Predicted Cybertruck Pricing

[CyberGus]

My guess was/is for the first Cybertrucks (likely top end model) and not the base model. To be fair I am making obvious assumptions. We could see a marked demand decrease for Tesla and cars in general should inflation significantly change. But for now, here are my assumptions:

70k original price for CT Tri Motor
plus
~10k 4WS
~10K EXTRA Motor
20% average price increase for Tesla since 2019
90k+20%=$108 add another 8.75% for inflation by the time the cybertruck is introduced and BAM.... 120k

In any case it just a guess, I would not take the random thoughts of someone on the internet as a fact, we are all just guessing. I think my guess is closer then someone thinking 80k for this config.

I do think that likely Tesla will change the range to something closer to 400Miles, which could reduce the battery need by ~50KW, that will reduce the cost by some amount. (5-10k?) Maybe we see the dual Motor close to 70k when or if it is released.

Not many automakers offer AWS, but the few that do charge nowhere near your estimate of $10,000. The figures I can find vary from $1500 to a $4000 package that includes air suspension.

Generally, Tesla increases by $10k for an extra motor, but that is usually a higher trim as well (larger kWh pack).

Combining current prices increases AND inflation seems like doubling-up.

I'm guessing that the announced trim levels will stay within 10-15% of the original estimate. The quad-motor is presumably the "Plaid" variant, which will likely have other high-performance features that drive the price higher.

Plus, $15k for the wiper

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[TyPope]

I'm most curious about the dual motor option. The last announced price was under $50k, which is $11,000 LESS than the current price of a dual motor Model Y. At this point I have zero hope that there won't be a BIG price jump.

I really want a Cybertruck. But (after current rebates) an R1T now costs less than an entry level Model Y. If pricing for the Cybertruck goes where I think it is, then I may have to consider other options.

It also has a smaller cargo area than the Y... LOL

 

[TyPope]

Combining current prices increases AND inflation seems like doubling-up.

Can hardly wait to get my vehicle so I can go 0-60 fast enough to get a ticket. Seems to be the only saleable feature of the truck. That's mostly all a salesperson wants to talk about.

The only one? I could rattle off at least 10, some of which will be unique to the Cybertruck rather than just industry leading.

 

[John K]

Can hardly wait to get my vehicle so I can go 0-60 fast enough to get a ticket. Seems to be the only saleable feature of the truck. That's mostly all a salesperson wants to talk about.

Who is this salesperson?

 

[John K]

Plus, $15k for the wiper

BAW is priceless

 

[savagecabbage]

I cannot see Tesla selling their quad motor truck for more than what the Rivian costs.

Value has always been a huge part of the Cybertruck sell. Musk reiterated affordability was a priority just recently.

Keep in mind Rivian charges 98k for the fully loaded R1T and they loose money on every truck. I am betting you will see a 15-20% price bump on the R1T in the next couple of months. Tesla will not sell its cars are a loss.

 

[Crissa]

Keep in mind Rivian charges 98k for the fully loaded R1T and they loose money on every truck. I am betting you will see a 15-20% price bump on the R1T in the next couple of months. Tesla will not sell its cars are a loss.

Tesla also won't make cars that cost as much as Rivian, either.

-Crissa

 

[savagecabbage]

Tesla also won't make cars that cost as much as Rivian, either.

-Crissa

Really? I paid $155k for my Model X (after tax). So they certainly do make cars that cost more then Rivian. If you are saying they won't sell truck for more than the Rivian, you are entitled to that opinion.

The whole point of my post was to offer my perspective based on what I see in the industry. I cannot see a scenario where I get one of the first 10,000 quad motor Cybertrucks (BTW I am pre-order #260, which likely means nothing) for less then $125k OTD (CA sales tax is 9.75%). I would be ecstatic to be wrong on this, but Im most likely not... To cast some doubt on myself, I could see a scenario where I might be a little high. but by no more then 15k.

 

[Crissa]

Really? I paid $155k for my Model X (after tax). So they certainly do make cars that cost more then Rivian. If you are saying they won't sell truck for more than the Rivian, you are entitled to that opinion.

That cost you more than the Rivian.

It didn't cost that much for Tesla to make it.

Cost vs price. Rivian is failing that difference, Tesla doesn't.

-Crissa

Also... after tax? That's your share to the roads, which doesn't, by the way, pay for them all.

 

[savagecabbage]

That cost you more than the Rivian.

It didn't cost that much for Tesla to make it.

Cost vs price. Rivian is failing that difference, Tesla doesn't.

-Crissa

Also... after tax? That's your share to the roads, which doesn't, by the way, pay for them all.

OK... Well people have to account for the OTD cost and unless you live in Oregon (and a couple other states), you need to account for sales tax and total pricing. As for "What it cost Telsa", that is moot, Tesla is selling model Y's for 70k and they cost 35k to make so they charge double currently.
https://insideevs.com/news/563824/tesla-average-production-cost-dropping/

 

[Ogre]

Keep in mind Rivian charges 98k for the fully loaded R1T and they loose money on every truck. I am betting you will see a 15-20% price bump on the R1T in the next couple of months. Tesla will not sell its cars are a loss.

People seem to ignore this, but Tesla has absolutely massive pricing advantages over Rivian.

Even if the cost to manufacture each Cybertruck were the same (it won’t be), Tesla’s battery costs are likely 30-50% lower.

That is what is so silly about all these crazy estimates. Tesla has designed this thing, literally from the cell level up to be cheap to manufacture.

 

[Bitmaster]

My guess was/is for the first Cybertrucks (likely top end model) and not the base model. To be fair I am making obvious assumptions. We could see a marked demand decrease for Tesla and cars in general should inflation significantly change. But for now, here are my assumptions:

70k original price for CT Tri Motor
plus
~10k 4WS
~10K EXTRA Motor
20% average price increase for Tesla since 2019
90k+20%=$108 add another 8.75% for inflation by the time the cybertruck is introduced and BAM.... 120k

In any case it just a guess, I would not take the random thoughts of someone on the internet as a fact, we are all just guessing. I think my guess is closer then someone thinking 80k for this config.

I do think that likely Tesla will change the range to something closer to 400Miles, which could reduce the battery need by ~50KW, that will reduce the cost by some amount. (5-10k?) Maybe we see the dual Motor close to 70k when or if it is released.

If Tesla reduces the range at all I'm OUT>

 

[Ogre]

, Tesla is selling model Y's for 70k and they cost 35k to make so they charge double

Not quite true.

In January it cost them $36k to built a Model Y but they were delivering cars which were ordered 4 - 6 months prior for ~8,000 less than current prices.

It’s likely that cost to make the same cars is a bit higher now and ASPs have crept up now.

Teslas Margins were 32% last quarter and might creep up a bit this quarter but I doubt we’ll see 50% margins unless the Cybertruck does actually sell for $120,000

 

[EasternSP]

Who is this salesperson?

Well, let's see now. This was in May of 2021 at the Richmond Tesla dealer. I think his name might have been Gary.
Actually, I don't really recall as it's been quite a while since I've been talking to them. I placed my order for my truck and Y model online.
If this disqualifies my comment of salespeople only wanting to tell me how fast the car can go from 0-60 then so be it.

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