Would you buy the Cybertruck if your number came up in the next month?

[anionic1]

I am just behind this guy as my reservation order is 11287xxxx and doing the math, I am 126 k in the queue, so if there are only 1000 FS being offered than their conversion rate is less than 1%. As you said, these are the most rabid CT fans, so what will be the conversion rate for the rest of the queue?

2,000,000 x .01 = 20,000

its already been confirmed that its going well above 1,000. I am in no way gloating but i have been right about many of my predictions. I work in a manufacturing and sales setting. They are profit maximizers. they are going to sell the FS trims until it negatively affects them. And that wont happen until CTs are piling up in the parking lot and that wont happen for at least a year. You will definitely be getting an opportunity to order the FS in my opinion.

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[Jhodgesatmb]

they are in the 11284xxxx range. So they are moving up the list. I bet the go through the entire list with offers for the FS series. I bet the conversion rate is less than 10%. probably 5%. this forum is for the enthusiast so the portion of buyers on here will be much higher than reality. So even with 2,000,000 preorders thats like 100,000 orders. i can easily see them holding the FS pricing to try to squeeze out as many add on sales they can get before dropping the price. the timing will line up perfect. sell FS for a year while they ramp up production and once production is full speed drop it to 80k and see how many they can sell.

As you may know from my sig line I am RN11302XXX. I will order if invited to do so. I watch the order list every day. I had hoped they would make 2 ‘digits’ a week but it is still just 1 (e.g., 11283 to 11284 this week).

 

[Gigahorse]

As you may know from my sig line I am RN11302XXX. I will order if invited to do so. I watch the order list every day. I had hoped they would make 2 ‘digits’ a week but it is still just 1 (e.g., 11283 to 11284 this week).

At the LOW 113s are you hoping for a FS invite or a regular?

Feels a lot easier to say yes to a non-FS than the FS for me personally.

 

[Jhodgesatmb]

At the LOW 113s are you hoping for a FS invite or a regular?

Feels a lot easier to say yes to a non-FS than the FS for me personally.

Yes, low 113, and I would take an AWD or FS AWD if given the option. There are good reasons to wait for a non-FS vehicle but that could take a lot longer.

 

[Bartman]

I’m actually still in the midst of my victory lap about pricing as I said id buy the 3 motor if it included all options and wasnt more than the X plaid IF it included all the options. Tesla has since dropped the price but at the time it was ~ $115k.

so I absolutely will be buying a 3 motor even though 1) I absolutely hate the name 2) I find the additional range implementation & solution for a spare to be dog shit awful 3) I am extremely skeptical of the baja-worthiness of the truck after seeing some components up close.

what I likely wont be doing however is buying all of the trucks I reserved.

How many did you reserve? Just curious.

 

[Bartman]

I am just behind this guy as my reservation order is 11287xxxx and doing the math, I am 126 k in the queue, so if there are only 1000 FS being offered than their conversion rate is less than 1%. As you said, these are the most rabid CT fans, so what will be the conversion rate for the rest of the queue?

2,000,000 x .01 = 20,000

I would guess they will get to you both pretty soon. Like within a month, to two.

 

[Stinkd]

I would hold off for another year, and some months. I think having larger cash at hand to pay off most of it at once will be the best. Maybe during the next year test drives will become available, that will be the clincher to really get me wanting mine sooner!

I put in my reservation on Dec 15 2019 so I am really wondering when my number will come up. The spreadsheet is confusing to me.

 

[Crissa]

I put in my reservation on Dec 15 2019 so I am really wondering when my number will come up. The spreadsheet is confusing to me.

The spreadsheet was an estimate made back when the original reservations came out. They couldn't know how Tesla would do the ramp, so made some assumptions.

Now we're getting a slow and lumpy roll out of offers for the Foundation Series, which haven't gotten very far through the reservation numbers. My number came up on January 2nd, and the spreadsheet said my number was from noon the day after the reveal event - although I paid that night immediately. Today, my teslaaccount dashboard says I can configure a Foundation Series today and get it next month.

We can only assume they're working down the reservation list in vague order - but they've also not delivered yet to all the states, either - until they finish the ramp and can start offering 'regular' priced trucks.

-Crissa

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