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Foundation Series Remorse

CyberGus

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Saygmo

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I shouldn't probably post on a remorse thread, but agree the loss of the tailgate ramp was a blow. Elon at the delivery event, didn't mention that, or a 500 mile range, or even the price.

He is also a salesman in his own way, and salesman never likes to talk about what you aren't getting that was previously promised... Anyway, I'm still looking forward to getting it, and the (not promised) new rotation ability of the rear wheels is a plus that ALMOST makes up for it. :)
It feels pretty odd that Tesla didn’t figure out some simple things yet either, like how to lock the diffs?! Come on really? Among the myriad of other missing software items.
 

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In your list the ONLY item that they missed is the tailgate ramp,

With the Battery Extender, they are effectively hitting the 500 mile number. And they are still trying to surpass it.

How many Detroit prototypes have come to fruition?
As long as people are willing to spend even more to get what was promised from the start, I herd something like 15000.00 more and you lose part of the bed as a flat area, I herd it will get to 450, how much of that will be usable? I still do not know what I will do. I understand the increase in price from 4 years ago, but this is different. Can you show me somewhere from the time they said they could do all the above and show me where they used the wording of prototype. Just asking. I do have an 2017 S that I get 210 miles per usable charge.
 

Cybergirl

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I doubt you will get any sympathy from Tesla and IMO you shouldn't. The EPA estimated range is determined by the EPA and not Tesla. So your beef is actually with the EPA.

The EPA range tests are garbage IMO. They run them on a dynamo in a lab until the battery is dead and average out the cycle results. Average highway speed tests are around 50mph and peak around 60mph. They then apply a 0.7 factor to the results to simulate a "real world" result. Its a crap system that is not accurate.

With that being said "real world" highway numbers are more like 70MPH for most people. At 70MPH an EV will never meet the EPA rated range results because the EPA "real world" results are not real world.
Is anyone else having serious concerns/remorse on the foundation series range? I completed my down payment Christmas eve, and since have been seeing range tests maxing out around 250 miles on the freeway.

I currently have a 2022 Model S long range (405 mile range) and have done the trip Milwaukee to New Orleans. All went well and I felt 400 miles was enough to comfortably stop and recharge every 3-4 hours.

I was planning to use the CyberTruck to travel to Florida frequently. Having to stop every 2 hours kind of changes the dynamic of the trip.

Do you think we have anyway of getting out the 1k down payment considering the range seems to not be what was advertised?
That Out of Spec Review range test result of the AWD Cybetruck FS needs some context. Kyle drove the vehicle at night in temperatures averaging less than 45 deg F. He drove at 70 mph from 100% SOC to dead and traveled 253.7 miles. Any EV will lose range at lower outside air temperatures. My understanding is that the 4680 battery pack in the Model Y will lose 20% of its capacity at 45 deg F. So, if the temperature was in the 70s, he would likely have driven 304+ miles vs the EPA's 318 miles. I'm fine with that.

When I travel cross country in my Model Y, I typically stop every 150 miles to recharge. I look forward to every charging stop on long road trips. The spacing of Superchargers on the interstates encourages this charging frequency when charging to 80%. Charging to 100% is discouraged for the health of the battery and avoiding the extra time you tie up a charger. Using 75% of Cybertruck's 123 kWh battery is 92 kWh which will give a warm weather range of 230 miles at 400 Wh/mi and 184 miles at 500 Wh/mi. That's more than enough to travel between charging stops the way I drive. Of course if it's cold, wet, there's a head wind, or I drive at 85, have to stop more frequently.

As far as charging speed goes, if I replenish every 150 miles of driving, I need 60 kWh at 400 Wh/mi or 75 kWh at 500 Wh/mi. That's a charging stop of at least 20 and 30 minutes, respectively. These times will improve on V4 chargers.

If this style of road tripping is not acceptable to you, CT is probably not for you.
 

Derektsla

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I think it’s easy to overreact when you get information slowly about something that affects you. Remember Covid when people were jumping to all sorts of conclusions as Information trickled out? This is psychologically similar. I remember being REALLY concerned about buying my Model X with a MAX of 295 miles. Now I never think about it. It is what it is. I charge more on long trips that other Teslas, but I use that time to chat with my kids, have fun, etc.

My point is that it’s easy to fixate on negative aspects, but mindset is a choice. Buy your truck, enjoy driving it, talking to curious people, laughing, etc. Focus your idle thoughts on things with greater meaning than a vehicle. Use that extra charging time for something meaningful. Go buy a stranger a coffee to brighten their day.

If you don’t have the money, don’t buy it. If you do have the money, buy it and have fun. Not everything in life is an optimization problem. I always used to operate this way, but I have learned it’s not a great way to be happy.
 


C T Rick

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Don't feel bad. I have a sprinter 3500 diesel that I get 12 mpg and a Nissan NV 3500 I get 6mpg. Both average speed of 11mph.

Of course its Los Angeles where every other residential street has a stop sign , speed bump or traffic light. Plus a plumber carries everything including the kitchen sink..

Fortunately my yearly average is under 5000 miles total between the 2 vehicles. Plus gas is the highest in the nation.. $100.00 doesn't fill the tank..

Unfortunately the CT will never replace the work vans..but could replace my SUV. Which also averages 12-13 mpg.

Rick
 

cvalue13

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My understanding is that the 4680 battery pack in the Model Y will lose 20% of its capacity at 45 deg F.
this is a good jumping off point to point out a nuance that, so far, almost suggests the CT could perform better than prior Tesla’s in terms of EPA expectations

I’ll put in bold first, that I don’t want to make the error that others are and extrapolate from Kyle’s anecdotal experience any deeply meaningful info regarding the CT range broadly. It’s just one interesting datum that we happen to be here discussing, imagine by it to be broadly indicative.

You mention:


My understanding is that the 4680 battery pack in the Model Y will lose 20% of its capacity at 45 deg F.
But there’s an important distinction to be made between 20% from expected vs the vehicle’s performance, vs 20% from expected by EPA rating

historically, before any conditions are factored in, Tesla’s practices wrt to the EPA (technically legit, but aggressive and arguably unhelpfully optimistic), have meant that even in ideal conditions the sedans have gotten statistically less than the EPA ratings.

**this is where someone flies in to say their anecdotal experience is different yadda yadda**

there’s more data on this trend of Tesla’s not meeting EPA even under ideal conditions than there is data on about any other dynamic in EV range

here is one, large, statistically significant data set (not anecdotal exception proving the rule):

Tesla Cybertruck Foundation Series Remorse IMG_7911
Tesla Cybertruck Foundation Series Remorse IMG_7910


notice the vehicle’s dashboard estimates (which tend to mirror EPA optimism) are charted way up at and above 90

while the observed is, depending on temperatures, at best ~25+% below that

put differently, I think that the “20% less in cold” you were just citing is referencing the area between the two red lines below (extrapolating for the 4680 Y analogue) - eg observed range at X temp and observed range at 20° cooler:

Tesla Cybertruck Foundation Series Remorse IMG_7911


to that limited point - basically, yep (though we should expect the Model Y range effects from temp be materially less than the CT effects from the same temps)


But a separate point, possibly a silver lining of this Kyle CT data, is it suggests that the EPA/dashboard estimate is nearer to the observed

compared to the Model Y data, that means the area in graph below between the green bars appears more minimized in the CT:

Tesla Cybertruck Foundation Series Remorse IMG_7911



WHICH FOR ME RAISES TWO INTERESTING AND POSSIBLE INFERENCES FROM KYLE’s RESULTS , TO BE WATCHED FOR AS OTHER DATA COMES IN:

(1) if the CT does in fact end up with observed range nearer to dashboard/EPA expectations than have prior Tesla models, it would mean that a “320mi” EPA Cybertruck would be capable of better observed range results than a historical “320mi” EPA eg Model Y

in other words, the possibility that with the CT Tesla has come to Jesus a bit about their dashboard/EPA approach, with dashboard/EPA combined stats being more informative for the CT than has been the case with prior Teslas

again, not here making that conclusion, instead only pointing out the faint echo of this inference in Kyle’s results

but also, and real funny if turns out to be true:

(2) if in fact Tesla has ‘come to Jesus’ about it’s dashboard/EPA approach in the CT in ‘23, the irony would be that the resulting “340mi” ‘23 Cybertruck may be a LOT closer than we think to the ‘19 stated “500mi” of yore

Put differently, what if in 2019 the “500mi” Cybertruck was stated in those notorious 2019 “Tesla miles”, while the ‘23 “340mi” are stated now in “Reformed Tesla miles”.

The net result, in terms of observable miles, may not be two terribly different trucks in terms of range.

Afterall, for me, being experienced with BEV trucks and Tesla’s dashboard/observable range history, I was somewhat more surprised that Kyle’s results (at those temps/speeds) WERE what might be expected from a reliable EPA/dashboard figure.

Resolving the reality of this possibility will take a dataset comparable to that presented in the charts above.

But sufficed to say, if only for the previewed intrigue of it all, to the extent this “2019 Tesla miles” vs “2023 Reformed Tesla Miles” shows any support over time, there results several interesting or funny outcomes:

(1) everyone today clamoring for the 2019 “500mi” truck, may unwittingly be clamoring in effect for “Elon, you used to lie to me more, and I liked that better!”

(2) it may not be that Tesla didn’t deliver, substantively, the truck contemplated in 2019 - they only thing they *didnt* deliver was a continued degree of over-staring dashboard/EPA optimism … which would be a good thing

(3) ultimately, the operational outcome is the same: either 500 “2019 Tesla Miles” / 340 “2023 Reformed Tesla Miles” works for your use case and preferences, or it doesn’t

but one thing has NOT changed since 2019: a “500mi” truck was NEVER a “500 under all conditions” truck, and “340mi” truck will NEVER be a “340 under all conditions” truck


But meanwhile, if anything Kyle’s outcomes surprised me in the OPPOSITE way of others here, in that his operational results seem closer to dashboard/EPA expectations than Tesla is known for historically.

Which raises the prospect of watching for just how different, ultimately, is a “2019 500 Tesla Miles” truck from an “2023 340 Reformed Tesla Miles” truck
 

Gigahorse

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I think it is all just starting to pile up a little and people are getting frustrated/disapointed.
After 4 years of waiting the range/price/charging are all bad news.

I think most could deal with 200 miles of range (without towing) but it taking 40-60mins to charge just to be able to get to the next supercharger or home is really rough.

People that ordered the FS likely though they would be "charging for a quick 15-20mins and be on their way" not being trapped at a SC for an hour.
Tesla Cybertruck Foundation Series Remorse zimage7103
Tesla Cybertruck Foundation Series Remorse zimage7102
 

RBosque

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Totally agree. Far too many people expect their vehicles to get the range that is stated by the EPA. The real problem IMO is consumers not understanding what the rated range really means.
I agree. But it seems that EV manufacturers should disclose real-world ranges at real-world driving speeds and conditions. Surely they have the engineering skills and knowledge to do that. The notion that consumers should "know better" or that they should adapt their driving style to EVs (i.e.: driving on highways at below the speed limit and much slower than the flow of traffic) is disingenuous at best.
 


dapiya

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it is, statistically

because statistically, the following is an exceedingly rare drive:




that drive, where range limitations are relevant, is called eg a “road trip”

The average American drives 29 miles per day (all ages), and 37mi/day for those between 30-49 years old, or 13mi/yr. To achieve that milage in average, comes mostly from commuting, which is almost nowhere/never “flat highway, no other cars in your way, minimal starts and stops,” but instead “city” or “hey” conditions, as reflected in the EPA tests.

Other relevant data:


  • Drivers who reported living “in the country” or “a small town” drive greater distances (12,264 miles annually) and spend a greater amount of time driving than people who described living in a “medium sized town” or city (9,709 miles annually).
  • Motorists in the South drive the most (11,826 miles annually), while those in the Northeast drive the least (8,468 miles annually).
  • On average, Americans drive fewer miles on the weekend than on weekdays.
  • Americans drive, on average, the least during winter months (January through March) at 25.7 miles daily; they drive the most during the summer months (July through September) at 30.6 miles daily.

*this* is why the EPA uses the standards it does. To address the vast majority of use case. Because it’s supposed to be the most useful standard to the most amount of people.

which, not incidentally, is why EV makersbuild the cars they way they do.




So, to suggest that the EPA should instead create a range estimate based on sustained “ flat highway, no other cars in your way, minimal starts and stops” is to suggest they create a standard that is statistically meaningless to the vast majority of drivers the vast majority of time. And for car companies to build a car that is functionally meaningless to the vast majority of drivers the vast majority of the time.

What it really amounts to: the most vocal voices pounding the table here either (1) have fringe-usecases, or (2) are merely expressing an only perceived dread borne of historical tribalism (eg ICE vibes)


EPA ratings and their implications are obvious paying attention

BEV range variables and their implications are obvious to anyone paying attention

1704774228426.webp


Being livid right now, largely indicates you’ve just not payed attention

It results in things like this - makes me feel like I’m taking crazy pills:




yes - AND THE DO FOR BEV’S, TOO, IN THE EXACT SAME WAY

IMG_8079.webp


IN FACT, THE ONLY DIFFERENCE BETWEEN EPA RATINGS IN IVE VS BEV IS THAT FOR BEV’S THE EPA LISTS TOTAL RANGE AT ALL - SEE BELOW



this just isn’t true

THESE VARIABLES ARE EFFECTIVELY IDENTICAL BETWEEN ICE AND BEV VEHICLES

here’s a Honda Accord

IMG_8081.webp


Notice for the Model S the delta between city and hwy rating is 8MPGe, or only 6.6% of its combined rating

Meanwhile, for the Accord, the delta between city and hwy rating is 8mpg, which is an incredible efficiency swing of 25%

Whether sedan or truck, these variables effect ICE and BEV’s the ~same.

same goes for trucks, towing, etc.

the only difference is that, with ICE, lazy people with enough money to not have to care about fuel costs have stopped paying attention for a decade or two

And with BEVs, the only functional differences are:

(1) BEV’s have smaller fuel tanks, and

(2) there is less “refueling” infrastructure


so now, with a BEV, even lazy people with enough money have to pay attention to energy effects of these variables that are ~identical with ICE cars but ignored/forgotten out of gluttony and abundance. Especially when it comes to trucks and towing.

DRIVING A BEV IN 2023 IS NO DIFFERENT THAN DRIVING ANY ICE VEHICLE IN THE 1980S WHEN FURL PRICES WERE STEEPER, GAS TANKS WERE SMALLER, AND REFUELING INFRASTRUCTURE WAS LESS DEVELOPED



Some of yall are seriously unhinged, or simply entirely uneducated in how fuel (including electricity) efficiency and driving variables relates to range - whether ICE or BEVs, paired with a ridiculous indigence that at bottom is the result not of other people’s misunderstandings, but your own various ignorances


the EPA figures work fine, as they always have. The EPA figures work the same as with ICE vehicles, as they always have. Range is effected by these variables the ~same between ICE and BEVs.

THE PROBLEM ISNT WITH THOSE THINGS, THE PROBLEM IS WITH YOUR EDUCATION AND UNDERSTANDING.
Haha. Tell me I’m uneducated without saying I’m uneducated. I’m not the one who tried to make a point with a car that has an inverse correlation to city/highway mpg. I LIKE ALL CAPS TOO!! Tell me again how an ice vehicle is exactly the same and the variables “are effectively identical”.

As you pointed out, they have a highway range listed on that model s. I still haven’t seen any highway equivalent rating on the Cybertruck.
 
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we7313

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I looked into the range extender and it appears to be a 50kWh battery. That would give the truck an additional 40% range. I think I will see if I can pass on the Foundation series and pick up the range extender. That may make it viable to make the Florida Drive.
 

Gurule92

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If I back out of the Foundation Series deposit, so I retain my spot or do I have to go to the end of the line?
The only person I've seen back out lost their spot
 

Sjohnson20

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I shouldn't probably post on a remorse thread, but agree the loss of the tailgate ramp was a blow. Elon at the delivery event, didn't mention that, or a 500 mile range, or even the price.

He is also a salesman in his own way, and salesman never likes to talk about what you aren't getting that was previously promised... Anyway, I'm still looking forward to getting it, and the (not promised) new rotation ability of the rear wheels is a plus that ALMOST makes up for it. :)
Yeah Elon is a car salesman. It’s all about the positives and getting the sale.
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