Blue Steel

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I call for end of June 2022. And there are very specific reasons for my assertion. If you are curious I can tell what I heard from Elon himself. Intrigued yet?
That works for me. Our earliest delivery date is September 2022. What did Elon say? Maybe they will start delivering in 2022 on 6/9 at 4:20?
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ldjessee

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I wanted a Geo Tracker so bad when I was in high school!!! Lol... I actually still do kinda want one...
I have owned one, drive to San Diego from Indiana towing a trailer. Drove back without said trailer.

Other than a CV joint and a crunched swing gate (got rear-ended but the tire absorbed most of the impact), it was pretty good. But my kids stopped fitting in the backseat, so I traded it in for first Subaru.
 

JeffnReno

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My guess is they'll have a select few to employees before the end of 2021 but a wider rollout won't start until 2022. The reservation tracker has my predicted date being 02/22 so unless the tracker is way off my guess should be close.
 


alan auerbach

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I can see all right hand drive production except S&X coming from China some time down the line. For example it would be cheaper to make RHD Y in China and ship a few to the UK than make them in Berlin and ship the bulk of them to Australia, New Zealand, and so on.

Whether the driving position and the trade deals are weird depends on if you are inside looking out, or outside looking in. Nothing more entertaining than watching an American tourist at a UK airport car park exit trying to master Right Hand Drive and a manual gearbox on the same day. Of course that was back in the day when tourists were a thing.
As I've mentioned, if the buzz about the steering being "fly-by-wire" is true, it will be relatively easy to install the steering wheel on the right.
 

alan auerbach

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My guess is they'll have a select few to employees before the end of 2021 but a wider rollout won't start until 2022. The reservation tracker has my predicted date being 02/22 so unless the tracker is way off my guess should be close.
Yes, there is evidence that the first lot will be sold to employees.
 

alan auerbach

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I've heard (forgot where) that the Prius is a decade old, and no battery has grown too old to keep going.
 

pconpcs

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I think it all hinges on how efficiently the machines to build the truck can be built. From a manufacturing perspective it looks easier, but we will see how fast the line comes up. Ideally once the process gets rolling it's ripsnortingly fast considering this will be the 5th unique vehicle (well, 4 and 1/2th) they have built and I bet the pilot line process is pretty streamlined by now.

I'm optimistic, but it hinges on a lot of timelines. They'd technically be on target releasing it the day after Christmas of next year, but I'm hoping to get mine at the beginning of quarter 4 for work.
Good thoughts. Can I ask what line of work you plan on using the CT for?
 

alan auerbach

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Nobody knows when the first CTs will drive out the plant door. Even if you somehow knew, it wouldn't help without knowing numbers, versions, and delivery destinations.

Unknowns within unknowns.
 


TirNaOg

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My guess;
First couple out in dec21/Jan22, for employee buyers.
Maybe a few test ones in june/july 21.
Mine I am guessing some time in 23! :(
# 683K or close.
 

BillyGee

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Good thoughts. Can I ask what line of work you plan on using the CT for?
I do machine field service for wineries and food production facilities. I rarely need to transport machines around, but being able to put them in the bed or tow a trailer is needed from time to time. Also, the CT seems to have plenty of storage for my needs and anything I can't safely put in the frunk I will be putting in a rolling toolbox in the bed or stash in the sails.

Between cost of gas and FSD doing a majority of my freeway and highway driving it's going to be a godsend when I get it.
 
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MNSTR TRK

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Gotta have faith. Strange to say faith about a car, but there are times I believe in that "manifest reality" bullshit.

I think that it's a fair assumption that people involved in the manufacturing of this vehicle cruise these forums. I also believe that if we crap all over timelines they'll feel demotivated, and that'll bleed into real work.

To the person reading this post who is working on building the manufacturing processes that will ultimately lead to the production of the CT, I believe in you. I believe that making the thing is the hard part, and that you are up to the job. I believe you are undertaking one of the hardest things to do anyone has ever done, and doing it under extreme pressure in a very interesting time.

I have faith in you. I have faith in your abilities. I have faith in your intelligence and your drive. If I ever meet you in person, hypothetical person reading this post, I will buy you a beer and thank you in earnest.
I felt this. Like I was holding your hand in a prayer to the CT gods. (y)
 

Rockvillerich

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I think this video sheds some light on a few facts that were mentioned on Battery Day.

Sorry if this had been posted before. I just found it very informative.

Realistically, I'd expect there to be a lot of time needed to ramp up such new and odd construction. Q-2 of 2022 would be my guess for actual consumer vehicles in any real numbers to be delivered.
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