Predicted Cybertruck Pricing

[Tinker71]

Why would you estimate that the Cybertruck which was launched with a high price lower than the Rivian would end up with a final price higher than the Rivian?

-Crissa

Maybe takin the last of cream. People want the best and are willing to pay high margins to be first. The cream might all be taken with people jumping on the early Hummers Lightnings and Rivians. Oh yeah. The stock market and crypto dropping 40%

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[charliemagpie]

Its nice to have an ignore button

 

[EV Rob]

“Both Berlin and Austin factories are gigantic money furnaces right now. Okay? It’s really like a giant roaring sound, which is the sound of money on fire,” Musk said in an interview with Tesla Owners of Silicon Valley

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/worl...sedgntp&cvid=be985ebb40544f219d743cdfee1ed4a1

"Tesla has raised vehicle prices three times since October, with the average increase being 18%"

https://markets.businessinsider.com...ll-connect-in-a-tough-june-quarter-1031545937

 

[CyberGus]

https://www.autoweek.com/news/green-cars/a40217054/vw-id-buzz-production-start-germany/

Currently in production.

Nothing is truly "in production" until Sandy has taken one apart

 

[EasternSP]

Can hardly wait to get my vehicle so I can go 0-60 fast enough to get a ticket. Seems to be the only saleable feature of the truck. That's mostly all a salesperson wants to talk about.

 

[savagecabbage]

Given the recent price changes, the addition of complexity and on going pricing pressure on supply chains a significant price change is pretty much assured. Based on the model Y price change of 20%, the additional Motor, rear steering, continued inflationary pressure and long lines for existing vehicles, I'd be willing to bet (a significant sum) that the price will be well over 100k for the Cybertruck.

My guess is $125k before FSD and options. I seriously think that we are not going to see a cybertruck under 100k of any flavor, possibly ever, but certainly for the next 3 years.

 

[JBee]

Given the recent price changes, the addition of complexity and on going pricing pressure on supply chains a significant price change is pretty much assured. Based on the model Y price change of 20%, the additional Motor, rear steering, continued inflationary pressure and long lines for existing vehicles, I'd be willing to bet (a significant sum) that the price will be well over 100k for the Cybertruck.

My guess is $125k before FSD and options. I seriously think that we are not going to see a cybertruck under 100k of any flavor, possibly ever, but certainly for the next 3 years.

How about this then; you'll pay for my QM CT if it's over $69,900 and I'll pay for yours if it's under?

If you are so sure about the price hike you obviously won't mind winning the bet and paying for my CT? ??

 

[charliemagpie]

I thank you for the moment of levity you provide in your first and only post.

Keep it up. With so much talent on here, we need a point difference.

 

[Sgt. Glenn]

$125,000 purchase price is a 40% gross margin with a cost to built at $75,000. I don’t see it costing that much to build and purchase price that high.

Given the recent price changes, the addition of complexity and on going pricing pressure on supply chains a significant price change is pretty much assured. Based on the model Y price change of 20%, the additional Motor, rear steering, continued inflationary pressure and long lines for existing vehicles, I'd be willing to bet (a significant sum) that the price will be well over 100k for the Cybertruck.

My guess is $125k before FSD and options. I seriously think that we are not going to see a cybertruck under 100k of any flavor, possibly ever, but certainly for the next 3 years.

 

[Ogre]

My guess is $125k before FSD and options. I seriously think that we are not going to see a cybertruck under 100k of any flavor, possibly ever, but certainly for the next 3 years.

nope

There may be some wiggle, but Tesla is not going to better than triple the base price of the truck.

 

[Tinker71]

$125,000 purchase price is a 40% gross margin with a cost to built at $75,000. I don’t see it costing that much to build and purchase price that high.

Given the recent price changes, the addition of complexity and on going pricing pressure on supply chains a significant price change is pretty much assured. Based on the model Y price change of 20%, the additional Motor, rear steering, continued inflationary pressure and long lines for existing vehicles, I'd be willing to bet (a significant sum) that the price will be well over 100k for the Cybertruck.

My guess is $125k before FSD and options. I seriously think that we are not going to see a cybertruck under 100k of any flavor, possibly ever, but certainly for the next 3 years.

The average cost of a CT will be below $70k. Over a couple years that is.

 

[Ogre]

The average cost of a CT will be below $70k. Over a couple years that is.

Considering Teslas price compare was a midrange F150 which is about $50k. That checks out.

Tesla will trot out that price compare sheet again to show how good a value it is compared to the F150.

 

[savagecabbage]

I thank you for the moment of levity you provide in your first and only post.

Keep it up. With so much talent on here, we need a point difference.

So you need to have posted many times on "cybertruckownersclub" to have an informed opinion about the cybertruck? Hmm good to know. By that measure your posts should be taken as indisputable fact.

I'll just forward your post to the internal pricing department at Tesla just to make sure they got it right.

 

[savagecabbage]

nope

There may be some wiggle, but Tesla is not going to better than triple the base price of the truck.

My guess was/is for the first Cybertrucks (likely top end model) and not the base model. To be fair I am making obvious assumptions. We could see a marked demand decrease for Tesla and cars in general should inflation significantly change. But for now, here are my assumptions:

70k original price for CT Tri Motor
plus
~10k 4WS
~10K EXTRA Motor
20% average price increase for Tesla since 2019
90k+20%=$108 add another 8.75% for inflation by the time the cybertruck is introduced and BAM.... 120k

In any case it just a guess, I would not take the random thoughts of someone on the internet as a fact, we are all just guessing. I think my guess is closer then someone thinking 80k for this config.

I do think that likely Tesla will change the range to something closer to 400Miles, which could reduce the battery need by ~50KW, that will reduce the cost by some amount. (5-10k?) Maybe we see the dual Motor close to 70k when or if it is released.

 

[Ogre]

My guess was/is for the first Cybertrucks (likely top end model) and not the base model. To be fair I am making obvious assumptions. We could see a marked demand decrease for Tesla and cars in general should inflation significantly change. But for now, here are my assumptions:

70k original price for CT Tri Motor
plus
~10k 4WS
~10K EXTRA Motor
20% average price increase for Tesla since 2019
90k+20%=$108 add another 8.75% for inflation by the time the cybertruck is introduced and BAM.... 120k

In any case it just a guess, I would not take the random thoughts of someone on the internet as a fact, we are all just guessing. I think my guess is closer then someone thinking 80k for this config.

I do think that likely Tesla will change the range to something closer to 400Miles, which could reduce the battery need by ~50KW, that will reduce the cost by some amount. (5-10k?) Maybe we see the dual Motor close to 70k when or if it is released.

I cannot see Tesla selling their quad motor truck for more than what the Rivian costs.

Value has always been a huge part of the Cybertruck sell. Musk reiterated affordability was a priority just recently.

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