Shipping early 2023? Bring It!

flowerlandfilms

Well-known member
First Name
Eryk
Joined
Dec 6, 2020
Threads
5
Messages
794
Reaction score
1,690
Location
Australia
Vehicles
Yamaha SRV-250, Honda Odyssey RB1
Occupation
Film Maker
Country flag

Cybertruckee

Banned
Well-known member
Banned
First Name
Yosemite Sam
Joined
Apr 21, 2020
Threads
10
Messages
553
Reaction score
579
Location
Mostly under the pines
Vehicles
Red Rider
Occupation
Finance Manager
Country flag
So what’s your place in line? I think I placed the next morning and I am 30k in line (if there even is a line)
I'm in the evening of the launch -- while Elon is still yapping but after that dude already broke the glass window.

But the website keeps on crashing and I ended up on the 17,000th thereabouts.

So mine will be done Day 1. :p

But as I promised, I'll post the picture here so you can all drool and turn Martian green in envy.:alien::sick:
 
Last edited:


Ogre

Well-known member
First Name
Dennis
Joined
Jul 3, 2021
Threads
164
Messages
10,719
Reaction score
26,998
Location
Ogregon
Vehicles
Model Y
Country flag
So if I’m ~284,000th in line, when can I realistically expect to have Tesla have me sign the purchase contract? Late 2024?
Keep in mind, about 22% of orders are out-of-country. You are likely ahead of them. Also there will be some cancellations.

I’d look somewhere between 18-24 months after shipping starts. Until we know how quickly the ramp up is and what production looks like after ramp up it’s hard to say. With a mid 2023 start of deliveries and a run rate of 250k trucks 12 months after launch you should see yours before the end of 2024. If they start later or ramp up is slower or both ??? Too many variables.
 

Cyberman

Well-known member
First Name
Adam
Joined
Apr 7, 2020
Threads
36
Messages
2,319
Reaction score
3,695
Location
San Diego
Vehicles
F150,F550, Escape
Occupation
Cybercontractor
Country flag
I'm in the evening of the launch -- while Elon is still yapping but after that dude already broke the glass window.

But the website keeps on crashing and I ended up on the 17,000th thereabouts.

So mine will be done Day 1. :p

But as I promised, I'll post the picture here so you can all drool and turn Martian green in envy.:alien::sick:
NICE
 

Jhodgesatmb

Well-known member
First Name
Jack
Joined
Dec 1, 2019
Threads
68
Messages
5,144
Reaction score
7,389
Location
San Francisco Bay area
Website
www.arbor-studios.com
Vehicles
Tesla Model Y LR, Tesla Model 3 LR
Occupation
Retired AI researcher
Country flag
I think this is it in a nutshell. The only real evidence we have of anything is if it’s either giant and obvious like the Gigapress or if there is obvious output from the new equipment.

The weird thing about the exoskeleton is the fact that we know so little about how it will be produced. The machines I’ve seen to date have zero hope of keeping pace with the ~1/ 90 seconds output of the Gigapress (maybe faster) so they would either have to have a lot of machines working in parallel to keep up or some piece of equipment that can fold them much quicker.
Right!
 

LDRHAWKE

Well-known member
First Name
John
Joined
Dec 24, 2019
Threads
19
Messages
362
Reaction score
436
Location
Saint Augustine, Fl
Vehicles
Toyota FJ, GTS1000,FJR1300, Aprillia Scarabeo,
Occupation
Retired Engineer
Country flag
when you see rejected CT casting piling up and stored battery packs in the windows is the time to get excited…..not before.
 


Mini2nut

Well-known member
Joined
Apr 2, 2020
Threads
91
Messages
2,307
Reaction score
4,291
Location
CA
Vehicles
2022 R1T
Country flag
If it didn’t come from Elon disregard the timeline. I predict Q3 2023.
 

JStat

Member
First Name
John
Joined
Jun 29, 2022
Threads
1
Messages
21
Reaction score
39
Location
Janesville, WI, USA
Vehicles
2021 Model Y
Country flag
Barrons is about as reliable as a broken clock when it comes to Tesla.

I wouldn’t say it’s wrong, but I wouldn’t pin my hopes on anything they say. Particularly not a one off comment like this.
A broken clock is right twice a day. So there's hope. If only a fool's hope.
 
 




Top