78]

I have it from a very good source that CT2 is priced @ 49,999

What the heck, man. You mean to tell me it is going up $99 in price?? Whew... Going to have to save up more.

I do like your prediction (or inside info) tho... Much better than others on here pricing it 35-50% more than initial price. Redonkeyulous.

 

[Coolbreeze704]

What the heck, man. You mean to tell me it is going up $99 in price?? Whew... Going to have to save up more.

I do like your prediction (or inside info) tho... Much better than others on here pricing it 35-50% more than initial price. Redonkeyulous.

I want my deposits back. $99 bucks is just plain greedy!

 

[Trbizwiz]

A Model X starts at $98K
A Model S starts at $88K

So, yeah, Tesla is not afraid to price a vehicle $88-100,000.

Elon also said they only build S & X because they are sentimental. Seems unlikely they would spend half a decade designing a truck they don’t really want to push to mass production and adoption. Neither of which apply to S or X.

 

[bigrin]

Elon has a history of surprising people! Nuff said.

 

[Greshnab]

I see 2 major problems with the above. The tri-motor was at 80k.

do you have a quote for that.. as everything I have seen says
<from a 2019 motor trend article> https://www.motortrend.com/news/tesla-cybertruck-pricing-start-39995/
" The top trim, at $69,900, brings a tri-motor, all-wheel drive, 500 miles of range, a 2.9-second 0-60 time, with a top speed of 130 mph, and a 14,000-pound tow rating. "

so we are looking at 70k for the top trim getting it up to 100k becomes almost a 50% increase and that is not tolerable for most.
Again i have to emphasize the total market for auto's who's base sticker is over 80k is VERY VERY limited.

 

[Easyejl]

do you have a quote for that.. as everything I have seen says
<from a 2019 motor trend article> https://www.motortrend.com/news/tesla-cybertruck-pricing-start-39995/
" The top trim, at $69,900, brings a tri-motor, all-wheel drive, 500 miles of range, a 2.9-second 0-60 time, with a top speed of 130 mph, and a 14,000-pound tow rating. "

so we are looking at 70k for the top trim getting it up to 100k becomes almost a 50% increase and that is not tolerable for most.
Again i have to emphasize the total market for auto's who's base sticker is over 80k is VERY VERY limited.

whoops I was going off memory. I couldn't recall on the tri motor as I just ordered a dual

 

[Greshnab]

whoops I was going off memory. I couldn't recall on the tri motor as I just ordered a dual

NO worries at all I think a LOT of people have made that mistake.. which is why people are expecting it to hit 90 -100k..

 

[Dids]

What the heck, man. You mean to tell me it is going up $99 in price?? Whew... Going to have to save up more.

I do like your prediction (or inside info) tho... Much better than others on here pricing it 35-50% more than initial price. Redonkeyulous.

It turns out that the wiper will be more expensive than originally thought.

 

[rudedawg78]

It turns out that the wiper will be more expensive than originally thought.

Ahhhh... That makes complete sense now. I seen how they have to transport those things from the BAW factory. Doesn't look cheap.

 

[CyberGus]

Ahhhh... That makes complete sense now. I seen how they have to transport those things from the BAW factory. Doesn't look cheap.

 

[Crimson_Fate]

Even if the TRI goes to $79.9k then people who had reserved the FSD for $7.5k will either loose the rebate or have to pay $15K for the FSD after. In either case you end up loosing $7.5K unless Tesla lets you pay that reduced price after the purchase .

 

[Regenshire]

Even if the TRI goes to $79.9k then people who had reserved the FSD for $7.5k will either loose the rebate or have to pay $15K for the FSD after. In either case you end up loosing $7.5K unless Tesla lets you pay that reduced price after the purchase .

FSD is not part of the base vehicle cost. I am 95% sure you don't lose the Federal Rebate due to FSD pricing pushing you over. That is my understanding at least.

Please correct me if I am wrong about this, as this is what I have read elsewhere.

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