Welcome to 2023, The Year of the Cybertruck (Predictions?)

[Rutrow]

... it will have torque vectoring, which is not possible with a dual motor 4WD.

Really?!?

Audi engineers will be disappointed to learn that their Audi-Quattro isn't capable of torque vectoring since it has only one engine. ?

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[Mini2nut]

Agreed. It will be competitive with the Rivian R1T. The R1T starts at $73k plus $1800 for destination fee. It‘s a $75k pickup truck before options.

2024 will see volume production, not this year. A few thousand might trickle out of the factory before 2023 comes to an end.

Why? Brand new vehicle for Tesla, new assembly line, new Giga Press machines, first time building a vehicle with a SS exoskeleton, etc.

 

[AlDente]

Tesla will be producing CyberTrucks in 2023 and they will sell for a price that reflects market conditions at that time. How's that for going broad?

 

[Qball]

2023 dream: I take delivery of my CT.

I don’t really give a rodent’s behind about anything else.

 

[android04]

Tesla announced that their 2023 Investor Day will be on March 1st, 2023. Maybe one of us will get to go (through their lottery system of picking investors to attend in person) and see something special https://ir.tesla.com/press-release/tesla-announces-date-2023-investor-day

 

[Ogre]

Nice predictions ! This should be THE YEAR for you guys in America.
Do you have any rumors or predictions for the European market? Or you know if there is plans for the gigafactory in Berlin produce the cybertruck for Europe?
I have one of the first reservations for a two motor configuration i made back in November 2019...

Sadly, no.

 

[greggertruck]

Add up your gas and vehicle payment(if you have one).

 

[Ogre]

I do yes, and I also think more like 80k CT will be delivered this year.
The ramp for CT will be very rapid due to the shorter assembly line, it takes a lot of paint shop time for average car that goes away. They probably would need production to begin in May to make that possible.

I think model y ramp was slow.
It was produced early.
Tesla was battery constrained.
Tesla didn't have giga Texas factory/ space constrained.
It was their second mass production model, they took model 3 production hell and turned it into smooth ramp. Hopefully they got even better and CT will be a smooth more rapid ramp.

It feels to me like all of Tesla’s production timelines have been slower than expected with almost no surprises to the upside. The startup of Texas and Berlin were both months later than expected. The 4680 ramp is something like 12-18 months behind what we expected and by all accounts chemistry is still not quite right. The Gigapress is a few months later than we expected for mid-2023 production start.

I absolutely hope you are correct.

I’ve just not seen any big positive surprises in this ramp up at all and we’ve seen a lot of delays and slower-than expected ramps. Model Y production in Texas isn’t even up to 3,000 units per year after 11.5 months of production. With a May production start, Cybertruck would need to average around 2,500 trucks per month for the year hit 80k this year.

If they hit that May production start I’ll be ecstatic. If they hit 50k deliveries in the year I’ll be over the moon.

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